Finance written vs collected — by the month the sale was made
60,784 finance agreements · $129,134,814 written since 2019-01 ·
straight from the CRM Debtor Ledger · built 2026-09-17T10:32:25.559Z
Finance written
$129,134,814
Collected
$54,700,296 42.4%
Written off
$21,490,964 16.6%
Still outstanding
$52,949,803 41.0%
Debt pattern — the sheet's own layout, rebuilt from the CRM
One block per city, exactly as the DEBT Pattern MASTER tab lays it out: the month the debt was
written down the side, months 1–12 across, then After 12 and the running Collected total. Same city
grouping as the sheet — Dallas and Houston combined as TX. Every cell is that month's cash as a share of
that month's finance written, so the Boston Jul 2024 row answers "we wrote $196,612, how much of it came back".
Gross cash in; chargebacks are held out and reconciled on each city tab. Faded rows are under 12 months old and
cannot be compared with a settled month.
These are close to the sheet but not identical, and I can't yet tell you why.
Boston Jul 2024, sheet vs this report: month 1 1.22% / 1.18% · m2 9.46% / 9.11% · m3 9.11% / 8.59% ·
m4 7.82% / 7.34% · m5 7.12% / 6.67% · m6 5.81% / 5.62% · m7 5.18% / 5.01% ·
m8 4.44% / 4.30%. Months 1–8 sit within half a point. The totals differ — sheet 67.02%,
this report 65.09% — and the sheet's own row does not add up to its own total: its twelve monthly cells sum to
62.82%, leaving 4.20% unaccounted for against the 67.02% it prints. Until the sheet itself can be read rather than a
screenshot of it, that gap is not something I can close honestly.
Share it with studio1-automation@studio1-automation.iam.gserviceaccount.com and this becomes a
generated comparison instead of a typed one.
NYC — New York · $50,706,433 written · 22,819 agreements
BOS — Boston · $7,648,401 written · 4,050 agreements
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Jul 2023
$169,275
0.46%
8.88%
8.21%
7.86%
7.51%
6.12%
5.95%
4.90%
4.80%
3.73%
2.79%
0.95%
2.76%
64.92%
Aug 2023
$233,420
0.36%
10.33%
7.30%
7.52%
6.37%
6.42%
5.68%
5.39%
4.67%
4.38%
4.28%
0.68%
4.96%
68.34%
Sep 2023
$204,240
0.32%
7.42%
6.59%
6.05%
6.75%
5.78%
5.22%
4.20%
4.86%
4.30%
3.71%
1.93%
8.19%
65.33%
Oct 2023
$247,579
0.56%
7.32%
7.03%
5.94%
5.74%
5.55%
5.12%
4.17%
4.43%
4.39%
4.82%
1.37%
5.49%
61.93%
Nov 2023
$146,720
2.20%
6.15%
6.86%
5.61%
7.01%
5.11%
6.56%
5.33%
3.69%
4.47%
3.88%
1.62%
6.74%
65.25%
Dec 2023
$200,800
3.45%
7.92%
6.92%
7.01%
6.91%
4.49%
6.58%
3.53%
4.20%
3.52%
3.08%
1.35%
3.64%
62.62%
Jan 2024
$185,690
3.52%
7.57%
6.68%
7.28%
4.95%
4.38%
3.99%
3.46%
2.64%
2.59%
2.25%
1.23%
3.96%
54.50%
Feb 2024
$183,580
3.29%
9.31%
9.29%
7.61%
6.28%
3.69%
4.25%
4.37%
3.99%
2.93%
2.52%
0.88%
3.59%
61.99%
Mar 2024
$219,545
3.74%
7.98%
8.21%
6.15%
5.41%
4.95%
4.35%
4.92%
4.03%
3.97%
3.74%
2.57%
3.44%
63.47%
Apr 2024
$183,720
2.84%
8.87%
6.96%
6.78%
7.28%
5.52%
5.12%
3.89%
3.75%
3.91%
2.78%
1.82%
4.08%
63.60%
May 2024
$158,281
2.14%
10.44%
7.50%
7.83%
6.54%
5.36%
4.49%
3.75%
3.52%
3.17%
2.15%
1.90%
3.40%
62.17%
Jun 2024
$153,910
2.00%
10.52%
7.75%
6.33%
5.76%
4.72%
3.79%
4.09%
2.82%
2.99%
3.82%
1.36%
4.19%
60.13%
Jul 2024
$196,612
1.18%
9.11%
8.59%
7.34%
6.67%
5.62%
5.01%
4.30%
3.96%
4.29%
3.47%
1.68%
3.95%
65.19%
Aug 2024
$144,531
0.03%
10.02%
7.35%
6.53%
6.40%
4.69%
5.29%
5.23%
5.28%
3.55%
3.22%
1.58%
4.86%
64.04%
Sep 2024
$207,946
1.04%
10.15%
6.95%
5.83%
5.82%
6.26%
4.40%
3.95%
3.42%
3.37%
3.06%
2.38%
5.51%
62.13%
Oct 2024
$192,880
1.61%
7.75%
5.67%
5.97%
4.85%
5.23%
4.76%
3.71%
4.79%
3.13%
3.10%
2.23%
5.08%
57.87%
Nov 2024
$223,809
0.07%
7.26%
6.63%
4.73%
4.56%
3.61%
3.11%
3.60%
2.81%
3.86%
2.22%
0.70%
6.54%
49.69%
Dec 2024
$145,177
3.27%
10.83%
7.48%
6.72%
4.94%
5.67%
3.85%
4.39%
3.46%
2.52%
3.00%
1.51%
4.11%
61.76%
Jan 2025
$149,662
1.11%
6.84%
6.72%
6.34%
4.43%
4.26%
3.43%
3.44%
3.57%
3.45%
2.36%
1.74%
6.51%
54.20%
Feb 2025
$259,639
1.73%
6.42%
5.71%
5.23%
5.23%
4.37%
3.41%
3.46%
2.97%
2.60%
2.25%
1.74%
5.79%
50.92%
Mar 2025
$294,555
0.94%
5.99%
5.59%
5.41%
4.89%
5.15%
3.68%
4.07%
3.83%
3.61%
3.04%
1.56%
3.97%
51.72%
Apr 2025
$286,515
0.41%
7.03%
6.33%
3.91%
4.88%
4.07%
3.64%
3.87%
3.43%
3.72%
3.16%
2.01%
3.88%
50.34%
May 2025
$277,364
0.17%
6.86%
5.45%
4.05%
4.93%
3.96%
4.70%
3.53%
3.11%
3.31%
2.87%
1.80%
4.04%
48.78%
Jun 2025
$242,510
0.16%
6.48%
5.92%
7.13%
5.16%
5.06%
4.57%
4.50%
4.07%
4.20%
3.33%
3.11%
3.00%
56.70%
Jul 2025
$170,895
1.06%
8.74%
6.35%
5.99%
5.66%
4.85%
5.07%
5.37%
5.34%
3.90%
3.07%
1.82%
2.83%
60.02%
Aug 2025
$168,745
2.14%
6.43%
6.14%
5.42%
5.58%
3.80%
5.23%
3.80%
3.41%
2.73%
3.07%
5.42%
2.04%
55.21%
Sep 2025
$149,650
0.21%
6.33%
5.69%
7.51%
5.55%
4.99%
4.75%
4.60%
3.73%
3.35%
3.43%
1.21%
0.15%
51.49%
Oct 2025
$110,690
0.43%
7.64%
6.31%
8.15%
5.75%
5.04%
5.15%
5.14%
3.98%
3.48%
3.11%
0.55%
0.00%
54.75%
Nov 2025
$193,310
2.13%
6.09%
5.88%
4.80%
4.30%
4.40%
4.07%
4.15%
3.70%
3.14%
0.69%
0.00%
0.00%
43.32%
Dec 2025
$169,877
0.51%
6.10%
4.92%
6.67%
5.46%
4.12%
3.13%
3.80%
3.26%
0.71%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
38.68%
Jan 2026
$205,667
0.42%
6.07%
5.64%
4.44%
5.44%
4.17%
4.02%
2.89%
0.26%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
33.34%
Feb 2026
$179,203
1.31%
5.95%
4.57%
4.70%
3.81%
3.65%
3.70%
0.55%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
28.24%
Mar 2026
$182,750
0.58%
4.83%
4.63%
3.98%
4.12%
3.96%
0.74%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
22.84%
Apr 2026
$148,926
0.22%
4.82%
4.91%
5.02%
4.02%
1.15%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
20.14%
May 2026
$166,357
1.32%
5.17%
5.05%
4.76%
0.52%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
16.83%
Jun 2026
$216,392
0.00%
6.30%
6.23%
0.95%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
13.48%
Jul 2026
$266,800
0.02%
4.81%
1.32%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
6.15%
Aug 2026
$288,685
2.77%
1.64%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
4.41%
Sep 2026
$120,345
0.07%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.07%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$5,397,249
1.40%
7.97%
6.80%
6.17%
5.71%
4.93%
4.61%
4.18%
3.85%
3.58%
3.14%
1.78%
4.37%
58.51%
TN — Nashville · $5,613,809 written · 2,801 agreements
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Sep 2024
$212,110
0.33%
6.82%
6.74%
4.73%
4.96%
4.34%
3.64%
3.14%
2.91%
3.35%
2.39%
1.52%
3.18%
48.06%
Oct 2024
$257,118
2.11%
7.87%
6.03%
7.68%
4.41%
4.13%
4.07%
4.04%
3.83%
3.36%
3.05%
1.81%
4.30%
56.66%
Nov 2024
$212,640
0.94%
7.75%
7.28%
5.34%
5.15%
3.90%
5.22%
3.87%
3.63%
3.51%
2.61%
1.19%
2.18%
52.57%
Dec 2024
$198,953
0.27%
6.91%
6.20%
5.37%
4.95%
4.58%
5.20%
4.60%
4.84%
3.53%
3.75%
1.38%
4.22%
55.80%
Jan 2025
$210,917
0.88%
7.99%
5.96%
5.54%
4.87%
4.73%
4.17%
4.81%
3.78%
3.79%
3.43%
1.35%
4.59%
55.88%
Feb 2025
$215,862
0.56%
6.36%
6.40%
4.60%
4.22%
3.99%
4.44%
3.53%
3.31%
2.67%
2.83%
0.65%
2.93%
46.49%
Mar 2025
$246,223
0.55%
6.85%
5.05%
4.42%
4.16%
3.76%
4.03%
3.92%
3.61%
2.34%
2.35%
1.02%
3.27%
45.34%
Apr 2025
$262,798
0.07%
6.07%
5.35%
4.76%
4.71%
3.28%
3.50%
2.66%
2.41%
2.23%
2.04%
0.95%
2.81%
40.83%
May 2025
$296,165
0.44%
5.76%
4.24%
4.09%
3.66%
3.21%
3.85%
2.61%
2.46%
2.76%
2.58%
1.46%
2.20%
39.33%
Jun 2025
$243,820
0.15%
5.43%
4.45%
3.81%
2.98%
2.99%
2.67%
2.53%
2.29%
2.17%
3.09%
1.71%
3.65%
37.92%
Jul 2025
$223,942
1.02%
5.12%
5.68%
4.00%
3.93%
3.66%
3.36%
3.50%
2.58%
2.35%
2.34%
2.31%
1.61%
41.46%
Aug 2025
$278,875
0.26%
5.65%
4.89%
4.01%
4.66%
3.59%
2.81%
2.43%
3.15%
3.07%
2.99%
1.04%
0.39%
38.94%
Sep 2025
$217,051
2.28%
5.83%
5.01%
5.23%
4.66%
4.28%
3.87%
3.62%
3.92%
3.03%
3.01%
1.27%
0.13%
46.14%
Oct 2025
$201,775
1.71%
5.98%
4.99%
5.38%
4.38%
4.73%
4.42%
3.91%
3.43%
3.45%
3.45%
0.23%
0.00%
46.07%
Nov 2025
$224,965
1.05%
7.45%
4.17%
3.76%
3.06%
3.07%
3.09%
2.63%
2.53%
1.98%
0.47%
0.00%
0.00%
33.26%
Dec 2025
$214,185
0.21%
5.23%
4.65%
4.80%
3.53%
3.37%
3.81%
3.04%
2.62%
0.56%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
31.81%
Jan 2026
$215,630
0.56%
5.94%
5.47%
4.15%
3.78%
3.60%
3.50%
2.88%
0.83%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
30.72%
Feb 2026
$301,701
0.64%
8.13%
7.69%
4.95%
4.98%
4.09%
3.59%
1.05%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
35.12%
Mar 2026
$218,135
0.49%
6.42%
3.79%
3.18%
3.17%
2.67%
0.72%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
20.44%
Apr 2026
$204,641
0.03%
4.26%
3.58%
3.45%
3.32%
1.07%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.71%
May 2026
$252,520
1.24%
5.37%
4.44%
3.51%
0.68%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.24%
Jun 2026
$204,375
1.60%
5.06%
4.67%
0.53%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
11.86%
Jul 2026
$207,889
0.14%
4.74%
1.57%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
6.45%
Aug 2026
$210,935
1.17%
0.79%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.96%
Sep 2026
$72,865
0.27%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.27%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$3,076,473
0.74%
6.45%
5.56%
4.87%
4.38%
3.84%
3.86%
3.42%
3.24%
2.91%
2.78%
1.36%
2.69%
46.09%
CHI — Chicago · $3,566,283 written · 1,717 agreements
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Aug 2025
$182,534
1.15%
5.00%
3.90%
3.03%
3.35%
3.08%
2.58%
2.44%
2.61%
4.22%
2.38%
1.69%
1.91%
37.34%
Sep 2025
$247,025
0.40%
5.43%
4.65%
4.27%
3.76%
3.83%
3.47%
3.54%
2.79%
2.87%
2.73%
1.64%
0.87%
40.26%
Oct 2025
$275,209
0.59%
4.58%
5.24%
4.71%
4.43%
4.35%
3.86%
3.79%
3.82%
3.46%
2.42%
0.45%
0.00%
41.71%
Nov 2025
$286,510
0.88%
5.56%
6.12%
5.23%
4.11%
5.70%
3.93%
3.17%
3.10%
2.31%
1.32%
0.00%
0.00%
41.44%
Dec 2025
$217,627
0.08%
5.41%
6.16%
5.15%
4.89%
4.53%
4.07%
3.31%
3.35%
1.23%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
38.17%
Jan 2026
$268,360
1.00%
6.02%
5.88%
4.61%
4.61%
4.36%
3.71%
2.73%
0.53%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
33.45%
Feb 2026
$259,319
1.19%
5.09%
4.14%
3.38%
3.01%
2.77%
2.66%
1.07%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
23.31%
Mar 2026
$347,145
0.27%
4.49%
3.81%
3.23%
2.83%
3.15%
1.21%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
18.99%
Apr 2026
$323,880
0.35%
3.23%
3.01%
4.11%
2.83%
0.40%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
13.94%
May 2026
$294,020
0.85%
5.19%
5.00%
3.51%
0.95%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.50%
Jun 2026
$232,663
0.04%
5.40%
5.30%
1.37%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
12.10%
Jul 2026
$248,314
0.28%
6.05%
1.62%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
7.95%
Aug 2026
$271,672
1.71%
2.77%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
4.48%
Sep 2026
$102,705
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$429,559
0.72%
5.25%
4.33%
3.75%
3.58%
3.52%
3.09%
3.07%
2.71%
3.44%
2.58%
1.66%
1.31%
39.02%
Finance written each month, by city
The same layout as the manual debt sheet, so the two can be read side by side.
Florida is MIAMI on that sheet and New York is NYC. Atlanta (Icon Studio + Soul Studios) wrote nothing
after 2024 — the studios are closed, and the rows are kept because the debt is still on the book.
Month written
MIAMI
Orlando
NYC
Dallas
Houston
Boston
Nashville
Chicago
Atlanta
Total
Jan 2019
$124,389
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
$124,389
Feb 2019
$120,417
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
$120,417
Mar 2019
$163,208
—
$9,470
—
—
—
—
—
—
$172,678
Apr 2019
$114,021
—
$143,405
—
—
—
—
—
—
$257,426
May 2019
$87,475
—
$229,109
—
—
—
—
—
—
$316,584
Jun 2019
$119,950
—
$215,396
—
—
—
—
—
—
$335,346
Jul 2019
$86,021
—
$208,051
—
—
—
—
—
—
$294,072
Aug 2019
$124,899
—
$244,117
—
—
—
—
—
—
$369,016
Sep 2019
$114,062
—
$206,776
—
—
—
—
—
—
$320,838
Oct 2019
$163,147
—
$206,392
—
—
—
—
—
—
$369,539
Nov 2019
$129,144
—
$220,648
—
—
—
—
—
—
$349,792
Dec 2019
$92,850
—
$192,471
—
—
—
—
—
—
$285,321
Jan 2020
$120,837
—
$308,933
—
—
—
—
—
—
$429,770
Feb 2020
$179,391
—
$400,341
—
—
—
—
—
—
$579,732
Mar 2020
$58,675
—
$248,040
—
—
—
—
—
—
$306,715
Jun 2020
$157,085
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
$157,085
Jul 2020
$202,700
—
$255,955
—
—
—
—
—
—
$458,655
Aug 2020
$249,973
—
$546,795
—
—
$950
—
—
—
$797,718
Sep 2020
$241,308
—
$585,278
—
—
—
—
—
—
$826,586
Oct 2020
$243,200
—
$519,856
—
—
—
—
—
—
$763,056
Nov 2020
$214,116
—
$508,061
—
—
—
—
—
—
$722,177
Dec 2020
$218,602
—
$370,228
—
—
—
—
—
—
$588,830
Jan 2021
$228,832
—
$404,703
—
—
—
—
—
—
$633,535
Feb 2021
$235,725
—
$455,654
—
—
—
—
—
—
$691,379
Mar 2021
$339,689
—
$638,372
—
—
—
—
—
—
$978,061
Apr 2021
$327,854
—
$703,317
—
—
—
—
—
—
$1,031,171
May 2021
$315,138
—
$1,241,915
—
—
—
—
—
—
$1,557,052
Jun 2021
$331,725
—
$1,373,515
—
—
—
—
—
—
$1,705,240
Jul 2021
$303,510
—
$1,387,107
—
—
—
—
—
$213,560
$1,904,177
Aug 2021
$311,970
—
$1,320,437
—
—
—
—
—
$303,827
$1,936,234
Sep 2021
$195,230
—
$1,065,171
—
—
—
—
—
$404,063
$1,664,464
Oct 2021
$347,290
—
$1,185,382
—
—
—
—
—
$459,636
$1,992,308
Nov 2021
$348,790
—
$1,112,977
—
—
—
—
—
$444,420
$1,906,187
Dec 2021
$235,320
—
$890,998
—
—
—
—
—
$439,360
$1,565,678
Jan 2022
$247,705
—
$921,967
—
—
—
—
—
$368,683
$1,538,355
Feb 2022
$264,630
—
$1,193,781
—
—
—
—
—
$431,733
$1,890,144
Mar 2022
$317,050
—
$1,246,293
—
—
—
—
—
$424,268
$1,987,611
Apr 2022
$257,895
—
$1,083,223
—
—
—
—
—
$466,209
$1,807,327
May 2022
$250,757
—
$981,392
—
—
—
—
—
$609,891
$1,842,039
Jun 2022
$221,029
—
$743,787
—
—
—
—
—
$478,007
$1,442,823
Jul 2022
$233,455
—
$1,115,392
—
—
—
—
—
$433,158
$1,782,005
Aug 2022
$255,779
—
$912,027
—
—
—
—
—
$454,692
$1,622,498
Sep 2022
$209,165
—
$937,149
—
—
—
—
—
$451,095
$1,597,409
Oct 2022
$282,679
—
$949,854
—
—
—
—
—
$501,952
$1,734,485
Nov 2022
$209,232
—
$861,528
—
—
—
—
—
$418,698
$1,489,458
Dec 2022
$182,210
—
$672,149
—
—
—
—
—
$311,109
$1,165,468
Jan 2023
$180,230
—
$839,342
$214,959
—
—
—
—
$350,890
$1,585,421
Feb 2023
$195,979
—
$689,432
$322,435
$65,460
—
—
—
$369,176
$1,642,482
Mar 2023
$223,507
—
$715,872
$371,444
$379,941
—
—
—
$444,555
$2,135,319
Apr 2023
$175,566
—
$540,467
$350,726
$431,430
—
—
—
$456,271
$1,954,460
May 2023
$206,455
—
$523,938
$319,017
$331,273
—
—
—
$316,170
$1,696,853
Jun 2023
$200,402
—
$533,556
$264,105
$314,829
—
—
—
$370,870
$1,683,762
Jul 2023
$177,007
—
$491,227
$258,148
$249,635
$169,275
—
—
$254,207
$1,599,499
Aug 2023
$129,330
—
$532,078
$254,995
$219,821
$233,420
—
—
$273,053
$1,642,697
Sep 2023
$138,429
—
$546,456
$256,997
$230,128
$204,240
—
—
$215,812
$1,592,062
Oct 2023
$141,773
—
$521,691
$258,925
$215,140
$247,579
—
—
$287,285
$1,672,393
Nov 2023
$204,320
—
$469,175
$319,718
$193,080
$146,720
—
—
$340,491
$1,673,504
Dec 2023
$172,515
—
$301,825
$336,531
$206,715
$200,800
—
—
$375,766
$1,594,152
Jan 2024
$200,187
—
$447,312
$281,842
$235,204
$185,690
—
—
$406,197
$1,756,431
Feb 2024
$172,600
—
$451,945
$282,711
$274,761
$183,580
—
—
$405,912
$1,771,509
Mar 2024
$296,315
—
$557,325
$385,411
$255,795
$219,545
—
—
$437,625
$2,152,016
Apr 2024
$275,965
—
$525,559
$312,130
$210,933
$183,720
—
—
$412,405
$1,920,712
May 2024
$193,540
—
$573,675
$244,455
$254,811
$158,281
—
—
$342,911
$1,767,673
Jun 2024
$221,214
—
$555,709
$256,255
$196,828
$153,910
—
—
$303,106
$1,687,022
Jul 2024
$182,580
—
$554,533
$311,688
$183,806
$196,612
—
—
$277,856
$1,707,075
Aug 2024
$202,440
—
$574,796
$340,445
$260,630
$144,531
—
—
$214,762
$1,737,604
Sep 2024
$227,571
—
$508,385
$282,235
$201,420
$207,946
$212,110
—
$140,532
$1,780,199
Oct 2024
$183,740
—
$563,751
$258,405
$231,215
$192,880
$257,118
—
$75,553
$1,762,662
Nov 2024
$242,424
—
$529,900
$228,595
$202,550
$223,809
$212,640
—
$44,250
$1,684,167
Dec 2024
$247,340
—
$501,116
$220,485
$255,245
$145,177
$198,953
—
—
$1,568,316
Jan 2025
$324,820
—
$528,069
$247,675
$250,364
$149,662
$210,917
—
—
$1,711,507
Feb 2025
$292,530
—
$595,634
$384,748
$288,845
$259,639
$215,862
—
—
$2,037,258
Mar 2025
$346,126
—
$595,260
$405,770
$271,370
$294,555
$246,223
—
—
$2,159,304
Apr 2025
$272,922
—
$580,535
$301,520
$298,440
$286,515
$262,798
—
—
$2,002,730
May 2025
$324,843
—
$529,080
$277,987
$305,195
$277,364
$296,165
—
—
$2,010,634
Jun 2025
$331,414
—
$485,822
$305,460
$334,364
$242,510
$243,820
—
—
$1,943,390
Jul 2025
$284,653
—
$423,281
$329,177
$279,511
$170,895
$223,942
—
—
$1,711,459
Aug 2025
$253,960
—
$502,667
$361,208
$307,410
$168,745
$278,875
$182,534
—
$2,055,398
Sep 2025
$185,010
—
$412,983
$393,301
$239,520
$149,650
$217,051
$247,025
—
$1,844,540
Oct 2025
$248,320
—
$418,918
$291,669
$254,835
$110,690
$201,775
$275,209
—
$1,801,416
Nov 2025
$222,315
—
$480,766
$307,255
$225,940
$193,310
$224,965
$286,510
—
$1,941,061
Dec 2025
$207,623
—
$397,009
$274,526
$280,530
$169,877
$214,185
$217,627
—
$1,761,377
Jan 2026
$295,595
—
$388,969
$281,710
$260,445
$205,667
$215,630
$268,360
—
$1,916,376
Feb 2026
$194,485
$210,095
$284,980
$321,314
$295,830
$179,203
$301,701
$259,319
—
$2,046,927
Mar 2026
$222,577
$314,676
$347,803
$348,041
$397,220
$182,750
$218,135
$347,145
—
$2,378,347
Apr 2026
$205,304
$217,260
$352,631
$228,417
$281,605
$148,926
$204,641
$323,880
—
$1,962,664
May 2026
$227,117
$357,256
$306,799
$274,333
$356,393
$166,357
$252,520
$294,020
—
$2,234,795
Jun 2026
$239,968
$394,878
$272,907
$270,979
$304,740
$216,392
$204,375
$232,663
—
$2,136,902
Jul 2026
$233,920
$374,840
$329,892
$246,552
$337,955
$266,800
$207,889
$248,314
—
$2,246,162
Aug 2026
$164,130
$385,455
$309,363
$216,217
$329,260
$288,685
$210,935
$271,672
—
$2,175,717
Sep 2026
$77,984
$128,735
$96,588
$108,145
$152,425
$121,545
$80,585
$112,005
—
$878,012
TOTAL
$19,725,172
$2,383,195
$50,706,433
$13,108,660
$11,652,847
$7,648,401
$5,613,809
$3,566,283
$14,730,015
$129,134,814
Every city, all months combined
City
Agreements
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Florida
9,115
$19,725,172
$9,488,71648.1%
$3,017,91815.3%
$7,219,48236.6%
Orlando
995
$2,383,195
$284,52511.9%
$98,3664.1%
$2,000,30783.9%
New York
22,821
$50,706,433
$22,449,44244.3%
$11,979,54523.6%
$16,280,24532.1%
Dallas
6,160
$13,108,660
$5,183,05039.5%
$1,315,72210.0%
$6,610,66150.4%
Houston
5,527
$11,652,847
$4,419,61637.9%
$1,120,3679.6%
$6,113,32452.5%
Boston
4,051
$7,648,401
$3,613,15147.2%
$557,2647.3%
$3,478,18545.5%
Nashville
2,805
$5,613,809
$1,986,39335.4%
$209,1243.7%
$3,418,33360.9%
Chicago
1,721
$3,566,283
$849,40223.8%
$110,9453.1%
$2,606,00873.1%
Atlanta
7,589
$14,730,015
$6,426,00243.6%
$3,081,71320.9%
$5,223,25935.5%
TOTAL
60,784
$129,134,814
$54,700,29642.4%
$21,490,96416.6%
$52,949,80341.0%
Florida — 9,115 agreements, $19,725,172 of finance written
Finance written
$19,725,172
Collected
$9,488,716 48.1%
Written off
$3,017,918 15.3%
Still outstanding
$7,219,482 36.6%
Deposit taken
$5,098,457
Sale value
$24,823,629
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Jan 2019
90
$154,299
$29,910
$124,389
$77,41462.2%
$18,17514.6%
$28,80023.2%
ok
Feb 2019
95
$148,084
$27,667
$120,417
$67,72556.2%
$4,9384.1%
$47,75939.7%
ok
Mar 2019
109
$203,606
$40,398
$163,208
$92,06756.4%
$17,95411.0%
$53,17532.6%
ok
Apr 2019
73
$138,349
$24,328
$114,021
$47,38741.6%
$11,0289.7%
$55,60648.8%
ok
May 2019
69
$112,045
$24,570
$87,475
$32,63137.3%
$13,88015.9%
$40,96546.8%
ok
Jun 2019
76
$152,646
$32,696
$119,950
$67,24056.1%
$5,3454.5%
$47,36439.5%
ok
Jul 2019
71
$113,170
$27,149
$86,021
$66,41577.2%
$3,8284.5%
$15,77618.3%
ok
Aug 2019
81
$150,619
$25,720
$124,899
$73,17558.6%
$18,54714.8%
$33,17226.6%
ok
Sep 2019
59
$139,387
$25,325
$114,062
$51,97045.6%
$11,56110.1%
$50,53144.3%
ok
Oct 2019
91
$203,482
$40,335
$163,147
$107,16565.7%
$7,8204.8%
$48,17729.5%
ok
Nov 2019
79
$153,667
$24,523
$129,144
$75,77158.7%
$16,46012.7%
$36,92028.6%
ok
Dec 2019
52
$111,310
$18,460
$92,850
$51,73655.7%
$13,68614.7%
$27,43329.5%
ok
Jan 2020
89
$151,359
$30,523
$120,837
$70,85958.6%
$17,01814.1%
$32,96227.3%
ok
Feb 2020
84
$219,771
$40,380
$179,391
$86,62348.3%
$28,43315.8%
$64,33435.9%
ok
Mar 2020
33
$76,340
$17,665
$58,675
$32,68855.7%
$12,44721.2%
$13,53723.1%
ok
Jun 2020
66
$189,420
$32,335
$157,085
$91,79658.4%
$26,93017.1%
$38,36824.4%
ok
Jul 2020
89
$253,700
$51,000
$202,700
$108,21453.4%
$36,83818.2%
$57,65328.4%
ok
Aug 2020
107
$311,508
$61,535
$249,973
$133,38353.4%
$40,02516.0%
$76,56530.6%
ok
Sep 2020
106
$297,100
$55,792
$241,308
$118,89149.3%
$49,38720.5%
$73,03730.3%
ok
Oct 2020
119
$309,460
$66,260
$243,200
$128,60352.9%
$54,39422.4%
$60,20624.8%
ok
Nov 2020
110
$285,489
$71,373
$214,116
$111,36252.0%
$64,62030.2%
$38,14917.8%
ok
Dec 2020
114
$275,314
$56,712
$218,602
$135,22761.9%
$40,92518.7%
$42,44719.4%
ok
Jan 2021
113
$279,982
$51,150
$228,832
$129,60656.6%
$61,19326.7%
$38,03516.6%
ok
Feb 2021
113
$292,170
$56,445
$235,725
$142,70660.5%
$36,83915.6%
$56,19123.8%
ok
Mar 2021
150
$432,233
$92,544
$339,689
$174,75451.4%
$70,70020.8%
$94,28727.8%
ok
Apr 2021
133
$407,649
$79,795
$327,854
$166,77650.9%
$65,53020.0%
$95,57229.2%
ok
May 2021
120
$385,600
$70,463
$315,138
$160,30150.9%
$62,76119.9%
$92,10829.2%
ok
Jun 2021
126
$411,850
$80,125
$331,725
$182,41855.0%
$57,82217.4%
$91,54727.6%
ok
Jul 2021
126
$370,215
$66,705
$303,510
$158,35452.2%
$72,43323.9%
$72,76424.0%
ok
Aug 2021
132
$386,200
$74,230
$311,970
$175,58556.3%
$58,99918.9%
$77,38824.8%
ok
Sep 2021
95
$239,440
$44,210
$195,230
$89,74846.0%
$40,03320.5%
$65,47633.5%
ok
Oct 2021
138
$411,450
$64,160
$347,290
$194,12055.9%
$60,81217.5%
$92,38026.6%
ok
Nov 2021
135
$415,500
$66,710
$348,790
$170,19348.8%
$64,03618.4%
$114,60432.9%
ok
Dec 2021
90
$286,550
$51,230
$235,320
$136,54658.0%
$51,88822.1%
$46,89619.9%
ok
Jan 2022
98
$298,639
$50,934
$247,705
$125,65950.7%
$73,25329.6%
$48,80019.7%
ok
Feb 2022
101
$318,040
$53,410
$264,630
$128,58848.6%
$55,47121.0%
$80,60430.5%
ok
Mar 2022
124
$391,160
$74,110
$317,050
$159,80650.4%
$87,83127.7%
$69,44821.9%
ok
Apr 2022
103
$321,020
$63,125
$257,895
$127,31649.4%
$60,26023.4%
$70,32827.3%
ok
May 2022
102
$307,127
$56,370
$250,757
$106,27542.4%
$89,08835.5%
$55,40422.1%
ok
Jun 2022
97
$287,704
$66,675
$221,029
$106,17248.0%
$66,15229.9%
$48,71022.0%
ok
Jul 2022
96
$285,905
$52,450
$233,455
$108,73046.6%
$59,99125.7%
$64,70127.7%
ok
Aug 2022
115
$318,902
$63,123
$255,779
$104,49540.9%
$59,53223.3%
$91,75235.9%
ok
Sep 2022
89
$253,149
$43,984
$209,165
$107,16951.2%
$45,85821.9%
$56,13426.8%
ok
Oct 2022
125
$353,169
$70,490
$282,679
$150,34053.2%
$69,66024.6%
$62,71422.2%
ok
Nov 2022
96
$260,450
$51,218
$209,232
$92,30344.1%
$62,63729.9%
$54,29425.9%
ok
Dec 2022
76
$223,000
$40,790
$182,210
$90,58049.7%
$38,75021.3%
$52,92929.0%
$49
Jan 2023
77
$219,025
$38,795
$180,230
$107,03259.4%
$43,42424.1%
$29,78616.5%
ok
Feb 2023
81
$231,149
$35,170
$195,979
$90,25946.1%
$62,85732.1%
$42,87021.9%
ok
Mar 2023
87
$270,680
$47,173
$223,507
$101,52145.4%
$53,78024.1%
$68,23630.5%
ok
Apr 2023
81
$212,650
$37,084
$175,566
$88,32150.3%
$34,75519.8%
$52,52229.9%
ok
May 2023
88
$248,249
$41,794
$206,455
$112,50254.5%
$48,31023.4%
$45,66922.1%
ok
Jun 2023
81
$241,320
$40,918
$200,402
$98,96849.4%
$38,91419.4%
$62,54531.2%
ok
Jul 2023
89
$216,340
$39,333
$177,007
$91,52851.7%
$38,03421.5%
$47,47726.8%
ok
Aug 2023
67
$163,995
$34,665
$129,330
$64,87650.2%
$36,70528.4%
$27,76321.5%
ok
Sep 2023
84
$177,200
$38,771
$138,429
$74,09353.5%
$22,19516.0%
$42,11730.4%
ok
Oct 2023
85
$178,665
$36,892
$141,773
$58,56441.3%
$25,28517.8%
$57,93440.9%
ok
Nov 2023
103
$264,300
$59,980
$204,320
$116,22656.9%
$22,73111.1%
$65,40432.0%
$41
Dec 2023
97
$221,625
$49,110
$172,515
$93,06653.9%
$21,73312.6%
$57,75233.5%
$36
Jan 2024
111
$265,995
$65,808
$200,187
$107,40153.7%
$28,42814.2%
$64,38532.2%
ok
Feb 2024
96
$229,085
$56,485
$172,600
$107,71662.4%
$23,59013.7%
$41,31723.9%
ok
Mar 2024
158
$386,280
$89,965
$296,315
$153,00851.6%
$25,5678.6%
$117,78839.8%
ok
Apr 2024
141
$350,030
$74,065
$275,965
$157,08956.9%
$27,76710.1%
$91,13933.0%
ok
May 2024
101
$246,316
$52,776
$193,540
$103,66853.6%
$19,35810.0%
$70,50036.4%
ok
Jun 2024
118
$281,699
$60,485
$221,214
$132,07259.7%
$18,6028.4%
$70,56431.9%
ok
Jul 2024
95
$240,150
$57,570
$182,580
$93,40951.2%
$21,54311.8%
$67,62337.0%
ok
Aug 2024
109
$259,300
$56,860
$202,440
$99,43249.1%
$16,1588.0%
$86,85042.9%
ok
Sep 2024
109
$297,425
$69,854
$227,571
$107,16447.1%
$19,4508.5%
$100,95744.4%
ok
Oct 2024
83
$230,750
$47,010
$183,740
$92,06750.1%
$21,84011.9%
$69,83338.0%
ok
Nov 2024
106
$312,532
$70,108
$242,424
$132,77854.8%
$19,4708.0%
$90,17637.2%
ok
Dec 2024
104
$313,953
$66,613
$247,340
$119,59548.4%
$19,6868.0%
$108,06843.7%
ok
Jan 2025
148
$436,900
$112,080
$324,820
$164,17350.5%
$29,2899.0%
$131,36840.4%
ok
Feb 2025
120
$371,749
$79,219
$292,530
$168,33257.5%
$21,1387.2%
$103,06335.2%
ok
Mar 2025
155
$454,200
$108,074
$346,126
$170,72249.3%
$27,4717.9%
$147,92642.7%
ok
Apr 2025
129
$361,250
$88,328
$272,922
$135,06149.5%
$24,0588.8%
$113,79641.7%
ok
May 2025
144
$417,949
$93,106
$324,843
$128,68339.6%
$28,3848.7%
$167,78351.7%
ok
Jun 2025
139
$426,500
$95,086
$331,414
$154,53946.6%
$22,4806.8%
$154,41946.6%
ok
Jul 2025
128
$366,050
$81,397
$284,653
$128,92645.3%
$25,1458.8%
$130,57845.9%
ok
Aug 2025
109
$338,900
$84,940
$253,960
$114,42845.1%
$19,6827.8%
$119,86147.2%
ok
Sep 2025
87
$243,850
$58,840
$185,010
$78,06642.2%
$9,7755.3%
$97,16952.5%
ok
Oct 2025 ·11mo
108
$323,699
$75,379
$248,320
$104,53242.1%
$18,6257.5%
$125,16350.4%
ok
Nov 2025 ·10mo
96
$283,150
$60,835
$222,315
$104,05246.8%
$3,7001.7%
$114,56351.5%
ok
Dec 2025 ·9mo
79
$260,398
$52,775
$207,623
$69,81233.6%
$6,3673.1%
$131,44563.3%
ok
Jan 2026 ·8mo
121
$392,232
$96,637
$295,595
$98,32733.3%
$23,4507.9%
$173,81858.8%
ok
Feb 2026 ·7mo
79
$249,100
$54,615
$194,485
$64,04832.9%
$3,2001.6%
$127,23765.4%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
93
$285,850
$63,273
$222,577
$54,12624.3%
$10,4004.7%
$158,05171.0%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
81
$260,060
$54,756
$205,304
$41,82720.4%
$6,2503.0%
$157,22776.6%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
96
$286,650
$59,533
$227,117
$38,87917.1%
$8,0503.5%
$180,18879.3%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
99
$311,600
$71,632
$239,968
$27,12311.3%
$14,2796.0%
$198,56782.7%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
95
$300,650
$66,730
$233,920
$20,9689.0%
$5,7002.4%
$207,25288.6%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
71
$207,450
$43,320
$164,130
$2,8571.7%
$14,5258.8%
$146,74989.4%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
32
$99,500
$21,516
$77,984
$00.0%
$00.0%
$77,984100.0%
ok
TOTAL
9115
$24,823,629
$5,098,457
$19,725,172
$9,488,71648.1%
$3,017,91815.3%
$7,219,48236.6%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 9,112 of 9,115 agreements' finance schedules (3 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Jan 2019
$124,389
9.19%
13.20%
13.63%
4.95%
4.44%
3.46%
2.87%
1.83%
1.06%
1.06%
0.63%
1.58%
5.03%
62.92%
Feb 2019
$120,417
8.69%
13.54%
5.85%
4.31%
3.11%
3.05%
4.28%
2.78%
1.31%
1.37%
1.09%
0.82%
6.15%
56.35%
Mar 2019
$163,208
5.08%
8.73%
6.56%
4.45%
5.41%
5.35%
4.01%
4.00%
3.10%
2.09%
1.81%
1.62%
4.25%
56.45%
Apr 2019
$114,021
9.10%
7.52%
3.73%
3.09%
3.00%
2.57%
2.83%
1.48%
2.00%
1.22%
2.80%
0.90%
1.61%
41.87%
May 2019
$87,475
3.88%
10.81%
6.52%
5.07%
3.50%
2.06%
1.59%
0.50%
0.92%
0.86%
0.46%
0.48%
1.70%
38.36%
Jun 2019
$119,950
10.61%
9.82%
3.53%
4.67%
3.79%
7.37%
3.30%
2.90%
2.37%
1.52%
0.72%
0.93%
4.77%
56.31%
Jul 2019
$86,021
3.69%
24.15%
9.46%
7.54%
7.08%
5.24%
4.45%
4.03%
2.36%
1.69%
3.47%
2.30%
4.47%
79.93%
Aug 2019
$124,899
6.85%
8.67%
5.54%
5.94%
5.07%
6.91%
5.23%
2.36%
1.85%
2.04%
1.68%
1.59%
5.64%
59.37%
Sep 2019
$114,062
6.76%
9.39%
5.73%
5.82%
3.84%
4.24%
4.10%
0.77%
0.79%
0.39%
0.39%
0.46%
4.12%
46.79%
Oct 2019
$163,147
10.58%
9.46%
7.74%
6.18%
5.30%
5.55%
3.56%
2.68%
3.00%
2.17%
2.11%
1.40%
6.62%
66.35%
Nov 2019
$129,144
7.25%
8.30%
6.62%
6.83%
5.02%
3.16%
3.06%
4.22%
2.12%
2.10%
3.17%
1.91%
5.73%
59.49%
Dec 2019
$92,850
3.96%
10.30%
7.72%
9.34%
6.25%
3.48%
5.29%
1.57%
1.23%
1.09%
0.97%
0.73%
4.72%
56.64%
Jan 2020
$120,837
6.93%
13.14%
8.20%
6.19%
3.22%
5.13%
4.69%
3.59%
1.81%
1.45%
0.80%
1.03%
5.47%
61.65%
Feb 2020
$179,391
13.71%
6.40%
2.48%
3.89%
1.98%
2.54%
1.23%
1.39%
1.60%
1.98%
1.65%
1.80%
9.04%
49.69%
Mar 2020
$58,675
2.95%
6.34%
19.89%
3.40%
3.73%
2.49%
3.70%
4.09%
2.73%
2.03%
0.94%
0.17%
4.08%
56.55%
Jun 2020
$157,085
1.97%
12.26%
9.25%
5.60%
4.87%
6.69%
5.41%
2.77%
1.51%
1.69%
2.15%
2.56%
1.97%
58.71%
Jul 2020
$202,700
10.06%
12.82%
5.62%
4.22%
3.72%
3.49%
2.84%
1.42%
1.09%
1.62%
0.98%
0.99%
4.58%
53.46%
Aug 2020
$249,973
11.88%
9.36%
4.78%
4.09%
3.26%
5.49%
3.12%
2.40%
0.75%
0.86%
0.94%
1.19%
5.53%
53.65%
Sep 2020
$241,308
7.06%
11.68%
5.69%
4.97%
3.65%
4.72%
3.02%
0.90%
0.79%
1.96%
0.61%
0.48%
4.75%
50.27%
Oct 2020
$243,200
6.64%
8.04%
6.70%
5.88%
4.79%
4.90%
5.01%
3.05%
2.57%
2.12%
0.61%
0.69%
2.44%
53.45%
Nov 2020
$214,116
5.13%
9.40%
10.20%
7.02%
3.23%
3.86%
3.16%
1.91%
1.65%
0.99%
1.34%
1.17%
3.66%
52.73%
Dec 2020
$218,602
7.83%
14.67%
11.10%
7.96%
4.01%
3.86%
3.79%
1.24%
1.59%
1.05%
1.01%
0.39%
3.88%
62.39%
Jan 2021
$228,832
7.90%
13.24%
7.29%
8.53%
4.74%
3.08%
2.36%
1.59%
1.73%
1.29%
1.13%
1.03%
3.34%
57.25%
Feb 2021
$235,725
6.09%
13.27%
9.79%
5.68%
5.04%
4.09%
2.94%
2.58%
1.84%
2.13%
1.68%
1.53%
4.43%
61.08%
Mar 2021
$339,689
9.49%
13.36%
5.23%
5.06%
4.08%
2.82%
2.82%
2.02%
1.54%
1.05%
1.03%
0.83%
2.56%
51.91%
Apr 2021
$327,854
3.50%
12.61%
9.02%
5.78%
5.59%
3.14%
2.69%
2.76%
1.68%
1.18%
1.33%
0.67%
1.91%
51.86%
May 2021
$315,138
5.11%
13.04%
9.62%
4.19%
3.26%
2.49%
2.42%
1.73%
1.83%
1.46%
1.80%
1.10%
3.50%
51.54%
Jun 2021
$331,725
5.02%
12.64%
6.82%
4.19%
4.59%
5.05%
3.49%
2.59%
2.51%
2.01%
2.34%
1.62%
3.09%
55.96%
Jul 2021
$303,510
2.47%
11.49%
8.82%
4.29%
4.15%
3.52%
3.60%
2.68%
2.00%
2.65%
1.54%
1.39%
4.56%
53.15%
Aug 2021
$311,970
8.86%
11.29%
7.61%
4.70%
3.44%
4.18%
3.11%
2.66%
2.43%
1.69%
1.75%
1.23%
4.07%
57.03%
Sep 2021
$195,230
4.23%
10.28%
3.77%
4.25%
6.84%
3.94%
2.49%
2.97%
0.90%
0.89%
0.98%
1.28%
3.31%
46.12%
Oct 2021
$347,290
3.49%
11.30%
6.12%
5.36%
6.19%
4.62%
3.98%
4.17%
2.47%
2.81%
2.31%
1.50%
3.58%
57.90%
Nov 2021
$348,790
4.24%
7.10%
8.48%
5.86%
6.61%
4.15%
2.52%
1.88%
1.64%
1.21%
1.66%
0.73%
3.72%
49.80%
Dec 2021
$235,320
7.16%
10.62%
6.76%
5.72%
4.54%
5.12%
3.04%
2.69%
1.85%
2.22%
2.44%
1.33%
5.17%
58.66%
Jan 2022
$247,705
3.19%
7.24%
8.88%
7.95%
5.87%
4.03%
3.14%
2.59%
2.40%
2.17%
0.71%
1.12%
4.11%
53.41%
Feb 2022
$264,630
5.65%
10.83%
6.56%
5.21%
2.57%
2.78%
4.51%
2.11%
1.71%
2.08%
1.51%
0.70%
3.11%
49.34%
Mar 2022
$317,050
6.34%
11.62%
8.38%
5.45%
3.74%
3.14%
2.58%
2.58%
1.26%
1.34%
1.08%
0.72%
3.06%
51.29%
Apr 2022
$257,895
5.70%
13.50%
7.77%
4.18%
5.86%
3.50%
2.46%
1.64%
1.64%
0.74%
1.14%
0.44%
1.92%
50.47%
May 2022
$250,757
8.97%
10.02%
3.83%
3.22%
2.32%
3.96%
2.20%
1.27%
0.99%
1.07%
1.02%
1.63%
2.47%
42.98%
Jun 2022
$221,029
7.05%
8.25%
6.46%
3.34%
3.82%
4.29%
3.18%
2.14%
2.49%
1.57%
1.87%
1.44%
5.32%
51.22%
Jul 2022
$233,455
4.84%
12.80%
4.93%
4.25%
4.88%
3.17%
3.22%
3.09%
2.21%
1.58%
1.05%
1.10%
0.88%
48.01%
Aug 2022
$255,779
5.20%
9.13%
6.78%
4.62%
3.17%
3.99%
2.98%
1.70%
1.27%
0.92%
1.32%
0.35%
0.83%
42.24%
Sep 2022
$209,165
3.71%
12.95%
6.72%
6.13%
4.66%
3.36%
4.07%
3.04%
2.06%
2.30%
1.38%
1.00%
0.86%
52.25%
Oct 2022
$282,679
4.63%
12.61%
7.09%
6.08%
3.99%
3.73%
3.35%
2.87%
2.74%
1.65%
1.45%
1.07%
2.79%
54.05%
Nov 2022
$209,232
3.97%
10.04%
5.83%
4.05%
4.36%
3.90%
5.37%
2.10%
2.43%
1.91%
0.99%
0.90%
1.50%
47.36%
Dec 2022
$182,210
5.03%
6.55%
7.23%
5.36%
5.43%
2.68%
4.58%
2.92%
2.32%
3.04%
1.84%
0.80%
3.41%
51.20%
Jan 2023
$180,230
3.04%
13.02%
6.34%
4.17%
8.18%
3.16%
4.32%
3.15%
3.03%
3.08%
2.69%
1.73%
4.87%
60.77%
Feb 2023
$195,979
2.60%
10.98%
6.84%
6.39%
4.48%
3.31%
3.05%
2.17%
1.85%
1.30%
1.24%
0.71%
2.45%
47.36%
Mar 2023
$223,507
5.48%
9.05%
5.91%
5.96%
2.90%
3.10%
2.98%
1.76%
1.90%
1.48%
1.51%
1.33%
3.26%
46.62%
Apr 2023
$175,566
6.00%
8.65%
7.07%
5.20%
3.52%
3.63%
2.17%
2.05%
2.39%
2.12%
2.79%
1.30%
3.42%
50.31%
May 2023
$206,455
5.11%
10.18%
8.30%
3.62%
3.90%
3.39%
3.15%
3.61%
3.33%
3.13%
2.47%
1.91%
5.28%
57.37%
Jun 2023
$200,402
7.84%
9.98%
5.72%
4.57%
5.97%
3.81%
2.08%
2.91%
1.43%
1.51%
1.50%
1.01%
2.74%
51.07%
Jul 2023
$177,007
7.62%
7.16%
7.40%
6.56%
5.29%
3.72%
2.72%
2.33%
1.93%
2.35%
1.57%
1.54%
2.97%
53.17%
Aug 2023
$129,330
5.59%
15.15%
5.01%
5.99%
3.46%
2.62%
1.62%
3.17%
2.33%
1.13%
3.74%
1.14%
2.00%
52.96%
Sep 2023
$138,429
9.90%
12.40%
5.32%
5.02%
3.63%
3.90%
2.37%
1.90%
2.67%
1.33%
2.00%
0.97%
3.54%
54.95%
Oct 2023
$141,773
7.05%
8.07%
4.58%
4.98%
3.28%
2.84%
2.60%
1.89%
1.48%
1.28%
0.89%
0.40%
2.67%
42.02%
Nov 2023
$204,320
0.97%
5.97%
6.75%
5.19%
5.91%
4.58%
3.94%
3.49%
3.70%
3.60%
2.94%
2.58%
8.09%
57.73%
Dec 2023
$172,515
2.10%
6.33%
6.39%
5.12%
5.25%
4.75%
4.71%
2.85%
3.12%
2.68%
2.63%
2.39%
6.06%
54.39%
Jan 2024
$200,187
0.52%
6.60%
5.10%
6.20%
5.56%
4.10%
4.96%
4.37%
2.94%
2.43%
2.15%
2.30%
7.28%
54.49%
Feb 2024
$172,600
0.78%
8.24%
6.87%
6.24%
4.24%
3.97%
4.36%
4.60%
4.57%
3.53%
3.15%
3.44%
8.29%
62.30%
Mar 2024
$296,315
2.81%
6.81%
5.98%
4.69%
4.01%
4.50%
3.44%
3.24%
3.14%
3.00%
2.86%
2.35%
5.72%
52.55%
Apr 2024
$275,965
0.72%
7.82%
4.96%
4.69%
4.74%
4.93%
4.39%
3.84%
3.49%
4.08%
3.36%
2.88%
6.98%
56.89%
May 2024
$193,540
0.65%
7.97%
5.82%
4.76%
4.15%
4.40%
4.38%
3.97%
4.25%
4.01%
3.89%
1.50%
4.05%
53.80%
Jun 2024
$221,214
3.97%
7.59%
7.66%
5.41%
5.27%
5.72%
5.37%
3.70%
3.47%
3.32%
3.32%
2.06%
3.11%
59.96%
Jul 2024
$182,580
0.00%
7.53%
5.52%
5.03%
4.80%
4.44%
4.65%
4.38%
4.10%
3.00%
2.84%
1.75%
4.19%
52.22%
Aug 2024
$202,440
0.24%
7.60%
7.68%
5.64%
4.64%
4.25%
4.01%
2.96%
3.17%
2.12%
2.59%
1.17%
3.39%
49.46%
Sep 2024
$227,571
1.91%
6.66%
4.68%
5.17%
3.49%
3.75%
3.35%
4.26%
1.70%
2.60%
2.90%
1.46%
5.05%
46.99%
Oct 2024
$183,740
0.05%
7.44%
5.97%
5.09%
4.89%
4.13%
5.51%
2.27%
2.94%
2.82%
2.75%
1.51%
3.09%
48.45%
Nov 2024
$242,424
0.35%
8.29%
6.25%
5.50%
5.30%
4.71%
3.60%
3.51%
3.55%
3.17%
2.65%
2.52%
6.31%
55.72%
Dec 2024
$247,340
0.00%
6.74%
5.71%
5.26%
4.71%
4.08%
3.69%
3.47%
3.00%
3.35%
2.92%
1.38%
3.90%
48.19%
Jan 2025
$324,820
0.75%
6.98%
4.93%
5.21%
3.50%
4.29%
3.69%
3.40%
4.00%
3.99%
3.08%
1.32%
5.13%
50.26%
Feb 2025
$292,530
0.56%
8.15%
6.67%
6.14%
5.36%
5.74%
4.56%
4.37%
4.44%
3.58%
3.89%
1.08%
3.76%
58.30%
Mar 2025
$346,126
0.04%
6.92%
6.02%
4.13%
4.70%
4.16%
3.71%
3.98%
3.11%
3.71%
2.71%
1.60%
4.08%
48.86%
Apr 2025
$272,922
3.33%
6.25%
5.33%
5.27%
5.37%
4.30%
3.76%
3.80%
3.41%
2.99%
3.06%
0.91%
3.00%
50.79%
May 2025
$324,843
0.31%
5.84%
5.37%
4.49%
3.48%
4.16%
2.98%
2.72%
3.15%
2.25%
2.54%
1.00%
1.98%
40.25%
Jun 2025
$331,414
0.00%
6.00%
5.66%
5.05%
4.61%
4.04%
3.64%
3.71%
3.27%
3.29%
3.02%
1.52%
3.21%
47.02%
Jul 2025
$284,653
1.04%
6.11%
5.31%
4.35%
4.17%
3.78%
3.55%
4.19%
4.07%
2.90%
2.93%
1.88%
1.79%
46.06%
Aug 2025
$253,960
0.67%
5.89%
6.10%
4.70%
5.32%
4.21%
3.11%
2.89%
3.47%
3.33%
2.80%
2.05%
1.52%
46.06%
Sep 2025
$185,010
0.00%
5.43%
5.62%
5.07%
4.50%
4.53%
4.17%
3.64%
4.87%
1.95%
2.06%
0.83%
0.40%
43.08%
Oct 2025
$248,320
1.13%
5.88%
5.78%
5.30%
4.13%
4.04%
3.91%
3.65%
3.84%
2.96%
2.48%
0.71%
0.00%
43.81%
Nov 2025
$222,315
0.79%
6.65%
6.43%
5.09%
5.56%
5.34%
4.82%
3.98%
3.86%
3.22%
0.98%
0.00%
0.00%
46.72%
Dec 2025
$207,623
0.65%
5.42%
5.37%
5.96%
3.45%
3.54%
2.71%
3.07%
2.54%
0.55%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
33.25%
Jan 2026
$295,595
3.16%
6.51%
5.17%
4.47%
3.68%
4.42%
3.01%
2.22%
0.78%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
33.44%
Feb 2026
$194,485
2.24%
6.13%
4.82%
4.93%
6.02%
3.87%
3.30%
0.80%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
32.12%
Mar 2026
$222,577
0.27%
6.31%
5.27%
3.93%
3.88%
3.39%
1.07%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
24.11%
Apr 2026
$205,304
0.61%
5.10%
5.32%
3.58%
4.28%
0.74%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
19.64%
May 2026
$227,117
0.73%
7.30%
4.85%
3.79%
0.49%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
17.15%
Jun 2026
$239,968
0.15%
5.19%
4.38%
1.73%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
11.44%
Jul 2026
$233,920
1.91%
5.65%
0.80%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
8.36%
Aug 2026
$164,130
0.98%
1.21%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
2.19%
Sep 2026
$69,109
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$17,185,834
4.47%
9.58%
6.66%
5.21%
4.49%
4.05%
3.48%
2.80%
2.42%
2.16%
1.98%
1.32%
3.79%
52.42%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 79 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$683,564 (46% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $672,863 against an actual $805,235 —
-16.4%, so the model runs slightly conservative.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$90,91220.3%
Nov 2026
+2
$74,49116.7%
Dec 2026
+3
$61,58313.8%
Jan 2027
+4
$51,13511.4%
Feb 2027
+5
$41,6739.3%
Mar 2027
+6
$33,9637.6%
Apr 2027
+7
$27,3236.1%
May 2027
+8
$21,6974.9%
Jun 2027
+9
$16,6403.7%
Jul 2027
+10
$12,2832.7%
Aug 2027
+11
$8,9422.0%
Sep 2027
+12
$6,6071.5%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$447,2516.2% of the $7,219,482 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Jun 2026
2
$239,968
$23,3179.7%
$49,688 20.7%
47
$-26,371
May 2026
3
$227,117
$37,84716.7%
$58,849 25.9%
64
$-21,002
Apr 2026
4
$205,304
$38,79318.9%
$62,423 30.4%
62
$-23,630
Mar 2026
5
$222,577
$51,29523.0%
$76,680 34.5%
67
$-25,386
Feb 2026
6
$194,485
$60,92031.3%
$73,770 37.9%
83
$-12,851
Jan 2026
7
$295,595
$96,51532.7%
$120,406 40.7%
80
$-23,891
Dec 2025
8
$207,623
$67,89832.7%
$89,605 43.2%
76
$-21,707
Nov 2025
9
$222,315
$101,69545.7%
$100,758 45.3%
101
+$936
Oct 2025
10
$248,320
$107,02743.1%
$117,466 47.3%
91
$-10,439
Sep 2025
11
$185,010
$78,96442.7%
$89,968 48.6%
88
$-11,004
Aug 2025
12
$253,960
$116,73846.0%
$126,173 49.7%
93
$-9,435
Jul 2025
13
$284,653
$131,09846.1%
$143,027 50.2%
92
$-11,929
Jun 2025
14
$331,414
$155,70147.0%
$167,880 50.7%
93
$-12,179
May 2025
15
$324,843
$130,57040.2%
$165,620 51.0%
79
$-35,050
Apr 2025
16
$272,922
$138,62350.8%
$139,754 51.2%
99
$-1,131
Mar 2025
17
$346,126
$168,37048.6%
$177,889 51.4%
95
$-9,519
Feb 2025
18
$292,530
$170,55058.3%
$150,758 51.5%
113
+$19,792
Jan 2025
19
$324,820
$163,24650.3%
$167,797 51.7%
97
$-4,551
Dec 2024
20
$247,340
$119,20148.2%
$127,955 51.7%
93
$-8,754
Nov 2024
21
$242,424
$135,07655.7%
$125,595 51.8%
108
+$9,481
Oct 2024
22
$183,740
$89,01848.4%
$95,329 51.9%
93
$-6,311
Sep 2024
23
$227,571
$106,93947.0%
$118,199 51.9%
90
$-11,260
Aug 2024
24
$202,440
$100,12049.5%
$105,227 52.0%
95
$-5,107
Jul 2024
25
$182,580
$95,34752.2%
$94,950 52.0%
100
+$397
Jun 2024
26
$221,214
$132,64060.0%
$115,149 52.1%
115
+$17,491
May 2024
27
$193,540
$104,12953.8%
$100,829 52.1%
103
+$3,300
Apr 2024
28
$275,965
$157,00556.9%
$143,819 52.1%
109
+$13,187
Mar 2024
29
$296,315
$155,71552.6%
$154,480 52.1%
101
+$1,235
Feb 2024
30
$172,600
$107,52762.3%
$89,999 52.1%
119
+$17,528
Jan 2024
31
$200,187
$109,09154.5%
$104,421 52.2%
104
+$4,669
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
Jun 2022
$221,029
$113,20951.2%
$7,0386.2%
$106,172
$106,172
ok
Oct 2021
$347,290
$201,06857.9%
$6,9503.5%
$194,118
$194,120
ok
Nov 2022
$209,232
$99,09447.4%
$6,7916.9%
$92,303
$92,303
ok
Jan 2022
$247,705
$132,28853.4%
$6,6295.0%
$125,659
$125,659
ok
May 2023
$206,455
$118,44257.4%
$5,9405.0%
$112,502
$112,502
ok
Apr 2025
$272,922
$138,62350.8%
$5,8154.2%
$132,808
$135,061
$-2,253
Oct 2025
$248,320
$108,78243.8%
$4,9754.6%
$103,807
$104,532
$-725
Jan 2025
$324,820
$163,24650.3%
$4,2642.6%
$158,982
$164,173
$-5,191
Nov 2024
$242,424
$135,07655.7%
$4,1453.1%
$130,932
$132,778
$-1,846
Feb 2025
$292,530
$170,55058.3%
$4,0832.4%
$166,467
$168,332
$-1,865
Mar 2024
$296,315
$155,71552.6%
$3,6782.4%
$152,037
$153,008
$-971
Jan 2020
$120,837
$74,50161.7%
$3,6424.9%
$70,859
$70,859
ok
Aug 2023
$129,330
$68,49753.0%
$3,6215.3%
$64,876
$64,876
ok
Aug 2022
$255,779
$108,04042.2%
$3,5453.3%
$104,495
$104,495
ok
Nov 2021
$348,790
$173,71449.8%
$3,5222.0%
$170,193
$170,193
ok
Jun 2023
$200,402
$102,34851.1%
$3,3803.3%
$98,968
$98,968
ok
Jul 2022
$233,455
$112,08248.0%
$3,3523.0%
$108,730
$108,730
ok
Apr 2021
$327,854
$170,01451.9%
$3,2381.9%
$166,776
$166,776
ok
Jun 2021
$331,725
$185,61856.0%
$3,2001.7%
$182,418
$182,418
ok
Jul 2021
$303,510
$161,33053.2%
$2,9771.8%
$158,354
$158,354
ok
Jul 2025
$284,653
$131,09846.1%
$2,9732.3%
$128,126
$128,926
$-800
Apr 2022
$257,895
$130,16850.5%
$2,8532.2%
$127,316
$127,316
ok
Oct 2020
$243,200
$129,99953.5%
$2,8392.2%
$127,160
$128,603
$-1,443
Mar 2022
$317,050
$162,62951.3%
$2,8231.7%
$159,806
$159,806
ok
ALL MONTHS
$19,716,297
$9,635,73348.9%
$193,7662.0%
$9,441,967
Orlando — 995 agreements, $2,383,195 of finance written
Finance written
$2,383,195
Collected
$284,525 11.9%
Written off
$98,366 4.1%
Still outstanding
$2,000,307 83.9%
Deposit taken
$561,695
Sale value
$2,944,890
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Feb 2026 ·7mo
81
$257,350
$47,255
$210,095
$48,92823.3%
$5000.2%
$160,66776.5%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
133
$387,875
$73,199
$314,676
$68,77021.9%
$12,2813.9%
$233,62774.2%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
92
$262,000
$44,740
$217,260
$31,89014.7%
$7,6003.5%
$177,77081.8%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
151
$442,785
$85,529
$357,256
$50,24414.1%
$23,4106.6%
$283,60279.4%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
155
$490,920
$96,042
$394,878
$43,21810.9%
$30,8757.8%
$320,78581.2%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
153
$458,050
$83,210
$374,840
$35,6799.5%
$9,2502.5%
$329,91188.0%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
173
$487,460
$102,005
$385,455
$5,7951.5%
$14,4503.7%
$365,21094.7%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
57
$158,450
$29,715
$128,735
$00.0%
$00.0%
$128,735100.0%
ok
TOTAL
995
$2,944,890
$561,695
$2,383,195
$284,52511.9%
$98,3664.1%
$2,000,30783.9%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 991 of 995 agreements' finance schedules (4 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Feb 2026
$210,095
0.00%
6.05%
4.16%
3.33%
3.71%
3.03%
2.61%
0.16%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
23.05%
Mar 2026
$314,676
0.10%
5.22%
5.24%
3.63%
3.28%
2.75%
1.26%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
21.47%
Apr 2026
$217,260
0.27%
4.83%
4.09%
3.42%
2.73%
0.42%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.76%
May 2026
$357,256
1.29%
6.66%
3.25%
3.47%
0.22%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
14.89%
Jun 2026
$394,878
1.29%
5.19%
3.36%
0.54%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
10.38%
Jul 2026
$374,840
1.14%
6.76%
1.38%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
9.29%
Aug 2026
$385,455
0.31%
0.65%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.96%
Sep 2026
$118,835
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 0 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
May 2026
$357,256
$53,19914.9%
$4,1867.9%
$49,014
$50,244
$-1,231
Apr 2026
$217,260
$34,24215.8%
$2,9888.7%
$31,254
$31,890
$-636
Jul 2026
$374,840
$34,8049.3%
$2,1636.2%
$32,642
$35,679
$-3,037
Feb 2026
$210,095
$48,42723.0%
$5831.2%
$47,843
$48,928
$-1,085
Aug 2026
$385,455
$3,7101.0%
$55014.8%
$3,160
$5,795
$-2,635
Mar 2026
$314,676
$67,56221.5%
$5500.8%
$67,012
$68,770
$-1,758
Jun 2026
$394,878
$40,97610.4%
$4981.2%
$40,479
$43,218
$-2,739
ALL MONTHS
$2,373,295
$282,92011.9%
$11,5164.1%
$271,403
New York — 22,821 agreements, $50,706,433 of finance written
Finance written
$50,706,433
Collected
$22,449,442 44.3%
Written off
$11,979,545 23.6%
Still outstanding
$16,280,245 32.1%
Deposit taken
$11,237,351
Sale value
$61,943,784
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Mar 2019
6
$11,320
$1,850
$9,470
$5,03053.1%
$4,14043.7%
$3003.2%
ok
Apr 2019
141
$181,812
$38,407
$143,405
$76,84253.6%
$38,65427.0%
$27,90719.5%
ok
May 2019
169
$282,841
$53,733
$229,109
$123,53353.9%
$48,35621.1%
$57,23825.0%
ok
Jun 2019
166
$269,372
$53,976
$215,396
$132,94861.7%
$35,60616.5%
$46,84321.7%
ok
Jul 2019
164
$264,249
$56,199
$208,051
$130,46662.7%
$28,10813.5%
$49,47023.8%
ok
Aug 2019
203
$316,101
$71,984
$244,117
$170,27469.8%
$43,68017.9%
$30,17312.4%
ok
Sep 2019
166
$270,846
$64,070
$206,776
$138,30366.9%
$33,86116.4%
$34,63616.8%
ok
Oct 2019
172
$269,298
$62,906
$206,392
$125,55860.8%
$39,66019.2%
$41,16119.9%
ok
Nov 2019
183
$288,405
$67,757
$220,648
$150,91968.4%
$38,02817.2%
$31,70814.4%
ok
Dec 2019
164
$262,221
$69,751
$192,471
$124,75564.8%
$39,95320.8%
$27,75114.4%
ok
Jan 2020
223
$393,221
$84,288
$308,933
$192,12862.2%
$69,81322.6%
$47,04415.2%
ok
Feb 2020
331
$526,138
$125,797
$400,341
$269,91767.4%
$72,32418.1%
$58,12114.5%
ok
Mar 2020
171
$321,954
$73,915
$248,040
$176,14571.0%
$31,38712.7%
$40,54316.3%
ok
Jul 2020
156
$337,292
$81,337
$255,955
$160,58862.7%
$30,53911.9%
$64,85325.3%
ok
Aug 2020
299
$695,417
$148,622
$546,795
$323,49759.2%
$86,99115.9%
$136,31024.9%
ok
Sep 2020
279
$742,371
$157,093
$585,278
$319,12454.5%
$125,98621.5%
$140,17423.9%
ok
Oct 2020
260
$678,661
$158,805
$519,856
$339,12965.2%
$86,04716.6%
$94,68418.2%
ok
Nov 2020
244
$622,595
$114,534
$508,061
$268,16252.8%
$107,13421.1%
$132,77926.1%
ok
Dec 2020
212
$461,771
$91,543
$370,228
$225,66261.0%
$67,76118.3%
$76,80520.7%
ok
Jan 2021
234
$518,760
$114,057
$404,703
$255,00063.0%
$78,75419.5%
$70,95117.5%
ok
Feb 2021
219
$559,774
$104,120
$455,654
$269,74559.2%
$100,75922.1%
$85,15118.7%
ok
Mar 2021
280
$793,941
$155,569
$638,372
$292,56945.8%
$189,37329.7%
$156,45524.5%
ok
Apr 2021
316
$866,811
$163,494
$703,317
$331,15847.1%
$199,66328.4%
$172,48224.5%
ok
May 2021
497
$1,510,985
$269,070
$1,241,915
$577,60746.5%
$376,53530.3%
$287,80923.2%
ok
Jun 2021
550
$1,688,063
$314,548
$1,373,515
$564,47841.1%
$458,90033.4%
$350,20525.5%
ok
Jul 2021
564
$1,684,674
$297,567
$1,387,107
$591,30442.6%
$433,80431.3%
$362,04926.1%
ok
Aug 2021
536
$1,589,197
$268,760
$1,320,437
$609,66746.2%
$402,62230.5%
$308,21223.3%
ok
Sep 2021
437
$1,308,374
$243,203
$1,065,171
$527,87449.6%
$309,69029.1%
$227,69421.4%
ok
Oct 2021
470
$1,445,567
$260,185
$1,185,382
$572,85048.3%
$363,92130.7%
$248,65721.0%
ok
Nov 2021
405
$1,340,399
$227,422
$1,112,977
$496,08044.6%
$368,78633.1%
$248,18022.3%
ok
Dec 2021
356
$1,069,340
$178,342
$890,998
$369,37541.5%
$306,93234.4%
$214,71424.1%
ok
Jan 2022
369
$1,130,473
$208,506
$921,967
$458,36449.7%
$269,88629.3%
$193,73521.0%
ok
Feb 2022
442
$1,420,145
$226,364
$1,193,781
$496,51541.6%
$411,08134.4%
$286,30324.0%
ok
Mar 2022
443
$1,489,494
$243,201
$1,246,293
$499,64540.1%
$446,39535.8%
$300,34824.1%
ok
Apr 2022
392
$1,317,918
$234,696
$1,083,223
$395,20736.5%
$416,12938.4%
$271,98925.1%
ok
May 2022
355
$1,165,509
$184,117
$981,392
$319,58932.6%
$419,81942.8%
$242,07224.7%
ok
Jun 2022
272
$891,350
$147,563
$743,787
$265,71935.7%
$307,82041.4%
$170,31022.9%
ok
Jul 2022
392
$1,325,650
$210,258
$1,115,392
$448,09840.2%
$446,33540.0%
$221,06919.8%
ok
Aug 2022
351
$1,089,880
$177,853
$912,027
$404,59744.4%
$342,96837.6%
$164,49218.0%
ok
Sep 2022
363
$1,121,539
$184,390
$937,149
$360,21238.4%
$372,97439.8%
$204,00521.8%
ok
Oct 2022
369
$1,143,093
$193,239
$949,854
$402,55942.4%
$323,50334.1%
$223,79823.6%
ok
Nov 2022
338
$1,032,939
$171,411
$861,528
$355,97941.3%
$286,30133.2%
$219,32325.5%
ok
Dec 2022
282
$801,769
$129,620
$672,149
$288,78243.0%
$229,21934.1%
$154,20722.9%
ok
Jan 2023
335
$1,006,274
$166,932
$839,342
$384,92345.9%
$265,97531.7%
$188,48722.5%
ok
Feb 2023
261
$815,675
$126,243
$689,432
$272,66739.5%
$232,16633.7%
$184,64526.8%
ok
Mar 2023
281
$863,245
$147,373
$715,872
$324,97245.4%
$223,21431.2%
$167,75723.4%
ok
Apr 2023
226
$662,589
$122,122
$540,467
$229,00742.4%
$171,57931.7%
$139,94725.9%
ok
May 2023
217
$638,798
$114,860
$523,938
$219,87442.0%
$172,66833.0%
$131,44825.1%
ok
Jun 2023
227
$657,388
$123,832
$533,556
$235,91044.2%
$165,78531.1%
$131,92324.7%
ok
Jul 2023
212
$587,699
$96,472
$491,227
$217,26444.2%
$154,56531.5%
$119,46324.3%
ok
Aug 2023
221
$646,599
$114,521
$532,078
$239,15444.9%
$137,76025.9%
$155,26429.2%
ok
Sep 2023
227
$651,660
$105,204
$546,456
$226,51441.5%
$178,13032.6%
$141,87026.0%
ok
Oct 2023
241
$641,750
$120,059
$521,691
$251,04848.1%
$121,55823.3%
$149,11928.6%
ok
Nov 2023
212
$570,700
$101,525
$469,175
$175,05037.3%
$142,95530.5%
$151,19332.2%
ok
Dec 2023
162
$361,450
$59,625
$301,825
$132,23743.8%
$95,47431.6%
$74,15124.6%
ok
Jan 2024
224
$564,371
$117,059
$447,312
$229,23251.2%
$59,08913.2%
$159,08335.6%
$93
Feb 2024
234
$564,749
$112,804
$451,945
$210,39446.6%
$45,27710.0%
$196,34143.4%
ok
Mar 2024
258
$691,550
$134,225
$557,325
$282,45750.7%
$49,4098.9%
$225,50940.5%
ok
Apr 2024
248
$641,177
$115,618
$525,559
$246,98547.0%
$40,9387.8%
$237,64745.2%
ok
May 2024
288
$709,050
$135,375
$573,675
$288,47050.3%
$45,8578.0%
$239,41641.7%
ok
Jun 2024
261
$678,300
$122,591
$555,709
$293,52252.8%
$36,3886.5%
$225,82740.6%
ok
Jul 2024
266
$681,249
$126,716
$554,533
$296,31453.4%
$46,6638.4%
$211,57138.2%
ok
Aug 2024
287
$700,059
$125,263
$574,796
$268,13046.6%
$47,2758.2%
$259,46345.1%
ok
Sep 2024
248
$624,349
$115,965
$508,385
$272,83853.7%
$46,3279.1%
$189,22737.2%
ok
Oct 2024
274
$688,099
$124,348
$563,751
$265,97547.2%
$36,8206.5%
$260,98146.3%
ok
Nov 2024
242
$648,680
$118,780
$529,900
$264,81550.0%
$38,7567.3%
$226,37242.7%
ok
Dec 2024
229
$599,650
$98,534
$501,116
$243,96348.7%
$38,4607.7%
$218,74843.7%
ok
Jan 2025
255
$640,348
$112,279
$528,069
$273,85351.9%
$32,1376.1%
$222,10242.1%
ok
Feb 2025
272
$721,196
$125,562
$595,634
$275,90846.3%
$38,0296.4%
$281,71947.3%
ok
Mar 2025
287
$716,599
$121,339
$595,260
$224,87437.8%
$52,4598.8%
$317,98153.4%
ok
Apr 2025
264
$697,799
$117,264
$580,535
$262,57745.2%
$26,5334.6%
$291,41950.2%
ok
May 2025
266
$638,150
$109,070
$529,080
$204,68438.7%
$44,1338.3%
$280,27653.0%
ok
Jun 2025
230
$600,869
$115,047
$485,822
$196,63740.5%
$24,1365.0%
$265,07854.6%
ok
Jul 2025
210
$522,149
$98,868
$423,281
$158,99837.6%
$21,4205.1%
$242,87457.4%
ok
Aug 2025
243
$619,849
$117,182
$502,667
$185,68236.9%
$25,1495.0%
$291,83858.1%
ok
Sep 2025
210
$511,146
$98,163
$412,983
$154,19637.3%
$20,8535.0%
$237,94957.6%
ok
Oct 2025 ·11mo
221
$520,124
$101,206
$418,918
$161,01838.4%
$6,9841.7%
$250,90559.9%
ok
Nov 2025 ·10mo
224
$603,750
$122,984
$480,766
$155,95032.4%
$51,76310.8%
$273,05156.8%
ok
Dec 2025 ·9mo
168
$479,223
$82,214
$397,009
$116,24529.3%
$31,7058.0%
$249,06562.7%
ok
Jan 2026 ·8mo
168
$472,199
$83,230
$388,969
$125,42532.2%
$18,2254.7%
$245,32763.1%
ok
Feb 2026 ·7mo
129
$344,850
$59,870
$284,980
$59,62820.9%
$11,6654.1%
$213,68775.0%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
146
$416,298
$68,495
$347,803
$57,36216.5%
$15,6004.5%
$274,84379.0%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
145
$424,349
$71,718
$352,631
$53,83515.3%
$15,9004.5%
$282,89680.2%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
140
$374,100
$67,301
$306,799
$44,76514.6%
$14,1504.6%
$247,88480.8%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
120
$343,600
$70,693
$272,907
$29,99411.0%
$14,7755.4%
$228,13883.6%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
137
$405,699
$75,807
$329,892
$24,3037.4%
$8,6002.6%
$296,98990.0%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
129
$374,649
$65,286
$309,363
$5,8381.9%
$15,7005.1%
$287,82593.0%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
35
$120,199
$23,611
$96,588
$00.0%
$6,3506.6%
$90,23893.4%
ok
TOTAL
22821
$61,943,784
$11,237,351
$50,706,433
$22,449,44244.3%
$11,979,54523.6%
$16,280,24532.1%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 22,819 of 22,821 agreements' finance schedules (2 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Mar 2019
$9,470
0.00%
4.70%
4.91%
6.18%
3.85%
3.85%
3.85%
3.85%
3.85%
3.85%
3.85%
3.85%
6.49%
53.12%
Apr 2019
$143,405
5.82%
11.66%
9.23%
4.65%
5.09%
3.14%
2.57%
2.05%
1.42%
1.32%
0.47%
1.49%
4.88%
53.78%
May 2019
$229,109
5.18%
10.29%
8.76%
7.90%
4.39%
2.69%
2.52%
1.41%
1.93%
2.11%
1.43%
1.02%
7.29%
56.92%
Jun 2019
$215,396
8.19%
12.62%
7.84%
4.92%
4.55%
4.13%
2.27%
3.69%
1.46%
2.58%
1.95%
2.13%
5.23%
61.55%
Jul 2019
$208,051
7.66%
12.96%
7.27%
5.65%
5.22%
3.37%
2.95%
2.72%
2.18%
1.55%
1.84%
2.62%
6.98%
62.96%
Aug 2019
$244,117
8.71%
18.33%
10.07%
6.19%
4.34%
4.18%
4.25%
2.62%
2.10%
2.21%
1.80%
1.13%
4.37%
70.30%
Sep 2019
$206,776
11.26%
16.28%
7.94%
5.17%
5.50%
4.34%
2.92%
3.01%
2.99%
1.85%
1.74%
1.23%
4.09%
68.33%
Oct 2019
$206,392
7.29%
13.73%
9.06%
6.84%
3.65%
2.83%
3.95%
2.71%
2.56%
2.47%
1.95%
1.44%
3.49%
61.97%
Nov 2019
$220,648
11.90%
12.97%
9.08%
7.36%
4.18%
3.99%
3.11%
4.25%
2.46%
1.92%
1.37%
1.79%
4.24%
68.62%
Dec 2019
$192,471
5.43%
14.92%
12.76%
7.03%
5.75%
4.31%
2.48%
2.19%
1.59%
1.73%
1.70%
1.13%
5.55%
66.58%
Jan 2020
$308,933
9.74%
14.24%
7.49%
4.85%
6.41%
4.70%
3.63%
2.03%
2.00%
1.91%
1.22%
1.10%
3.66%
62.98%
Feb 2020
$400,341
5.73%
14.86%
7.80%
8.35%
8.02%
5.03%
3.69%
2.62%
2.04%
1.52%
1.38%
1.41%
6.51%
68.94%
Mar 2020
$248,040
8.00%
14.71%
11.37%
8.58%
5.64%
4.90%
3.30%
2.92%
1.84%
2.45%
1.66%
0.58%
5.94%
71.89%
Jul 2020
$255,955
8.68%
17.70%
7.10%
6.07%
4.53%
2.88%
4.24%
2.70%
2.23%
1.77%
1.16%
0.85%
3.10%
63.00%
Aug 2020
$546,795
7.66%
11.46%
8.97%
6.34%
4.29%
3.97%
3.45%
3.74%
1.93%
1.52%
1.65%
1.26%
3.98%
60.22%
Sep 2020
$585,278
6.09%
13.03%
6.49%
6.44%
5.11%
3.97%
3.73%
2.16%
2.07%
1.33%
1.22%
0.94%
3.18%
55.76%
Oct 2020
$519,856
8.96%
10.77%
8.69%
9.87%
6.98%
4.74%
3.89%
2.43%
2.66%
1.54%
0.76%
1.01%
4.59%
66.89%
Nov 2020
$508,061
6.29%
11.52%
7.54%
5.99%
5.85%
4.18%
2.72%
2.07%
1.47%
1.22%
1.62%
0.52%
2.45%
53.43%
Dec 2020
$370,228
9.82%
16.02%
10.00%
6.21%
3.07%
2.68%
2.75%
1.65%
1.61%
1.16%
0.75%
0.71%
4.71%
61.15%
Jan 2021
$404,703
7.23%
14.57%
14.13%
6.05%
5.98%
3.73%
2.06%
2.16%
1.30%
0.99%
0.82%
0.78%
4.59%
64.39%
Feb 2021
$455,654
6.74%
16.79%
8.58%
5.50%
4.81%
2.95%
3.65%
1.59%
1.14%
2.08%
1.26%
1.00%
3.86%
59.95%
Mar 2021
$638,372
7.26%
8.84%
6.29%
4.40%
4.87%
2.55%
2.87%
1.59%
1.54%
1.41%
1.34%
1.02%
3.06%
47.06%
Apr 2021
$703,317
4.60%
10.47%
6.30%
5.80%
4.10%
2.95%
2.27%
2.31%
2.07%
1.57%
1.23%
0.85%
3.58%
48.09%
May 2021
$1,241,915
6.93%
9.59%
6.10%
5.08%
3.41%
3.21%
2.52%
1.76%
1.60%
1.33%
1.25%
0.78%
3.96%
47.52%
Jun 2021
$1,373,515
4.41%
10.56%
5.84%
4.92%
2.91%
2.14%
2.20%
1.51%
1.48%
1.14%
0.96%
0.78%
3.37%
42.21%
Jul 2021
$1,387,107
3.74%
9.69%
5.61%
4.86%
3.41%
2.75%
2.56%
1.81%
2.05%
1.33%
1.29%
0.58%
4.14%
43.83%
Aug 2021
$1,320,437
4.55%
8.89%
5.68%
5.43%
3.71%
2.91%
2.83%
2.11%
1.99%
1.67%
1.26%
0.98%
5.55%
47.56%
Sep 2021
$1,065,171
4.56%
9.54%
7.76%
5.38%
4.15%
4.52%
3.67%
2.85%
2.10%
1.46%
1.15%
0.59%
3.66%
51.37%
Oct 2021
$1,185,382
6.08%
9.98%
6.75%
4.83%
4.27%
3.61%
3.47%
2.24%
1.70%
1.23%
0.99%
0.65%
3.56%
49.37%
Nov 2021
$1,112,977
5.67%
7.31%
5.47%
4.21%
4.47%
3.22%
2.45%
2.46%
1.74%
1.55%
1.34%
1.02%
4.66%
45.55%
Dec 2021
$890,998
4.46%
9.03%
5.68%
4.91%
3.66%
2.37%
2.49%
1.52%
1.70%
1.35%
1.05%
0.63%
4.03%
42.87%
Jan 2022
$921,967
7.61%
8.99%
7.14%
6.25%
3.78%
3.13%
3.38%
2.16%
1.80%
1.42%
0.93%
0.98%
3.82%
51.38%
Feb 2022
$1,193,781
4.47%
10.26%
5.77%
4.64%
3.33%
2.95%
2.60%
1.78%
1.62%
1.16%
1.22%
0.78%
2.31%
42.90%
Mar 2022
$1,246,293
4.89%
9.46%
5.55%
4.26%
3.02%
2.22%
1.72%
2.03%
1.47%
1.46%
1.24%
1.04%
3.05%
41.41%
Apr 2022
$1,083,223
3.42%
9.16%
4.77%
3.76%
2.81%
2.55%
2.39%
1.50%
1.41%
1.55%
0.95%
1.04%
3.32%
38.62%
May 2022
$981,392
3.28%
8.62%
5.26%
3.16%
2.17%
2.29%
1.76%
1.38%
1.26%
1.18%
1.20%
0.92%
1.87%
34.36%
Jun 2022
$743,787
5.04%
6.48%
4.21%
3.26%
3.02%
2.77%
1.89%
2.05%
1.59%
1.54%
1.17%
0.84%
2.80%
36.66%
Jul 2022
$1,115,392
4.03%
7.76%
6.31%
5.20%
2.84%
2.41%
1.98%
2.06%
2.18%
1.59%
1.23%
0.83%
2.84%
41.23%
Aug 2022
$912,027
3.91%
9.36%
6.11%
5.11%
4.26%
3.41%
2.81%
2.57%
1.94%
1.45%
1.62%
0.60%
2.45%
45.60%
Sep 2022
$937,149
5.10%
7.75%
5.71%
3.81%
3.55%
1.82%
2.35%
1.67%
1.50%
1.55%
1.15%
0.83%
3.55%
40.34%
Oct 2022
$949,854
4.14%
7.48%
6.62%
4.30%
3.77%
3.15%
3.36%
2.32%
1.69%
1.54%
1.28%
0.83%
2.87%
43.36%
Nov 2022
$861,528
5.34%
9.06%
5.65%
4.54%
3.80%
2.93%
2.45%
1.70%
1.29%
1.88%
0.95%
0.73%
3.09%
43.43%
Dec 2022
$672,149
2.98%
8.18%
6.19%
5.16%
4.68%
3.04%
3.14%
2.49%
1.98%
1.68%
1.22%
0.90%
2.74%
44.38%
Jan 2023
$839,342
4.63%
9.06%
7.95%
4.45%
3.85%
3.38%
2.94%
1.82%
2.24%
1.45%
1.15%
0.69%
3.03%
46.64%
Feb 2023
$689,432
4.17%
7.79%
6.40%
5.19%
4.06%
2.32%
2.03%
1.57%
1.73%
0.89%
0.92%
0.60%
2.60%
40.26%
Mar 2023
$715,872
5.50%
8.89%
7.51%
4.62%
4.60%
3.58%
2.55%
2.19%
1.31%
1.27%
1.00%
1.17%
2.66%
46.86%
Apr 2023
$540,467
4.29%
10.16%
5.29%
3.68%
3.17%
2.68%
1.85%
1.87%
1.66%
1.25%
1.09%
1.10%
5.30%
43.39%
May 2023
$523,938
3.78%
7.37%
4.23%
3.87%
4.50%
3.37%
3.03%
2.14%
2.01%
1.62%
1.42%
1.38%
4.22%
42.93%
Jun 2023
$533,556
4.97%
9.40%
6.05%
4.54%
3.92%
2.48%
2.51%
2.25%
1.73%
1.60%
1.36%
0.87%
3.30%
44.98%
Jul 2023
$491,227
2.28%
8.89%
4.57%
4.33%
3.57%
4.41%
3.30%
2.48%
2.19%
1.98%
1.44%
1.31%
4.07%
44.82%
Aug 2023
$532,078
3.05%
8.37%
6.16%
4.27%
4.12%
3.62%
3.27%
1.61%
1.83%
2.87%
1.63%
1.49%
4.26%
46.56%
Sep 2023
$546,456
4.41%
9.53%
4.78%
3.93%
3.56%
3.59%
2.36%
2.32%
1.16%
1.11%
1.12%
0.98%
3.60%
42.45%
Oct 2023
$521,691
2.24%
9.31%
7.99%
5.13%
6.55%
4.57%
3.11%
1.95%
1.42%
2.12%
0.95%
0.71%
2.59%
48.64%
Nov 2023
$469,175
2.41%
7.75%
4.02%
3.77%
2.67%
2.33%
2.73%
1.53%
2.04%
1.49%
1.50%
1.22%
4.13%
37.60%
Dec 2023
$301,825
2.20%
7.22%
6.02%
4.61%
4.63%
2.46%
2.94%
2.46%
2.12%
1.67%
1.93%
1.65%
4.08%
44.00%
Jan 2024
$447,312
0.87%
7.77%
4.82%
5.02%
4.37%
3.79%
3.78%
2.96%
3.21%
2.49%
2.72%
2.23%
7.94%
51.97%
Feb 2024
$451,945
0.35%
6.11%
5.03%
4.63%
3.84%
3.78%
3.15%
3.15%
3.37%
3.36%
2.22%
2.04%
5.92%
46.96%
Mar 2024
$557,325
0.31%
6.90%
5.61%
4.48%
4.72%
4.42%
3.81%
3.76%
2.99%
2.71%
2.73%
2.27%
6.74%
51.45%
Apr 2024
$525,559
1.02%
5.93%
4.70%
4.54%
3.65%
3.60%
3.48%
3.27%
2.81%
3.06%
2.36%
2.73%
6.73%
47.89%
May 2024
$573,675
1.33%
6.81%
6.00%
4.84%
4.41%
4.65%
3.47%
3.59%
3.52%
2.96%
3.03%
1.69%
5.03%
51.34%
Jun 2024
$555,709
0.16%
6.43%
5.45%
5.60%
5.21%
5.14%
4.47%
3.86%
4.02%
4.08%
3.58%
1.58%
3.63%
53.21%
Jul 2024
$554,533
0.48%
6.13%
5.30%
5.52%
4.90%
4.56%
4.99%
4.14%
3.55%
3.62%
4.06%
1.46%
5.27%
53.98%
Aug 2024
$574,796
0.31%
7.42%
5.86%
5.36%
4.46%
4.45%
3.60%
3.43%
2.62%
3.07%
2.69%
0.99%
3.08%
47.33%
Sep 2024
$508,385
0.18%
7.24%
6.00%
5.14%
4.87%
4.72%
4.70%
4.09%
4.25%
3.55%
3.76%
1.49%
4.39%
54.36%
Oct 2024
$563,751
0.16%
7.40%
5.29%
4.97%
4.46%
4.39%
3.94%
3.21%
3.29%
3.38%
2.63%
1.23%
3.37%
47.71%
Nov 2024
$529,900
1.23%
6.90%
5.82%
4.98%
5.04%
4.56%
4.01%
3.52%
2.97%
3.14%
2.87%
1.44%
4.53%
51.02%
Dec 2024
$501,116
0.23%
7.22%
5.42%
5.15%
4.20%
4.38%
3.57%
3.97%
3.73%
3.11%
2.96%
1.97%
3.76%
49.68%
Jan 2025
$528,069
0.56%
5.75%
7.08%
5.05%
4.29%
4.15%
4.17%
4.37%
3.06%
3.45%
3.05%
2.07%
5.51%
52.56%
Feb 2025
$595,634
0.22%
7.21%
5.58%
4.97%
4.18%
3.87%
3.46%
3.20%
3.09%
2.54%
2.88%
1.50%
3.68%
46.39%
Mar 2025
$595,260
0.76%
5.58%
3.96%
4.24%
4.30%
2.62%
2.88%
3.39%
2.28%
2.16%
2.01%
1.49%
3.49%
39.17%
Apr 2025
$580,535
0.71%
6.92%
5.56%
5.10%
3.62%
3.82%
3.39%
3.16%
2.79%
2.86%
2.54%
1.66%
4.05%
46.18%
May 2025
$529,080
0.15%
4.95%
5.03%
4.09%
3.94%
3.34%
2.81%
2.69%
3.03%
2.56%
2.43%
1.59%
2.87%
39.47%
Jun 2025
$485,822
0.47%
5.91%
4.41%
4.24%
4.35%
3.56%
3.51%
2.72%
2.86%
2.66%
2.83%
1.25%
2.87%
41.65%
Jul 2025
$423,281
0.59%
4.91%
4.14%
4.18%
3.47%
3.68%
3.23%
2.69%
2.42%
2.50%
2.53%
1.24%
2.36%
37.95%
Aug 2025
$502,667
1.09%
6.13%
4.34%
3.77%
3.23%
3.87%
2.99%
2.77%
2.66%
2.38%
2.29%
1.18%
1.52%
38.21%
Sep 2025
$412,983
0.11%
6.34%
4.45%
3.96%
3.91%
3.35%
3.61%
2.96%
2.43%
2.33%
2.45%
1.55%
0.19%
37.65%
Oct 2025
$418,918
0.75%
4.92%
4.82%
4.48%
3.91%
4.02%
3.46%
3.30%
3.27%
3.20%
2.50%
0.36%
0.00%
38.98%
Nov 2025
$480,766
0.22%
5.74%
4.50%
4.35%
3.23%
2.89%
2.69%
2.46%
2.60%
2.26%
0.88%
0.00%
0.00%
31.82%
Dec 2025
$397,009
0.00%
4.27%
4.43%
4.62%
4.19%
3.21%
2.83%
3.19%
2.11%
0.63%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
29.48%
Jan 2026
$388,969
0.09%
6.49%
5.44%
4.38%
4.53%
3.75%
4.11%
3.08%
0.61%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
32.48%
Feb 2026
$284,980
0.16%
4.22%
4.20%
4.24%
2.87%
2.87%
2.20%
0.53%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
21.29%
Mar 2026
$347,803
0.83%
4.14%
3.27%
3.09%
2.43%
2.57%
0.24%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
16.57%
Apr 2026
$352,631
1.24%
3.46%
3.95%
3.48%
2.92%
0.72%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.77%
May 2026
$306,799
0.02%
4.69%
4.80%
3.94%
0.63%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
14.08%
Jun 2026
$272,907
2.47%
4.17%
4.21%
0.60%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
11.46%
Jul 2026
$329,892
1.14%
4.32%
1.51%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
6.96%
Aug 2026
$309,363
0.47%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.20%
Sep 2026
$90,088
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$46,719,808
4.07%
9.04%
6.21%
4.94%
4.05%
3.34%
2.95%
2.39%
2.08%
1.85%
1.59%
1.09%
3.76%
47.36%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 76 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$963,055 (42% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $1,089,495 against an actual $1,316,191 —
-17.2%, so the model runs slightly conservative.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$126,56920.5%
Nov 2026
+2
$102,22816.5%
Dec 2026
+3
$83,43013.5%
Jan 2027
+4
$68,89211.1%
Feb 2027
+5
$56,4349.1%
Mar 2027
+6
$46,0557.4%
Apr 2027
+7
$37,3966.0%
May 2027
+8
$30,1604.9%
Jun 2027
+9
$23,8103.8%
Jul 2027
+10
$18,4213.0%
Aug 2027
+11
$14,3032.3%
Sep 2027
+12
$11,0731.8%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$618,7693.8% of the $16,280,245 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Jun 2026
2
$272,907
$29,62710.9%
$52,702 19.3%
56
$-23,074
May 2026
3
$306,799
$41,26813.5%
$74,415 24.3%
55
$-33,147
Apr 2026
4
$352,631
$53,07015.0%
$99,822 28.3%
53
$-46,752
Mar 2026
5
$347,803
$56,80316.3%
$110,066 31.6%
52
$-53,263
Feb 2026
6
$284,980
$59,15720.8%
$98,601 34.6%
60
$-39,444
Jan 2026
7
$388,969
$123,97931.9%
$143,862 37.0%
86
$-19,883
Dec 2025
8
$397,009
$114,53728.9%
$155,088 39.1%
74
$-40,551
Nov 2025
9
$480,766
$148,72730.9%
$196,697 40.9%
76
$-47,970
Oct 2025
10
$418,918
$161,78238.6%
$178,067 42.5%
91
$-16,285
Sep 2025
11
$412,983
$154,68137.5%
$180,044 43.6%
86
$-25,363
Aug 2025
12
$502,667
$190,49737.9%
$223,866 44.5%
85
$-33,370
Jul 2025
13
$423,281
$158,97637.6%
$190,840 45.1%
83
$-31,865
Jun 2025
14
$485,822
$201,67741.5%
$221,057 45.5%
91
$-19,380
May 2025
15
$529,080
$208,53339.4%
$242,423 45.8%
86
$-33,890
Apr 2025
16
$580,535
$267,93746.2%
$267,305 46.0%
100
+$632
Mar 2025
17
$595,260
$232,30739.0%
$275,207 46.2%
84
$-42,900
Feb 2025
18
$595,634
$276,11946.4%
$276,244 46.4%
100
$-125
Jan 2025
19
$528,069
$277,42152.5%
$245,571 46.5%
113
+$31,849
Dec 2024
20
$501,116
$248,97249.7%
$233,564 46.6%
107
+$15,408
Nov 2024
21
$529,900
$270,25151.0%
$247,375 46.7%
109
+$22,876
Oct 2024
22
$563,751
$268,88347.7%
$263,614 46.8%
102
+$5,269
Sep 2024
23
$508,385
$276,06954.3%
$238,109 46.8%
116
+$37,960
Aug 2024
24
$574,796
$271,99347.3%
$269,536 46.9%
101
+$2,457
Jul 2024
25
$554,533
$299,01553.9%
$260,301 46.9%
115
+$38,714
Jun 2024
26
$555,709
$295,71253.2%
$261,027 47.0%
113
+$34,685
May 2024
27
$573,675
$294,52151.3%
$269,739 47.0%
109
+$24,782
Apr 2024
28
$525,559
$251,36447.8%
$247,302 47.1%
102
+$4,062
Mar 2024
29
$557,325
$286,74251.4%
$262,412 47.1%
109
+$24,330
Feb 2024
30
$451,945
$212,24247.0%
$212,862 47.1%
100
$-620
Jan 2024
31
$447,312
$232,49052.0%
$210,754 47.1%
110
+$21,736
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
Apr 2022
$1,083,223
$418,33138.6%
$23,1245.5%
$395,207
$395,207
ok
Sep 2021
$1,065,171
$547,20351.4%
$19,3283.5%
$527,874
$527,874
ok
Sep 2022
$937,149
$378,08740.3%
$18,8295.0%
$359,257
$360,212
$-954
Aug 2021
$1,320,437
$628,05347.6%
$18,3852.9%
$609,667
$609,667
ok
Nov 2022
$861,528
$374,17443.4%
$18,1954.9%
$355,979
$355,979
ok
May 2022
$981,392
$337,17034.4%
$17,7355.3%
$319,435
$319,589
ok
Jul 2021
$1,387,107
$607,94643.8%
$17,0932.8%
$590,854
$591,304
$-450
Mar 2022
$1,246,293
$516,11441.4%
$16,4703.2%
$499,645
$499,645
ok
Jan 2022
$921,967
$473,68051.4%
$16,0913.4%
$457,588
$458,364
$-776
Feb 2022
$1,193,781
$512,10342.9%
$15,6763.1%
$496,427
$496,515
ok
Jun 2021
$1,373,515
$579,81142.2%
$15,3332.6%
$564,478
$564,478
ok
Dec 2021
$890,998
$382,00442.9%
$12,6293.3%
$369,375
$369,375
ok
May 2021
$1,241,915
$590,15047.5%
$12,5442.1%
$577,607
$577,607
ok
Oct 2021
$1,185,382
$585,16949.4%
$12,3192.1%
$572,850
$572,850
ok
Jul 2022
$1,115,392
$459,87541.2%
$11,7772.6%
$448,098
$448,098
ok
Aug 2022
$912,027
$415,87445.6%
$11,2772.7%
$404,597
$404,597
ok
Nov 2021
$1,112,977
$506,99645.6%
$10,9162.2%
$496,080
$496,080
ok
Mar 2023
$715,872
$335,44046.9%
$10,4683.1%
$324,972
$324,972
ok
Oct 2022
$949,854
$411,87443.4%
$9,9792.4%
$401,895
$402,559
$-664
Mar 2025
$595,260
$233,16439.2%
$9,6484.1%
$223,516
$224,874
$-1,358
Dec 2022
$672,149
$298,31444.4%
$9,5323.2%
$288,782
$288,782
ok
Oct 2020
$519,856
$347,73266.9%
$8,6032.5%
$339,129
$339,129
ok
Aug 2023
$532,078
$247,73346.6%
$8,5793.5%
$239,154
$239,154
ok
Mar 2021
$638,372
$300,40647.1%
$7,8382.6%
$292,569
$292,569
ok
ALL MONTHS
$50,699,933
$22,961,09245.3%
$541,6672.4%
$22,419,425
Dallas — 6,160 agreements, $13,108,660 of finance written
Finance written
$13,108,660
Collected
$5,183,050 39.5%
Written off
$1,315,722 10.0%
Still outstanding
$6,610,661 50.4%
Deposit taken
$2,951,667
Sale value
$16,060,327
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Jan 2023
96
$264,319
$49,360
$214,959
$85,59739.8%
$83,54438.9%
$45,82121.3%
ok
Feb 2023
142
$396,109
$73,674
$322,435
$163,39550.7%
$65,94820.5%
$93,13228.9%
ok
Mar 2023
155
$445,160
$73,716
$371,444
$165,88244.7%
$95,78025.8%
$109,80629.6%
ok
Apr 2023
156
$416,249
$65,523
$350,726
$151,87443.3%
$93,75326.7%
$105,17730.0%
$78
May 2023
146
$390,699
$71,682
$319,017
$171,24053.7%
$47,51914.9%
$100,29631.4%
ok
Jun 2023
144
$326,600
$62,495
$264,105
$140,80253.3%
$44,59816.9%
$78,73229.8%
ok
Jul 2023
127
$316,600
$58,452
$258,148
$137,08353.1%
$48,16418.7%
$72,93328.3%
ok
Aug 2023
138
$319,700
$64,705
$254,995
$123,98048.6%
$45,97318.0%
$85,06333.4%
ok
Sep 2023
151
$329,650
$72,653
$256,997
$140,89554.8%
$50,20519.5%
$65,91925.6%
ok
Oct 2023
152
$319,700
$60,775
$258,925
$128,28549.5%
$57,60122.2%
$73,04728.2%
ok
Nov 2023
154
$391,228
$71,511
$319,718
$171,69853.7%
$33,45710.5%
$114,55535.8%
ok
Dec 2023
160
$413,027
$76,496
$336,531
$167,07749.6%
$45,12713.4%
$124,33436.9%
ok
Jan 2024
139
$344,887
$63,045
$281,842
$132,29446.9%
$38,01213.5%
$111,54539.6%
ok
Feb 2024
140
$339,735
$57,024
$282,711
$128,88045.6%
$33,49311.8%
$120,34042.6%
ok
Mar 2024
173
$470,247
$84,836
$385,411
$174,34045.2%
$34,4258.9%
$176,69545.8%
ok
Apr 2024
139
$383,400
$71,270
$312,130
$151,39748.5%
$16,6035.3%
$144,14046.2%
ok
May 2024
121
$306,000
$61,545
$244,455
$128,98752.8%
$16,1776.6%
$99,33140.6%
ok
Jun 2024
142
$323,210
$66,955
$256,255
$144,27556.3%
$20,5978.0%
$91,41635.7%
ok
Jul 2024
160
$386,598
$74,910
$311,688
$175,52156.3%
$28,5169.1%
$107,68034.5%
ok
Aug 2024
172
$418,700
$78,255
$340,445
$175,72351.6%
$13,2643.9%
$151,50244.5%
ok
Sep 2024
133
$344,750
$62,515
$282,235
$145,52451.6%
$27,0239.6%
$109,72538.9%
ok
Oct 2024
118
$315,050
$56,645
$258,405
$119,18046.1%
$22,2628.6%
$116,97545.3%
ok
Nov 2024
115
$278,950
$50,355
$228,595
$101,98044.6%
$13,5615.9%
$113,06349.5%
ok
Dec 2024
108
$261,000
$40,515
$220,485
$94,83343.0%
$12,1295.5%
$113,53051.5%
ok
Jan 2025
120
$307,050
$59,375
$247,675
$135,85654.9%
$19,7538.0%
$92,08437.2%
ok
Feb 2025
163
$457,098
$72,350
$384,748
$137,70435.8%
$41,72110.8%
$205,35753.4%
ok
Mar 2025
180
$497,000
$91,230
$405,770
$153,07237.7%
$30,1587.4%
$222,57454.9%
ok
Apr 2025
141
$362,250
$60,730
$301,520
$111,21536.9%
$17,6405.9%
$172,69557.3%
ok
May 2025
115
$327,825
$49,838
$277,987
$91,57432.9%
$15,2755.5%
$171,14261.6%
ok
Jun 2025
131
$359,800
$54,340
$305,460
$90,47929.6%
$18,1205.9%
$196,86964.4%
ok
Jul 2025
150
$393,850
$64,673
$329,177
$116,12735.3%
$19,3255.9%
$193,75558.9%
ok
Aug 2025
165
$434,800
$73,592
$361,208
$125,21034.7%
$21,4005.9%
$214,63459.4%
ok
Sep 2025
170
$469,780
$76,479
$393,301
$149,10037.9%
$6,6651.7%
$237,56360.4%
ok
Oct 2025 ·11mo
145
$363,439
$71,770
$291,669
$101,66334.9%
$12,6404.3%
$177,36960.8%
ok
Nov 2025 ·10mo
135
$374,675
$67,420
$307,255
$92,17130.0%
$8,0672.6%
$207,01567.4%
ok
Dec 2025 ·9mo
124
$338,700
$64,174
$274,526
$83,66430.5%
$14,9045.4%
$175,94864.1%
ok
Jan 2026 ·8mo
124
$345,150
$63,440
$281,710
$89,67531.8%
$10,3503.7%
$181,68564.5%
ok
Feb 2026 ·7mo
134
$397,900
$76,586
$321,314
$80,53125.1%
$7,0452.2%
$233,73872.7%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
146
$417,127
$69,086
$348,041
$69,27719.9%
$7,5002.2%
$271,25977.9%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
109
$297,100
$68,683
$228,417
$44,87119.6%
$7,8543.4%
$175,69276.9%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
125
$351,390
$77,057
$274,333
$40,26314.7%
$16,6756.1%
$217,39579.2%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
130
$346,150
$75,171
$270,979
$30,25111.2%
$17,7506.6%
$222,97882.3%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
114
$312,075
$65,524
$246,552
$15,5656.3%
$29,15011.8%
$201,83081.9%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
108
$268,950
$52,733
$216,217
$4,0401.9%
$6,0002.8%
$206,17795.4%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
50
$136,650
$28,505
$108,145
$00.0%
$00.0%
$108,145100.0%
ok
TOTAL
6160
$16,060,327
$2,951,667
$13,108,660
$5,183,05039.5%
$1,315,72210.0%
$6,610,66150.4%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 6,150 of 6,160 agreements' finance schedules (10 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Jan 2023
$214,959
1.80%
7.33%
6.12%
6.85%
3.19%
2.69%
2.49%
1.65%
1.48%
1.07%
0.96%
1.66%
3.16%
40.46%
Feb 2023
$322,435
4.18%
10.14%
5.72%
4.65%
3.99%
3.89%
3.30%
3.39%
2.18%
2.55%
1.92%
1.88%
3.79%
51.59%
Mar 2023
$371,444
2.99%
6.81%
5.10%
4.10%
3.20%
2.98%
3.75%
2.76%
1.85%
2.09%
2.52%
1.84%
5.66%
45.64%
Apr 2023
$350,726
4.54%
7.78%
3.90%
3.94%
3.00%
2.66%
2.32%
1.96%
1.77%
2.36%
2.90%
2.80%
4.04%
43.97%
May 2023
$319,017
5.22%
8.25%
5.64%
5.86%
4.19%
3.32%
3.05%
2.78%
2.81%
1.95%
2.03%
2.07%
6.93%
54.11%
Jun 2023
$264,105
4.13%
5.12%
6.77%
5.12%
3.96%
3.95%
3.88%
3.68%
3.46%
3.20%
3.03%
2.48%
5.42%
54.22%
Jul 2023
$258,148
5.42%
6.89%
5.79%
5.74%
5.52%
3.56%
3.32%
2.50%
3.53%
2.36%
2.63%
1.76%
4.56%
53.58%
Aug 2023
$254,995
5.25%
6.11%
4.59%
5.07%
4.33%
3.46%
4.44%
3.18%
3.77%
2.74%
1.45%
1.32%
4.00%
49.71%
Sep 2023
$256,997
5.26%
10.94%
9.65%
4.78%
4.37%
4.16%
3.08%
2.90%
2.25%
1.56%
2.01%
1.50%
3.91%
56.36%
Oct 2023
$258,925
3.37%
9.52%
5.13%
5.66%
5.29%
4.12%
3.45%
3.00%
2.10%
1.60%
1.55%
1.65%
3.98%
50.41%
Nov 2023
$319,718
2.14%
7.19%
5.79%
4.95%
5.83%
4.37%
3.96%
3.82%
3.65%
3.79%
2.93%
1.53%
4.87%
54.81%
Dec 2023
$336,531
0.07%
6.97%
5.69%
5.22%
4.26%
4.17%
3.79%
3.08%
3.00%
3.16%
2.44%
2.12%
6.10%
50.10%
Jan 2024
$281,842
1.67%
6.86%
5.37%
4.76%
3.75%
3.50%
2.98%
3.10%
3.34%
2.80%
2.50%
2.19%
4.53%
47.36%
Feb 2024
$282,711
0.84%
6.25%
5.43%
4.71%
4.60%
3.54%
3.68%
2.94%
2.75%
2.43%
2.88%
1.95%
4.26%
46.27%
Mar 2024
$385,411
0.19%
6.70%
5.09%
4.09%
4.11%
3.79%
3.05%
3.35%
2.73%
2.51%
2.88%
1.99%
4.99%
45.47%
Apr 2024
$312,130
0.86%
6.76%
5.29%
4.95%
3.86%
3.48%
3.75%
3.17%
2.96%
2.80%
2.35%
2.00%
6.38%
48.60%
May 2024
$244,455
0.86%
8.27%
6.10%
5.09%
5.05%
5.12%
4.99%
2.93%
2.95%
3.06%
3.96%
1.47%
3.16%
53.00%
Jun 2024
$256,255
0.00%
8.58%
6.34%
5.85%
5.32%
5.63%
4.57%
4.78%
4.04%
3.06%
2.56%
1.76%
4.20%
56.68%
Jul 2024
$311,688
0.85%
8.41%
5.94%
5.80%
4.81%
4.63%
4.90%
4.11%
3.91%
2.91%
2.82%
1.96%
5.32%
56.37%
Aug 2024
$340,445
1.47%
6.35%
5.77%
5.10%
4.91%
4.53%
3.57%
3.88%
3.17%
3.14%
2.80%
1.63%
5.40%
51.71%
Sep 2024
$282,235
1.87%
6.29%
5.92%
4.90%
5.09%
4.11%
4.60%
3.37%
2.97%
3.43%
2.46%
1.76%
5.37%
52.14%
Oct 2024
$258,405
0.00%
7.05%
5.03%
5.59%
4.00%
5.02%
3.30%
3.56%
2.70%
2.63%
1.95%
1.12%
4.24%
46.19%
Nov 2024
$228,595
1.11%
7.34%
5.47%
5.02%
4.10%
3.59%
3.28%
2.12%
2.98%
2.43%
1.94%
1.27%
4.03%
44.69%
Dec 2024
$220,485
1.64%
5.72%
4.88%
4.77%
4.14%
3.42%
3.85%
3.14%
2.97%
2.50%
2.05%
1.25%
3.24%
43.57%
Jan 2025
$247,675
1.43%
6.09%
5.92%
5.34%
5.38%
3.69%
4.28%
4.25%
3.75%
4.28%
3.31%
2.32%
4.43%
54.48%
Feb 2025
$384,748
1.21%
5.19%
4.43%
3.37%
3.85%
2.57%
3.15%
2.37%
2.28%
1.74%
1.44%
1.30%
3.12%
36.03%
Mar 2025
$405,770
0.75%
4.68%
4.30%
3.83%
3.98%
2.63%
2.52%
2.78%
2.39%
1.99%
1.86%
1.61%
4.77%
38.10%
Apr 2025
$301,520
1.03%
5.14%
4.03%
3.36%
3.63%
2.84%
2.72%
3.83%
2.47%
2.36%
1.96%
1.56%
2.21%
37.14%
May 2025
$277,987
0.83%
5.32%
3.30%
3.63%
2.82%
3.60%
2.24%
2.14%
1.95%
1.89%
1.81%
1.24%
2.87%
33.62%
Jun 2025
$305,460
0.00%
4.20%
3.86%
3.63%
2.82%
2.10%
1.93%
2.27%
1.70%
1.62%
1.78%
1.45%
2.59%
29.94%
Jul 2025
$329,177
1.00%
4.47%
3.64%
3.58%
2.84%
2.56%
3.09%
2.97%
2.43%
2.47%
1.78%
1.84%
2.58%
35.27%
Aug 2025
$361,208
0.76%
5.23%
4.28%
2.86%
2.93%
3.08%
2.56%
3.48%
2.39%
2.33%
2.28%
1.62%
1.56%
35.35%
Sep 2025
$393,301
0.59%
5.21%
4.48%
3.92%
3.46%
3.68%
3.09%
3.31%
3.05%
2.78%
2.38%
1.82%
0.28%
38.07%
Oct 2025
$291,669
0.21%
5.25%
5.06%
3.35%
3.79%
3.55%
3.14%
2.82%
2.52%
2.73%
1.82%
0.47%
0.00%
34.71%
Nov 2025
$307,255
2.05%
5.27%
4.11%
3.69%
2.84%
2.61%
2.89%
1.99%
2.20%
1.36%
0.97%
0.00%
0.00%
29.99%
Dec 2025
$274,526
0.23%
5.18%
5.89%
4.12%
3.93%
3.56%
2.90%
2.56%
1.90%
0.66%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
30.92%
Jan 2026
$281,710
2.54%
5.81%
4.81%
3.87%
4.30%
3.61%
3.97%
2.46%
0.96%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
32.32%
Feb 2026
$321,314
0.38%
5.62%
4.65%
4.01%
3.62%
3.85%
3.03%
0.48%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
25.63%
Mar 2026
$348,041
0.32%
4.22%
4.55%
4.13%
3.90%
2.50%
0.76%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
20.38%
Apr 2026
$228,417
1.25%
5.19%
4.42%
4.01%
3.84%
1.02%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
19.73%
May 2026
$274,333
0.33%
5.07%
4.67%
4.00%
0.32%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
14.39%
Jun 2026
$270,979
0.27%
5.31%
4.14%
1.10%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
10.83%
Jul 2026
$246,552
0.46%
4.52%
0.74%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
5.71%
Aug 2026
$216,217
0.23%
0.53%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.76%
Sep 2026
$82,195
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$9,939,503
1.86%
6.68%
5.22%
4.64%
4.09%
3.61%
3.38%
3.11%
2.75%
2.53%
2.31%
1.76%
4.12%
46.06%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 33 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$778,604 (53% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $775,069 against an actual $679,262 —
+14.1%.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$108,77518.8%
Nov 2026
+2
$92,78116.0%
Dec 2026
+3
$79,29013.7%
Jan 2027
+4
$67,23811.6%
Feb 2027
+5
$56,5009.8%
Mar 2027
+6
$46,7798.1%
Apr 2027
+7
$37,6776.5%
May 2027
+8
$30,0295.2%
Jun 2027
+9
$23,1074.0%
Jul 2027
+10
$16,8482.9%
Aug 2027
+11
$11,9442.1%
Sep 2027
+12
$8,0841.4%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$579,0508.8% of the $6,610,661 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Jun 2026
2
$270,979
$26,3589.7%
$37,296 13.8%
71
$-10,938
May 2026
3
$274,333
$38,59914.1%
$50,473 18.4%
76
$-11,875
Apr 2026
4
$228,417
$42,73318.7%
$51,373 22.5%
83
$-8,641
Mar 2026
5
$348,041
$68,27019.6%
$90,828 26.1%
75
$-22,558
Feb 2026
6
$321,314
$80,82725.2%
$94,719 29.5%
85
$-13,892
Jan 2026
7
$281,710
$88,36731.4%
$91,804 32.6%
96
$-3,437
Dec 2025
8
$274,526
$83,07130.3%
$97,025 35.3%
86
$-13,953
Nov 2025
9
$307,255
$89,14529.0%
$116,358 37.9%
77
$-27,213
Oct 2025
10
$291,669
$99,86134.2%
$117,199 40.2%
85
$-17,337
Sep 2025
11
$393,301
$148,62337.8%
$164,970 41.9%
90
$-16,347
Aug 2025
12
$361,208
$126,96535.2%
$156,820 43.4%
81
$-29,854
Jul 2025
13
$329,177
$115,35935.0%
$145,211 44.1%
79
$-29,853
Jun 2025
14
$305,460
$90,82929.7%
$136,163 44.6%
67
$-45,334
May 2025
15
$277,987
$93,39033.6%
$125,059 45.0%
75
$-31,669
Apr 2025
16
$301,520
$111,99037.1%
$136,376 45.2%
82
$-24,386
Mar 2025
17
$405,770
$154,59038.1%
$184,455 45.5%
84
$-29,864
Feb 2025
18
$384,748
$138,05035.9%
$175,289 45.6%
79
$-37,239
Jan 2025
19
$247,675
$134,93554.5%
$113,112 45.7%
119
+$21,823
Dec 2024
20
$220,485
$96,03743.6%
$100,880 45.8%
95
$-4,843
Nov 2024
21
$228,595
$102,15344.7%
$104,730 45.8%
98
$-2,577
Oct 2024
22
$258,405
$119,24846.1%
$118,491 45.9%
101
+$757
Sep 2024
23
$282,235
$147,06852.1%
$129,540 45.9%
114
+$17,528
Aug 2024
24
$340,445
$176,04551.7%
$156,410 45.9%
113
+$19,636
Jul 2024
25
$311,688
$175,68656.4%
$143,399 46.0%
123
+$32,287
Jun 2024
26
$256,255
$145,22456.7%
$117,927 46.0%
123
+$27,297
May 2024
27
$244,455
$129,55753.0%
$112,534 46.0%
115
+$17,023
Apr 2024
28
$312,130
$151,69648.6%
$143,696 46.0%
106
+$8,000
Mar 2024
29
$385,411
$175,25245.5%
$177,437 46.0%
99
$-2,185
Feb 2024
30
$282,711
$130,79846.3%
$130,167 46.0%
100
+$631
Jan 2024
31
$281,842
$133,48047.4%
$129,769 46.0%
103
+$3,711
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
Mar 2026
$348,041
$70,92820.4%
$4,6546.6%
$66,273
$69,277
$-3,004
Sep 2023
$256,997
$144,85556.4%
$3,9612.7%
$140,895
$140,895
ok
Feb 2026
$321,314
$82,36825.6%
$3,7934.6%
$78,574
$80,531
$-1,956
Mar 2023
$371,444
$169,53645.6%
$3,6542.2%
$165,882
$165,882
ok
Nov 2023
$319,718
$175,22654.8%
$3,6192.1%
$171,607
$171,698
$-91
Aug 2023
$254,995
$126,76449.7%
$3,0692.4%
$123,695
$123,980
$-285
Feb 2023
$322,435
$166,32851.6%
$2,9331.8%
$163,395
$163,395
ok
Jan 2026
$281,710
$91,05732.3%
$2,8173.1%
$88,240
$89,675
$-1,435
Dec 2025
$274,526
$84,89330.9%
$2,7013.2%
$82,192
$83,664
$-1,472
Feb 2025
$384,748
$138,63536.0%
$2,6051.9%
$136,030
$137,704
$-1,674
Aug 2025
$361,208
$127,69035.4%
$2,6052.0%
$125,085
$125,210
$-125
Oct 2024
$258,405
$119,34846.2%
$2,5792.2%
$116,769
$119,180
$-2,411
Mar 2025
$405,770
$154,59038.1%
$2,4551.6%
$152,136
$153,072
$-936
Jun 2023
$264,105
$143,18554.2%
$2,3831.7%
$140,802
$140,802
ok
Apr 2023
$350,726
$154,21544.0%
$2,3411.5%
$151,874
$151,874
ok
Oct 2023
$258,925
$130,53250.4%
$2,2471.7%
$128,285
$128,285
ok
Sep 2025
$393,301
$149,72238.1%
$2,2191.5%
$147,503
$149,100
$-1,597
Sep 2024
$282,235
$147,14752.1%
$2,1271.4%
$145,019
$145,524
$-504
Feb 2024
$282,711
$130,79846.3%
$2,0681.6%
$128,730
$128,880
$-150
May 2025
$277,987
$93,46533.6%
$1,9412.1%
$91,524
$91,574
ok
Mar 2024
$385,411
$175,25245.5%
$1,9051.1%
$173,347
$174,340
$-993
Dec 2023
$336,531
$168,58750.1%
$1,8541.1%
$166,732
$167,077
$-345
Jul 2024
$311,688
$175,68656.4%
$1,7591.0%
$173,927
$175,521
$-1,594
Dec 2024
$220,485
$96,06743.6%
$1,6801.7%
$94,387
$94,833
$-446
ALL MONTHS
$13,082,710
$5,230,41540.0%
$83,0401.6%
$5,147,375
Houston — 5,527 agreements, $11,652,847 of finance written
Finance written
$11,652,847
Collected
$4,419,616 37.9%
Written off
$1,120,367 9.6%
Still outstanding
$6,113,324 52.5%
Deposit taken
$2,840,026
Sale value
$14,492,873
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Feb 2023
27
$80,720
$15,260
$65,460
$35,66254.5%
$16,97825.9%
$12,81519.6%
ok
Mar 2023
160
$458,549
$78,608
$379,941
$158,19141.6%
$126,31633.2%
$95,50125.1%
ok
Apr 2023
165
$521,050
$89,620
$431,430
$193,90644.9%
$115,31526.7%
$122,22728.3%
ok
May 2023
138
$401,470
$70,197
$331,273
$162,21549.0%
$62,37518.8%
$106,73932.2%
ok
Jun 2023
132
$391,100
$76,271
$314,829
$161,26951.2%
$57,97518.4%
$95,64530.4%
ok
Jul 2023
121
$300,250
$50,615
$249,635
$123,65349.5%
$64,34825.8%
$61,66524.7%
ok
Aug 2023
96
$266,410
$46,589
$219,821
$106,29948.4%
$39,75818.1%
$73,78333.6%
ok
Sep 2023
102
$285,750
$55,622
$230,128
$106,18646.1%
$56,47924.5%
$67,47629.3%
ok
Oct 2023
107
$267,300
$52,160
$215,140
$88,73741.2%
$62,86729.2%
$63,53829.5%
ok
Nov 2023
95
$252,900
$59,820
$193,080
$92,83248.1%
$15,2877.9%
$84,96344.0%
ok
Dec 2023
120
$266,175
$59,460
$206,715
$96,18846.5%
$22,05410.7%
$88,48442.8%
ok
Jan 2024
144
$304,799
$69,595
$235,204
$129,63255.1%
$15,5526.6%
$90,07838.3%
$58
Feb 2024
146
$354,200
$79,439
$274,761
$153,41455.8%
$21,1937.7%
$100,17636.5%
ok
Mar 2024
134
$343,550
$87,755
$255,795
$129,46950.6%
$20,3938.0%
$105,95241.4%
ok
Apr 2024
122
$280,065
$69,132
$210,933
$103,44249.0%
$11,8885.6%
$95,60545.3%
ok
May 2024
125
$341,650
$86,839
$254,811
$120,96847.5%
$21,4368.4%
$112,43044.1%
ok
Jun 2024
104
$256,065
$59,237
$196,828
$110,80156.3%
$12,8306.5%
$73,20637.2%
ok
Jul 2024
98
$240,995
$57,189
$183,806
$88,49048.1%
$17,5459.5%
$77,77142.3%
ok
Aug 2024
155
$340,075
$79,445
$260,630
$118,35345.4%
$21,1208.1%
$121,16246.5%
ok
Sep 2024
124
$264,975
$63,555
$201,420
$97,86548.6%
$5,6952.8%
$97,85548.6%
ok
Oct 2024
126
$295,950
$64,735
$231,215
$103,99745.0%
$10,8444.7%
$116,37450.3%
ok
Nov 2024
108
$261,100
$58,550
$202,550
$97,04947.9%
$23,56811.6%
$81,93440.5%
ok
Dec 2024
128
$319,250
$64,005
$255,245
$107,03041.9%
$15,1805.9%
$133,03652.1%
ok
Jan 2025
118
$313,200
$62,836
$250,364
$121,99448.7%
$10,2804.1%
$118,09047.2%
ok
Feb 2025
137
$368,850
$80,005
$288,845
$138,17647.8%
$17,5306.1%
$133,14446.1%
ok
Mar 2025
140
$341,800
$70,430
$271,370
$108,40439.9%
$17,2306.3%
$145,74553.7%
ok
Apr 2025
141
$375,750
$77,310
$298,440
$108,26136.3%
$16,8005.6%
$173,38358.1%
ok
May 2025
154
$391,400
$86,205
$305,195
$116,14838.1%
$11,2603.7%
$177,79858.3%
ok
Jun 2025
151
$418,550
$84,186
$334,364
$120,52136.0%
$22,0276.6%
$191,83357.4%
ok
Jul 2025
132
$350,650
$71,139
$279,511
$114,24140.9%
$17,6616.3%
$147,60752.8%
ok
Aug 2025
153
$381,650
$74,240
$307,410
$125,39040.8%
$11,5203.7%
$170,50955.5%
ok
Sep 2025
129
$299,850
$60,330
$239,520
$100,48142.0%
$12,4755.2%
$126,56452.8%
ok
Oct 2025 ·11mo
124
$326,650
$71,815
$254,835
$89,82335.2%
$1,9500.8%
$163,06264.0%
ok
Nov 2025 ·10mo
112
$280,850
$54,910
$225,940
$93,74741.5%
$4,5602.0%
$127,63356.5%
ok
Dec 2025 ·9mo
132
$331,450
$50,920
$280,530
$85,50730.5%
$6,5502.3%
$188,47367.2%
ok
Jan 2026 ·8mo
100
$309,200
$48,755
$260,445
$78,56930.2%
$12,8674.9%
$169,00864.9%
ok
Feb 2026 ·7mo
135
$350,975
$55,145
$295,830
$73,66724.9%
$12,6504.3%
$209,51370.8%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
158
$465,850
$68,630
$397,220
$93,38923.5%
$25,7886.5%
$278,04470.0%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
124
$334,450
$52,845
$281,605
$47,28616.8%
$12,2504.4%
$222,06978.9%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
147
$425,650
$69,257
$356,393
$50,31614.1%
$13,6503.8%
$292,42782.1%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
128
$363,250
$58,510
$304,740
$40,04713.1%
$10,7003.5%
$253,99383.3%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
139
$395,800
$57,845
$337,955
$21,2386.3%
$20,3756.0%
$296,34287.7%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
134
$391,850
$62,590
$329,260
$6,5632.0%
$21,4506.5%
$301,24791.5%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
62
$180,850
$28,425
$152,425
$2000.1%
$3,8002.5%
$148,42597.4%
ok
TOTAL
5527
$14,492,873
$2,840,026
$11,652,847
$4,419,61637.9%
$1,120,3679.6%
$6,113,32452.5%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 5,516 of 5,527 agreements' finance schedules (11 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Feb 2023
$65,460
0.46%
14.93%
7.88%
5.02%
5.39%
4.25%
3.52%
5.06%
1.92%
1.24%
1.93%
1.32%
1.56%
54.48%
Mar 2023
$379,941
2.99%
9.03%
7.28%
3.96%
2.74%
2.37%
2.57%
2.22%
1.54%
1.24%
1.29%
1.16%
3.72%
42.12%
Apr 2023
$431,430
2.18%
12.90%
6.71%
3.57%
3.59%
3.59%
1.93%
2.03%
1.09%
1.01%
1.47%
1.17%
4.05%
45.29%
May 2023
$331,273
4.74%
8.52%
5.68%
6.09%
3.89%
3.27%
3.47%
2.56%
2.19%
1.92%
1.95%
1.59%
4.34%
50.20%
Jun 2023
$314,829
3.25%
11.56%
6.13%
4.59%
5.04%
3.72%
3.01%
2.44%
2.17%
2.33%
1.69%
2.36%
3.55%
51.87%
Jul 2023
$249,635
3.98%
10.99%
6.34%
4.11%
5.00%
3.25%
3.30%
2.57%
2.07%
2.07%
2.22%
1.38%
2.97%
50.24%
Aug 2023
$219,821
3.39%
9.96%
4.70%
4.59%
4.88%
3.02%
3.91%
3.48%
2.59%
2.12%
1.53%
1.34%
3.27%
48.81%
Sep 2023
$230,128
1.53%
11.37%
5.64%
4.99%
2.94%
3.29%
2.85%
2.08%
1.88%
2.67%
1.43%
1.12%
4.61%
46.39%
Oct 2023
$215,140
4.37%
9.06%
5.23%
4.58%
3.02%
3.35%
1.93%
2.03%
1.86%
1.40%
1.35%
1.25%
2.52%
41.94%
Nov 2023
$193,080
0.29%
5.06%
5.15%
4.85%
5.79%
3.57%
3.19%
3.29%
3.27%
2.89%
2.49%
2.66%
5.88%
48.38%
Dec 2023
$206,715
1.40%
7.47%
4.47%
4.61%
4.63%
3.69%
3.87%
2.88%
3.10%
2.37%
2.14%
2.21%
4.61%
47.45%
Jan 2024
$235,204
0.47%
5.88%
5.98%
5.39%
5.17%
3.86%
4.00%
3.47%
4.27%
2.94%
3.03%
2.34%
8.90%
55.68%
Feb 2024
$274,761
0.81%
5.73%
6.92%
4.90%
4.41%
4.87%
4.19%
3.64%
3.95%
3.86%
2.73%
3.05%
7.55%
56.61%
Mar 2024
$255,795
1.92%
6.30%
6.93%
5.48%
4.29%
4.51%
3.65%
3.49%
3.87%
2.75%
2.35%
1.54%
3.61%
50.69%
Apr 2024
$210,933
0.87%
8.75%
6.07%
3.63%
5.14%
4.26%
4.53%
3.16%
3.02%
2.19%
2.03%
1.74%
3.84%
49.23%
May 2024
$254,811
0.81%
7.27%
6.74%
4.33%
4.98%
3.77%
4.22%
3.34%
3.07%
2.82%
2.03%
1.30%
3.15%
47.81%
Jun 2024
$196,828
0.38%
9.24%
7.59%
5.06%
5.94%
4.62%
3.72%
3.56%
3.50%
3.73%
3.38%
1.21%
4.17%
56.10%
Jul 2024
$183,806
0.03%
7.34%
5.29%
4.73%
5.00%
4.48%
3.40%
4.10%
3.60%
2.49%
2.00%
0.95%
4.45%
47.86%
Aug 2024
$260,630
0.08%
6.07%
5.17%
4.94%
5.04%
3.31%
3.08%
2.85%
3.63%
3.39%
2.47%
1.21%
4.80%
46.03%
Sep 2024
$201,420
0.20%
6.42%
5.75%
4.60%
4.48%
4.70%
4.68%
4.01%
3.22%
2.93%
2.86%
1.41%
3.40%
48.66%
Oct 2024
$231,215
2.60%
6.47%
4.63%
4.66%
4.17%
3.85%
3.17%
3.68%
2.90%
2.82%
2.19%
1.32%
3.34%
45.81%
Nov 2024
$202,550
0.84%
5.87%
7.52%
4.95%
4.76%
3.82%
3.34%
2.76%
3.58%
2.89%
2.50%
1.41%
3.85%
48.09%
Dec 2024
$255,245
0.36%
4.77%
6.24%
5.16%
4.16%
3.58%
3.05%
2.80%
2.78%
2.29%
2.72%
0.97%
3.06%
41.94%
Jan 2025
$250,364
0.19%
6.93%
6.81%
6.45%
4.37%
3.80%
3.30%
4.90%
3.25%
3.14%
2.74%
0.63%
2.53%
49.02%
Feb 2025
$288,845
0.07%
7.75%
7.58%
6.02%
4.47%
4.06%
3.39%
3.18%
3.21%
3.30%
2.60%
1.39%
1.60%
48.62%
Mar 2025
$271,370
0.46%
6.98%
4.82%
3.30%
3.59%
3.42%
3.25%
2.71%
2.23%
2.30%
2.18%
1.10%
4.00%
40.34%
Apr 2025
$298,440
0.92%
6.34%
4.61%
3.54%
2.92%
2.73%
3.03%
2.50%
2.68%
1.95%
2.07%
0.55%
3.39%
37.24%
May 2025
$305,195
1.26%
6.07%
5.34%
3.09%
3.68%
2.67%
3.00%
2.21%
2.13%
1.88%
2.13%
1.09%
3.86%
38.42%
Jun 2025
$334,364
0.40%
5.64%
6.35%
3.57%
3.40%
2.78%
3.32%
2.69%
3.06%
2.27%
2.28%
0.65%
1.41%
37.81%
Jul 2025
$279,511
0.21%
6.69%
4.85%
4.62%
3.49%
3.40%
2.83%
3.64%
3.16%
2.98%
2.84%
1.25%
2.59%
42.53%
Aug 2025
$307,410
1.09%
6.09%
5.15%
3.57%
4.00%
3.13%
2.92%
3.35%
4.03%
2.37%
2.07%
2.11%
1.09%
40.96%
Sep 2025
$239,520
0.35%
6.02%
5.50%
4.67%
3.92%
4.23%
3.91%
3.31%
3.84%
3.15%
2.20%
1.28%
0.07%
42.45%
Oct 2025
$254,835
2.28%
5.38%
5.25%
4.00%
3.75%
3.26%
3.33%
2.39%
2.15%
1.73%
1.81%
0.26%
0.00%
35.60%
Nov 2025
$225,940
0.44%
6.04%
5.39%
4.96%
5.21%
4.12%
3.57%
4.88%
2.95%
3.19%
0.91%
0.00%
0.00%
41.67%
Dec 2025
$280,530
1.37%
4.86%
4.65%
4.81%
3.59%
3.18%
2.70%
2.60%
2.23%
0.50%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
30.47%
Jan 2026
$260,445
0.51%
3.94%
5.49%
4.94%
3.41%
3.43%
3.39%
3.17%
1.64%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
29.93%
Feb 2026
$295,830
0.69%
4.87%
4.62%
5.26%
3.49%
3.02%
2.38%
0.64%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
24.98%
Mar 2026
$397,220
0.85%
5.75%
5.56%
4.24%
3.41%
2.99%
1.06%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
23.86%
Apr 2026
$281,605
0.50%
3.72%
4.96%
3.28%
3.00%
0.44%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.90%
May 2026
$356,393
0.37%
4.64%
4.64%
3.13%
1.20%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
13.97%
Jun 2026
$304,740
1.18%
6.30%
4.47%
0.74%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
12.69%
Jul 2026
$337,955
0.55%
4.39%
0.74%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
5.68%
Aug 2026
$329,260
0.65%
0.58%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.24%
Sep 2026
$126,850
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$8,175,669
1.44%
7.75%
5.97%
4.55%
4.20%
3.59%
3.29%
3.01%
2.84%
2.45%
2.18%
1.42%
3.61%
46.29%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 32 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$748,319 (54% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $672,460 against an actual $648,807 —
+3.6%.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$125,47618.9%
Nov 2026
+2
$105,30015.9%
Dec 2026
+3
$89,99313.6%
Jan 2027
+4
$76,83511.6%
Feb 2027
+5
$64,6439.8%
Mar 2027
+6
$54,3008.2%
Apr 2027
+7
$43,8736.6%
May 2027
+8
$34,7725.2%
Jun 2027
+9
$26,2664.0%
Jul 2027
+10
$18,9462.9%
Aug 2027
+11
$13,3312.0%
Sep 2027
+12
$9,1451.4%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$662,87910.8% of the $6,113,324 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Jun 2026
2
$304,740
$36,42712.0%
$46,172 15.2%
79
$-9,745
May 2026
3
$356,393
$45,53012.8%
$70,215 19.7%
65
$-24,685
Apr 2026
4
$281,605
$43,53815.5%
$67,311 23.9%
65
$-23,773
Mar 2026
5
$397,220
$90,56022.8%
$109,187 27.5%
83
$-18,627
Feb 2026
6
$295,830
$72,00424.3%
$91,049 30.8%
79
$-19,046
Jan 2026
7
$260,445
$73,68528.3%
$87,999 33.8%
84
$-14,314
Dec 2025
8
$280,530
$84,07130.0%
$102,742 36.6%
82
$-18,671
Nov 2025
9
$225,940
$92,07940.8%
$88,281 39.1%
104
+$3,798
Oct 2025
10
$254,835
$90,05335.3%
$105,134 41.3%
86
$-15,081
Sep 2025
11
$239,520
$101,51342.4%
$102,228 42.7%
99
$-714
Aug 2025
12
$307,410
$125,18540.7%
$134,970 43.9%
93
$-9,785
Jul 2025
13
$279,511
$118,87342.5%
$124,469 44.5%
96
$-5,596
Jun 2025
14
$334,364
$125,81437.6%
$150,247 44.9%
84
$-24,433
May 2025
15
$305,195
$117,25338.4%
$138,111 45.3%
85
$-20,857
Apr 2025
16
$298,440
$110,92737.2%
$135,826 45.5%
82
$-24,899
Mar 2025
17
$271,370
$109,34240.3%
$123,939 45.7%
88
$-14,597
Feb 2025
18
$288,845
$140,44948.6%
$132,270 45.8%
106
+$8,180
Jan 2025
19
$250,364
$122,71749.0%
$114,981 45.9%
107
+$7,736
Dec 2024
20
$255,245
$107,05141.9%
$117,407 46.0%
91
$-10,356
Nov 2024
21
$202,550
$97,41048.1%
$93,288 46.1%
104
+$4,122
Oct 2024
22
$231,215
$105,91245.8%
$106,644 46.1%
99
$-732
Sep 2024
23
$201,420
$98,01748.7%
$92,957 46.2%
105
+$5,061
Aug 2024
24
$260,630
$119,96346.0%
$120,308 46.2%
100
$-345
Jul 2024
25
$183,806
$87,88047.8%
$84,865 46.2%
104
+$3,015
Jun 2024
26
$196,828
$110,42256.1%
$90,923 46.2%
121
+$19,499
May 2024
27
$254,811
$121,81147.8%
$117,752 46.2%
103
+$4,059
Apr 2024
28
$210,933
$103,84049.2%
$97,508 46.2%
106
+$6,332
Mar 2024
29
$255,795
$129,65350.7%
$118,254 46.2%
110
+$11,399
Feb 2024
30
$274,761
$155,45456.6%
$127,030 46.2%
122
+$28,425
Jan 2024
31
$235,204
$130,95755.7%
$108,756 46.2%
120
+$22,201
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
Jun 2025
$334,364
$126,42737.8%
$5,9064.7%
$120,521
$120,521
ok
Jul 2025
$279,511
$118,87342.5%
$4,8404.1%
$114,033
$114,241
$-208
May 2023
$331,273
$166,29350.2%
$4,0782.5%
$162,215
$162,215
ok
Apr 2025
$298,440
$111,14537.2%
$3,4713.1%
$107,674
$108,261
$-587
Mar 2026
$397,220
$94,77623.9%
$3,3963.6%
$91,380
$93,389
$-2,009
Nov 2025
$225,940
$94,14641.7%
$3,0823.3%
$91,064
$93,747
$-2,682
Oct 2024
$231,215
$105,91245.8%
$2,7752.6%
$103,137
$103,997
$-860
Feb 2025
$288,845
$140,44948.6%
$2,5591.8%
$137,891
$138,176
$-285
Dec 2024
$255,245
$107,05141.9%
$2,3902.2%
$104,661
$107,030
$-2,368
Feb 2024
$274,761
$155,54656.6%
$2,2321.4%
$153,314
$153,414
$-100
Jun 2023
$314,829
$163,29151.9%
$2,0221.2%
$161,269
$161,269
ok
Jan 2024
$235,204
$130,95755.7%
$1,9241.5%
$129,033
$129,632
$-599
Dec 2023
$206,715
$98,08847.5%
$1,9001.9%
$96,188
$96,188
ok
Mar 2023
$379,941
$160,03742.1%
$1,8461.2%
$158,191
$158,191
ok
Jul 2023
$249,635
$125,40750.2%
$1,7541.4%
$123,653
$123,653
ok
Oct 2025
$254,835
$90,72635.6%
$1,7231.9%
$89,004
$89,823
$-819
May 2025
$305,195
$117,25338.4%
$1,7221.5%
$115,531
$116,148
$-617
Apr 2023
$431,430
$195,39745.3%
$1,6830.9%
$193,714
$193,906
$-192
May 2024
$254,811
$121,82147.8%
$1,6781.4%
$120,144
$120,968
$-824
Aug 2024
$260,630
$119,96346.0%
$1,6601.4%
$118,303
$118,353
ok
Oct 2023
$215,140
$90,23741.9%
$1,5001.7%
$88,737
$88,737
ok
Sep 2025
$239,520
$101,67842.5%
$1,4601.4%
$100,218
$100,481
$-262
Mar 2025
$271,370
$109,46440.3%
$1,3011.2%
$108,163
$108,404
$-241
Feb 2026
$295,830
$73,89525.0%
$1,2311.7%
$72,663
$73,667
$-1,004
ALL MONTHS
$11,627,272
$4,457,84938.3%
$70,6841.6%
$4,387,165
Boston — 4,051 agreements, $7,648,401 of finance written
Finance written
$7,648,401
Collected
$3,613,151 47.2%
Written off
$557,264 7.3%
Still outstanding
$3,478,185 45.5%
Deposit taken
$2,365,408
Sale value
$10,013,809
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Aug 2020
1
$1,500
$550
$950
$00.0%
$00.0%
$950100.0%
ok
Jul 2023
93
$233,230
$63,955
$169,275
$109,44764.7%
$7,7534.6%
$52,09430.8%
ok
Aug 2023
134
$321,650
$88,230
$233,420
$158,50367.9%
$18,1607.8%
$56,76824.3%
ok
Sep 2023
122
$274,960
$70,720
$204,240
$131,84564.6%
$27,26313.3%
$45,16022.1%
ok
Oct 2023
129
$343,050
$95,471
$247,579
$152,81761.7%
$20,5158.3%
$74,24730.0%
ok
Nov 2023
85
$193,225
$46,505
$146,720
$94,45264.4%
$22,35815.2%
$29,90120.4%
ok
Dec 2023
104
$264,200
$63,400
$200,800
$125,56862.5%
$18,9769.4%
$56,29128.0%
ok
Jan 2024
106
$265,500
$79,810
$185,690
$97,17352.3%
$30,69216.5%
$57,82731.1%
ok
Feb 2024
91
$250,900
$67,320
$183,580
$112,74161.4%
$21,31911.6%
$49,52627.0%
ok
Mar 2024
116
$302,829
$83,284
$219,545
$137,31462.5%
$15,6827.1%
$66,56830.3%
ok
Apr 2024
95
$247,800
$64,080
$183,720
$116,38063.3%
$15,7258.6%
$51,61528.1%
ok
May 2024
85
$220,082
$61,801
$158,281
$94,07059.4%
$16,08810.2%
$48,13830.4%
ok
Jun 2024
97
$217,900
$63,990
$153,910
$91,96359.8%
$16,94011.0%
$45,01429.2%
ok
Jul 2024
135
$272,048
$75,436
$196,612
$125,38763.8%
$13,1836.7%
$58,03329.5%
ok
Aug 2024
92
$200,222
$55,691
$144,531
$90,78962.8%
$10,3297.1%
$43,41330.0%
ok
Sep 2024
112
$275,750
$67,804
$207,946
$129,47562.3%
$19,0929.2%
$59,36328.5%
ok
Oct 2024
109
$258,445
$65,565
$192,880
$111,56757.8%
$13,9517.2%
$67,36734.9%
ok
Nov 2024
109
$280,307
$56,499
$223,809
$110,28249.3%
$19,1768.6%
$94,35042.2%
ok
Dec 2024
76
$181,756
$36,579
$145,177
$88,47660.9%
$8,0755.6%
$48,65133.5%
ok
Jan 2025
94
$184,892
$35,230
$149,662
$80,30853.7%
$10,5487.0%
$58,80539.3%
ok
Feb 2025
121
$320,523
$60,884
$259,639
$129,53249.9%
$27,76210.7%
$102,36839.4%
ok
Mar 2025
151
$372,955
$78,400
$294,555
$150,88251.2%
$25,8778.8%
$117,79940.0%
ok
Apr 2025
146
$365,275
$78,760
$286,515
$142,41149.7%
$19,8216.9%
$124,28343.4%
ok
May 2025
153
$354,500
$77,136
$277,364
$133,25348.0%
$11,8814.3%
$132,24047.7%
ok
Jun 2025
134
$314,459
$71,949
$242,510
$135,85956.0%
$23,3879.6%
$83,25834.3%
ok
Jul 2025
108
$221,950
$51,055
$170,895
$101,75059.5%
$2,7951.6%
$66,35938.8%
ok
Aug 2025
91
$218,800
$50,055
$168,745
$92,21854.6%
$1,3000.8%
$75,24044.6%
ok
Sep 2025
81
$187,600
$37,950
$149,650
$76,49351.1%
$1,7541.2%
$71,40547.7%
ok
Oct 2025 ·11mo
58
$141,400
$30,710
$110,690
$61,98956.0%
$5,1254.6%
$43,57839.4%
ok
Nov 2025 ·10mo
97
$245,875
$52,565
$193,310
$84,81243.9%
$8,9254.6%
$99,57351.5%
ok
Dec 2025 ·9mo
92
$215,450
$45,573
$169,877
$65,43138.5%
$5,7213.4%
$98,72458.1%
ok
Jan 2026 ·8mo
95
$262,425
$56,758
$205,667
$67,40132.8%
$13,2306.4%
$125,03660.8%
ok
Feb 2026 ·7mo
90
$238,162
$58,959
$179,203
$51,20028.6%
$4,6062.6%
$123,40368.9%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
77
$236,232
$53,482
$182,750
$41,99923.0%
$10,0075.5%
$130,74471.5%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
84
$197,582
$48,656
$148,926
$29,38719.7%
$9,5006.4%
$110,03973.9%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
84
$217,500
$51,143
$166,357
$26,95916.2%
$15,7009.4%
$123,69874.4%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
111
$278,975
$62,583
$216,392
$28,90913.4%
$17,6008.1%
$169,88378.5%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
119
$324,950
$58,150
$266,800
$18,1076.8%
$16,7006.3%
$231,99487.0%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
125
$360,800
$72,115
$288,685
$14,8175.1%
$6,5502.3%
$267,31892.6%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
49
$148,150
$26,605
$121,545
$1,1801.0%
$3,2002.6%
$117,16596.4%
ok
TOTAL
4051
$10,013,809
$2,365,408
$7,648,401
$3,613,15147.2%
$557,2647.3%
$3,478,18545.5%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 4,050 of 4,051 agreements' finance schedules (1 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Aug 2020
$950
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Jul 2023
$169,275
0.46%
8.88%
8.21%
7.86%
7.51%
6.12%
5.95%
4.90%
4.80%
3.73%
2.79%
0.95%
2.76%
64.92%
Aug 2023
$233,420
0.36%
10.33%
7.30%
7.52%
6.37%
6.42%
5.68%
5.39%
4.67%
4.38%
4.28%
0.68%
4.96%
68.34%
Sep 2023
$204,240
0.32%
7.42%
6.59%
6.05%
6.75%
5.78%
5.22%
4.20%
4.86%
4.30%
3.71%
1.93%
8.19%
65.33%
Oct 2023
$247,579
0.56%
7.32%
7.03%
5.94%
5.74%
5.55%
5.12%
4.17%
4.43%
4.39%
4.82%
1.37%
5.49%
61.93%
Nov 2023
$146,720
2.20%
6.15%
6.86%
5.61%
7.01%
5.11%
6.56%
5.33%
3.69%
4.47%
3.88%
1.62%
6.74%
65.25%
Dec 2023
$200,800
3.45%
7.92%
6.92%
7.01%
6.91%
4.49%
6.58%
3.53%
4.20%
3.52%
3.08%
1.35%
3.64%
62.62%
Jan 2024
$185,690
3.52%
7.57%
6.68%
7.28%
4.95%
4.38%
3.99%
3.46%
2.64%
2.59%
2.25%
1.23%
3.96%
54.50%
Feb 2024
$183,580
3.29%
9.31%
9.29%
7.61%
6.28%
3.69%
4.25%
4.37%
3.99%
2.93%
2.52%
0.88%
3.59%
61.99%
Mar 2024
$219,545
3.74%
7.98%
8.21%
6.15%
5.41%
4.95%
4.35%
4.92%
4.03%
3.97%
3.74%
2.57%
3.44%
63.47%
Apr 2024
$183,720
2.84%
8.87%
6.96%
6.78%
7.28%
5.52%
5.12%
3.89%
3.75%
3.91%
2.78%
1.82%
4.08%
63.60%
May 2024
$158,281
2.14%
10.44%
7.50%
7.83%
6.54%
5.36%
4.49%
3.75%
3.52%
3.17%
2.15%
1.90%
3.40%
62.17%
Jun 2024
$153,910
2.00%
10.52%
7.75%
6.33%
5.76%
4.72%
3.79%
4.09%
2.82%
2.99%
3.82%
1.36%
4.19%
60.13%
Jul 2024
$196,612
1.18%
9.11%
8.59%
7.34%
6.67%
5.62%
5.01%
4.30%
3.96%
4.29%
3.47%
1.68%
3.95%
65.19%
Aug 2024
$144,531
0.03%
10.02%
7.35%
6.53%
6.40%
4.69%
5.29%
5.23%
5.28%
3.55%
3.22%
1.58%
4.86%
64.04%
Sep 2024
$207,946
1.04%
10.15%
6.95%
5.83%
5.82%
6.26%
4.40%
3.95%
3.42%
3.37%
3.06%
2.38%
5.51%
62.13%
Oct 2024
$192,880
1.61%
7.75%
5.67%
5.97%
4.85%
5.23%
4.76%
3.71%
4.79%
3.13%
3.10%
2.23%
5.08%
57.87%
Nov 2024
$223,809
0.07%
7.26%
6.63%
4.73%
4.56%
3.61%
3.11%
3.60%
2.81%
3.86%
2.22%
0.70%
6.54%
49.69%
Dec 2024
$145,177
3.27%
10.83%
7.48%
6.72%
4.94%
5.67%
3.85%
4.39%
3.46%
2.52%
3.00%
1.51%
4.11%
61.76%
Jan 2025
$149,662
1.11%
6.84%
6.72%
6.34%
4.43%
4.26%
3.43%
3.44%
3.57%
3.45%
2.36%
1.74%
6.51%
54.20%
Feb 2025
$259,639
1.73%
6.42%
5.71%
5.23%
5.23%
4.37%
3.41%
3.46%
2.97%
2.60%
2.25%
1.74%
5.79%
50.92%
Mar 2025
$294,555
0.94%
5.99%
5.59%
5.41%
4.89%
5.15%
3.68%
4.07%
3.83%
3.61%
3.04%
1.56%
3.97%
51.72%
Apr 2025
$286,515
0.41%
7.03%
6.33%
3.91%
4.88%
4.07%
3.64%
3.87%
3.43%
3.72%
3.16%
2.01%
3.88%
50.34%
May 2025
$277,364
0.17%
6.86%
5.45%
4.05%
4.93%
3.96%
4.70%
3.53%
3.11%
3.31%
2.87%
1.80%
4.04%
48.78%
Jun 2025
$242,510
0.16%
6.48%
5.92%
7.13%
5.16%
5.06%
4.57%
4.50%
4.07%
4.20%
3.33%
3.11%
3.00%
56.70%
Jul 2025
$170,895
1.06%
8.74%
6.35%
5.99%
5.66%
4.85%
5.07%
5.37%
5.34%
3.90%
3.07%
1.82%
2.83%
60.02%
Aug 2025
$168,745
2.14%
6.43%
6.14%
5.42%
5.58%
3.80%
5.23%
3.80%
3.41%
2.73%
3.07%
5.42%
2.04%
55.21%
Sep 2025
$149,650
0.21%
6.33%
5.69%
7.51%
5.55%
4.99%
4.75%
4.60%
3.73%
3.35%
3.43%
1.21%
0.15%
51.49%
Oct 2025
$110,690
0.43%
7.64%
6.31%
8.15%
5.75%
5.04%
5.15%
5.14%
3.98%
3.48%
3.11%
0.55%
0.00%
54.75%
Nov 2025
$193,310
2.13%
6.09%
5.88%
4.80%
4.30%
4.40%
4.07%
4.15%
3.70%
3.14%
0.69%
0.00%
0.00%
43.32%
Dec 2025
$169,877
0.51%
6.10%
4.92%
6.67%
5.46%
4.12%
3.13%
3.80%
3.26%
0.71%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
38.68%
Jan 2026
$205,667
0.42%
6.07%
5.64%
4.44%
5.44%
4.17%
4.02%
2.89%
0.26%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
33.34%
Feb 2026
$179,203
1.31%
5.95%
4.57%
4.70%
3.81%
3.65%
3.70%
0.55%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
28.24%
Mar 2026
$182,750
0.58%
4.83%
4.63%
3.98%
4.12%
3.96%
0.74%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
22.84%
Apr 2026
$148,926
0.22%
4.82%
4.91%
5.02%
4.02%
1.15%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
20.14%
May 2026
$166,357
1.32%
5.17%
5.05%
4.76%
0.52%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
16.83%
Jun 2026
$216,392
0.00%
6.30%
6.23%
0.95%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
13.48%
Jul 2026
$266,800
0.02%
4.81%
1.32%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
6.15%
Aug 2026
$288,685
2.77%
1.64%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
4.41%
Sep 2026
$120,345
0.07%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.07%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$5,398,199
1.40%
7.97%
6.80%
6.17%
5.71%
4.93%
4.61%
4.18%
3.85%
3.58%
3.14%
1.78%
4.37%
58.50%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 28 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$545,154 (45% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $680,337 against an actual $679,740 —
+0.1%.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$111,07018.0%
Nov 2026
+2
$96,37815.6%
Dec 2026
+3
$83,24813.5%
Jan 2027
+4
$71,32311.6%
Feb 2027
+5
$60,6959.8%
Mar 2027
+6
$51,5968.4%
Apr 2027
+7
$43,0697.0%
May 2027
+8
$34,6865.6%
Jun 2027
+9
$26,2404.3%
Jul 2027
+10
$18,1272.9%
Aug 2027
+11
$12,3622.0%
Sep 2027
+12
$8,6101.4%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$617,40517.8% of the $3,478,185 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Jun 2026
2
$216,392
$27,11312.5%
$34,989 16.2%
77
$-7,876
May 2026
3
$166,357
$27,12616.3%
$37,159 22.3%
73
$-10,033
Apr 2026
4
$148,926
$28,27319.0%
$41,772 28.0%
68
$-13,499
Mar 2026
5
$182,750
$40,38722.1%
$60,273 33.0%
67
$-19,886
Feb 2026
6
$179,203
$49,61527.7%
$67,367 37.6%
74
$-17,752
Jan 2026
7
$205,667
$68,03333.1%
$85,908 41.8%
79
$-17,875
Dec 2025
8
$169,877
$64,49738.0%
$77,499 45.6%
83
$-13,002
Nov 2025
9
$193,310
$82,41242.6%
$95,112 49.2%
87
$-12,700
Oct 2025
10
$110,690
$59,99554.2%
$57,941 52.3%
104
+$2,054
Sep 2025
11
$149,650
$76,83351.3%
$81,002 54.1%
95
$-4,169
Aug 2025
12
$168,745
$92,85555.0%
$93,587 55.5%
99
$-732
Jul 2025
13
$170,895
$102,57560.0%
$96,378 56.4%
106
+$6,197
Jun 2025
14
$242,510
$137,44956.7%
$138,217 57.0%
99
$-768
May 2025
15
$277,364
$134,14748.4%
$159,034 57.3%
84
$-24,888
Apr 2025
16
$286,515
$143,66850.1%
$165,099 57.6%
87
$-21,431
Mar 2025
17
$294,555
$152,34851.7%
$170,323 57.8%
89
$-17,975
Feb 2025
18
$259,639
$132,21650.9%
$150,395 57.9%
88
$-18,179
Jan 2025
19
$149,662
$81,04054.1%
$86,909 58.1%
93
$-5,869
Dec 2024
20
$145,177
$89,65961.8%
$84,426 58.2%
106
+$5,233
Nov 2024
21
$223,809
$111,21749.7%
$130,276 58.2%
85
$-19,059
Oct 2024
22
$192,880
$111,62657.9%
$112,386 58.3%
99
$-760
Sep 2024
23
$207,946
$129,19762.1%
$121,344 58.4%
106
+$7,853
Aug 2024
24
$144,531
$92,55664.0%
$84,371 58.4%
110
+$8,185
Jul 2024
25
$196,612
$128,17065.2%
$114,830 58.4%
112
+$13,341
Jun 2024
26
$153,910
$92,54360.1%
$89,918 58.4%
103
+$2,625
May 2024
27
$158,281
$98,41062.2%
$92,497 58.4%
106
+$5,913
Apr 2024
28
$183,720
$116,84263.6%
$107,375 58.4%
109
+$9,467
Mar 2024
29
$219,545
$139,33963.5%
$128,328 58.5%
109
+$11,012
Feb 2024
30
$183,580
$113,80062.0%
$107,314 58.5%
106
+$6,486
Jan 2024
31
$185,690
$101,19654.5%
$108,557 58.5%
93
$-7,361
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
May 2024
$158,281
$98,41062.2%
$4,3404.4%
$94,070
$94,070
ok
Jan 2024
$185,690
$101,19654.5%
$4,0234.0%
$97,173
$97,173
ok
Feb 2025
$259,639
$132,21650.9%
$3,3672.5%
$128,850
$129,532
$-682
Jul 2024
$196,612
$128,17065.2%
$3,0292.4%
$125,142
$125,387
$-246
Jan 2026
$205,667
$68,56433.3%
$2,6393.8%
$65,925
$67,401
$-1,477
Apr 2026
$148,926
$29,98820.1%
$2,1957.3%
$27,793
$29,387
$-1,594
May 2025
$277,364
$135,29448.8%
$2,1121.6%
$133,183
$133,253
$-71
Apr 2025
$286,515
$144,24650.3%
$2,0291.4%
$142,216
$142,411
$-195
Mar 2024
$219,545
$139,33963.5%
$2,0251.5%
$137,314
$137,314
ok
May 2026
$166,357
$27,99816.8%
$1,9477.0%
$26,051
$26,959
$-908
Jun 2025
$242,510
$137,49956.7%
$1,8941.4%
$135,604
$135,859
$-255
Aug 2024
$144,531
$92,55664.0%
$1,7661.9%
$90,789
$90,789
ok
Aug 2023
$233,420
$159,51368.3%
$1,7231.1%
$157,790
$158,503
$-713
Sep 2023
$204,240
$133,43765.3%
$1,5931.2%
$131,845
$131,845
ok
Dec 2024
$145,177
$89,65961.8%
$1,4881.7%
$88,171
$88,476
$-305
Mar 2025
$294,555
$152,34851.7%
$1,4661.0%
$150,882
$150,882
ok
Nov 2023
$146,720
$95,73265.2%
$1,2801.3%
$94,452
$94,452
ok
Mar 2026
$182,750
$41,74822.8%
$1,1772.8%
$40,571
$41,999
$-1,427
Jun 2026
$216,392
$29,16413.5%
$1,1153.8%
$28,049
$28,909
$-860
Oct 2023
$247,579
$153,32161.9%
$1,0940.7%
$152,227
$152,817
$-590
Feb 2024
$183,580
$113,80062.0%
$1,0590.9%
$112,741
$112,741
ok
Aug 2025
$168,745
$93,16355.2%
$1,0451.1%
$92,118
$92,218
$-100
Nov 2024
$223,809
$111,21749.7%
$9850.9%
$110,232
$110,282
$-50
Jan 2025
$149,662
$81,12054.2%
$9621.2%
$80,158
$80,308
$-150
ALL MONTHS
$7,647,201
$3,645,03247.7%
$52,3661.4%
$3,592,666
Nashville — 2,805 agreements, $5,613,809 of finance written
Finance written
$5,613,809
Collected
$1,986,393 35.4%
Written off
$209,124 3.7%
Still outstanding
$3,418,333 60.9%
Deposit taken
$1,257,236
Sale value
$6,871,045
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Sep 2024
111
$263,900
$51,790
$212,110
$103,59148.8%
$15,9657.5%
$92,55443.6%
ok
Oct 2024
137
$323,970
$66,853
$257,118
$142,92255.6%
$13,1075.1%
$101,08739.3%
ok
Nov 2024
105
$263,650
$51,010
$212,640
$111,67852.5%
$9,7864.6%
$91,18042.9%
ok
Dec 2024
99
$252,450
$53,497
$198,953
$110,62855.6%
$9,2984.7%
$79,02439.7%
ok
Jan 2025
100
$265,180
$54,263
$210,917
$115,28154.7%
$10,0954.8%
$85,54540.6%
ok
Feb 2025
110
$267,000
$51,138
$215,862
$99,54146.1%
$6,5423.0%
$109,77950.9%
ok
Mar 2025
132
$301,550
$55,327
$246,223
$111,77845.4%
$15,7786.4%
$118,67348.2%
ok
Apr 2025
129
$325,362
$62,564
$262,798
$105,81740.3%
$19,2837.3%
$137,70252.4%
ok
May 2025
123
$357,550
$61,385
$296,165
$115,62439.0%
$17,3655.9%
$163,18155.1%
ok
Jun 2025
109
$294,800
$50,980
$243,820
$91,99337.7%
$14,6206.0%
$137,21656.3%
ok
Jul 2025
104
$278,940
$54,998
$223,942
$91,12040.7%
$14,7506.6%
$118,07452.7%
ok
Aug 2025
143
$340,354
$61,480
$278,875
$108,39338.9%
$14,6765.3%
$155,80755.9%
ok
Sep 2025
118
$259,439
$42,388
$217,051
$99,41645.8%
$5,6512.6%
$111,98551.6%
ok
Oct 2025 ·11mo
112
$245,735
$43,960
$201,775
$93,05546.1%
$2,0801.0%
$106,64152.9%
ok
Nov 2025 ·10mo
121
$273,500
$48,535
$224,965
$73,68232.8%
$9,7254.3%
$141,55862.9%
ok
Dec 2025 ·9mo
115
$260,115
$45,930
$214,185
$69,10632.3%
$2,8281.3%
$142,25266.4%
ok
Jan 2026 ·8mo
109
$262,425
$46,795
$215,630
$66,81731.0%
$5,3002.5%
$143,51866.6%
ok
Feb 2026 ·7mo
137
$367,300
$65,599
$301,701
$107,34135.6%
$5,0001.7%
$189,36562.8%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
107
$265,625
$47,490
$218,135
$44,14020.2%
$3,7001.7%
$170,29578.1%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
103
$248,000
$43,359
$204,641
$33,48216.4%
$6,2513.1%
$164,90980.6%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
128
$302,600
$50,080
$252,520
$40,08115.9%
$00.0%
$212,43984.1%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
97
$246,950
$42,575
$204,375
$26,48913.0%
$2,8251.4%
$175,06185.7%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
101
$251,950
$44,061
$207,889
$16,1587.8%
$2,5001.2%
$189,23191.0%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
111
$253,000
$42,065
$210,935
$8,0603.8%
$2,0000.9%
$200,87595.2%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
44
$99,700
$19,115
$80,585
$2000.2%
$00.0%
$80,38599.8%
ok
TOTAL
2805
$6,871,045
$1,257,236
$5,613,809
$1,986,39335.4%
$209,1243.7%
$3,418,33360.9%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 2,801 of 2,805 agreements' finance schedules (4 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Sep 2024
$212,110
0.33%
6.82%
6.74%
4.73%
4.96%
4.34%
3.64%
3.14%
2.91%
3.35%
2.39%
1.52%
3.18%
48.06%
Oct 2024
$257,118
2.11%
7.87%
6.03%
7.68%
4.41%
4.13%
4.07%
4.04%
3.83%
3.36%
3.05%
1.81%
4.30%
56.66%
Nov 2024
$212,640
0.94%
7.75%
7.28%
5.34%
5.15%
3.90%
5.22%
3.87%
3.63%
3.51%
2.61%
1.19%
2.18%
52.57%
Dec 2024
$198,953
0.27%
6.91%
6.20%
5.37%
4.95%
4.58%
5.20%
4.60%
4.84%
3.53%
3.75%
1.38%
4.22%
55.80%
Jan 2025
$210,917
0.88%
7.99%
5.96%
5.54%
4.87%
4.73%
4.17%
4.81%
3.78%
3.79%
3.43%
1.35%
4.59%
55.88%
Feb 2025
$215,862
0.56%
6.36%
6.40%
4.60%
4.22%
3.99%
4.44%
3.53%
3.31%
2.67%
2.83%
0.65%
2.93%
46.49%
Mar 2025
$246,223
0.55%
6.85%
5.05%
4.42%
4.16%
3.76%
4.03%
3.92%
3.61%
2.34%
2.35%
1.02%
3.27%
45.34%
Apr 2025
$262,798
0.07%
6.07%
5.35%
4.76%
4.71%
3.28%
3.50%
2.66%
2.41%
2.23%
2.04%
0.95%
2.81%
40.83%
May 2025
$296,165
0.44%
5.76%
4.24%
4.09%
3.66%
3.21%
3.85%
2.61%
2.46%
2.76%
2.58%
1.46%
2.20%
39.33%
Jun 2025
$243,820
0.15%
5.43%
4.45%
3.81%
2.98%
2.99%
2.67%
2.53%
2.29%
2.17%
3.09%
1.71%
3.65%
37.92%
Jul 2025
$223,942
1.02%
5.12%
5.68%
4.00%
3.93%
3.66%
3.36%
3.50%
2.58%
2.35%
2.34%
2.31%
1.61%
41.46%
Aug 2025
$278,875
0.26%
5.65%
4.89%
4.01%
4.66%
3.59%
2.81%
2.43%
3.15%
3.07%
2.99%
1.04%
0.39%
38.94%
Sep 2025
$217,051
2.28%
5.83%
5.01%
5.23%
4.66%
4.28%
3.87%
3.62%
3.92%
3.03%
3.01%
1.27%
0.13%
46.14%
Oct 2025
$201,775
1.71%
5.98%
4.99%
5.38%
4.38%
4.73%
4.42%
3.91%
3.43%
3.45%
3.45%
0.23%
0.00%
46.07%
Nov 2025
$224,965
1.05%
7.45%
4.17%
3.76%
3.06%
3.07%
3.09%
2.63%
2.53%
1.98%
0.47%
0.00%
0.00%
33.26%
Dec 2025
$214,185
0.21%
5.23%
4.65%
4.80%
3.53%
3.37%
3.81%
3.04%
2.62%
0.56%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
31.81%
Jan 2026
$215,630
0.56%
5.94%
5.47%
4.15%
3.78%
3.60%
3.50%
2.88%
0.83%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
30.72%
Feb 2026
$301,701
0.64%
8.13%
7.69%
4.95%
4.98%
4.09%
3.59%
1.05%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
35.12%
Mar 2026
$218,135
0.49%
6.42%
3.79%
3.18%
3.17%
2.67%
0.72%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
20.44%
Apr 2026
$204,641
0.03%
4.26%
3.58%
3.45%
3.32%
1.07%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.71%
May 2026
$252,520
1.24%
5.37%
4.44%
3.51%
0.68%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.24%
Jun 2026
$204,375
1.60%
5.06%
4.67%
0.53%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
11.86%
Jul 2026
$207,889
0.14%
4.74%
1.57%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
6.45%
Aug 2026
$210,935
1.17%
0.79%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.96%
Sep 2026
$72,865
0.27%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.27%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$3,076,473
0.74%
6.45%
5.56%
4.87%
4.38%
3.84%
3.86%
3.42%
3.24%
2.91%
2.78%
1.36%
2.69%
46.09%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 13 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$645,795 (54% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $591,184 against an actual $561,011 —
+5.4%.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$91,75719.4%
Nov 2026
+2
$78,87716.6%
Dec 2026
+3
$67,62714.3%
Jan 2027
+4
$56,54911.9%
Feb 2027
+5
$47,33810.0%
Mar 2027
+6
$38,9858.2%
Apr 2027
+7
$30,5586.4%
May 2027
+8
$23,3404.9%
Jun 2027
+9
$16,8913.6%
Jul 2027
+10
$10,7432.3%
Aug 2027
+11
$6,8381.4%
Sep 2027
+12
$4,6251.0%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$474,12813.9% of the $3,418,333 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Jun 2026
2
$204,375
$23,14111.3%
$26,069 12.8%
89
$-2,928
May 2026
3
$252,520
$36,77314.6%
$44,498 17.6%
83
$-7,724
Apr 2026
4
$204,641
$29,96214.6%
$45,018 22.0%
67
$-15,055
Mar 2026
5
$218,135
$43,02119.7%
$56,352 25.8%
76
$-13,330
Feb 2026
6
$301,701
$102,77934.1%
$89,589 29.7%
115
+$13,191
Jan 2026
7
$215,630
$64,44929.9%
$71,406 33.1%
90
$-6,958
Dec 2025
8
$214,185
$66,93831.3%
$77,866 36.4%
86
$-10,928
Nov 2025
9
$224,965
$73,75432.8%
$88,331 39.3%
83
$-14,578
Oct 2025
10
$201,775
$92,49845.8%
$84,845 42.0%
109
+$7,653
Sep 2025
11
$217,051
$99,87146.0%
$94,216 43.4%
106
+$5,655
Aug 2025
12
$278,875
$108,35638.9%
$123,374 44.2%
88
$-15,018
Jul 2025
13
$223,942
$92,23241.2%
$100,599 44.9%
92
$-8,367
Jun 2025
14
$243,820
$92,45937.9%
$110,429 45.3%
84
$-17,971
May 2025
15
$296,165
$116,47539.3%
$134,805 45.5%
86
$-18,330
Apr 2025
16
$262,798
$107,23240.8%
$120,089 45.7%
89
$-12,856
Mar 2025
17
$246,223
$111,63445.3%
$112,757 45.8%
99
$-1,123
Feb 2025
18
$215,862
$100,19146.4%
$99,140 45.9%
101
+$1,051
Jan 2025
19
$210,917
$117,85055.9%
$96,983 46.0%
122
+$20,867
Dec 2024
20
$198,953
$111,01555.8%
$91,568 46.0%
121
+$19,446
Nov 2024
21
$212,640
$111,79152.6%
$98,003 46.1%
114
+$13,788
Oct 2024
22
$257,118
$145,67656.7%
$118,511 46.1%
123
+$27,164
Sep 2024
23
$212,110
$101,86148.0%
$97,766 46.1%
104
+$4,094
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
Oct 2024
$257,118
$145,67656.7%
$2,7541.9%
$142,922
$142,922
ok
Jan 2025
$210,917
$117,85055.9%
$2,6202.2%
$115,231
$115,281
$-50
Nov 2025
$224,965
$74,81533.3%
$2,4723.3%
$72,343
$73,682
$-1,340
Jan 2026
$215,630
$66,23430.7%
$1,9062.9%
$64,328
$66,817
$-2,489
Jul 2025
$223,942
$92,85741.5%
$1,8452.0%
$91,012
$91,120
$-108
Apr 2025
$262,798
$107,31240.8%
$1,5251.4%
$105,787
$105,817
ok
Mar 2025
$246,223
$111,63445.3%
$1,0560.9%
$110,578
$111,778
$-1,200
Mar 2026
$218,135
$44,59620.4%
$9402.1%
$43,656
$44,140
$-484
Sep 2025
$217,051
$100,15246.1%
$9190.9%
$99,233
$99,416
$-182
Jun 2025
$243,820
$92,45937.9%
$8620.9%
$91,597
$91,993
$-396
May 2025
$296,165
$116,47539.3%
$8510.7%
$115,624
$115,624
ok
Feb 2025
$215,862
$100,34646.5%
$8050.8%
$99,541
$99,541
ok
Feb 2026
$301,701
$105,95735.1%
$7460.7%
$105,211
$107,341
$-2,129
Aug 2025
$278,875
$108,59038.9%
$5750.5%
$108,015
$108,393
$-379
Dec 2024
$198,953
$111,01555.8%
$3870.3%
$110,628
$110,628
ok
Apr 2026
$204,641
$32,14415.7%
$2000.6%
$31,944
$33,482
$-1,538
Nov 2024
$212,640
$111,79152.6%
$1130.1%
$111,678
$111,678
ok
Sep 2024
$212,110
$101,93748.1%
$1110.1%
$101,826
$103,591
$-1,765
Dec 2025
$214,185
$68,14031.8%
$920.1%
$68,049
$69,106
$-1,057
Oct 2025
$201,775
$92,96546.1%
$560.1%
$92,910
$93,055
$-146
May 2026
$252,520
$38,48915.2%
$250.1%
$38,464
$40,081
$-1,617
ALL MONTHS
$5,606,089
$1,983,39935.4%
$20,8571.1%
$1,962,542
Chicago — 1,721 agreements, $3,566,283 of finance written
Finance written
$3,566,283
Collected
$849,402 23.8%
Written off
$110,945 3.1%
Still outstanding
$2,606,008 73.1%
Deposit taken
$951,166
Sale value
$4,517,449
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Aug 2025
89
$226,600
$44,066
$182,534
$64,96735.6%
$14,4257.9%
$103,15756.5%
ok
Sep 2025
121
$307,598
$60,573
$247,025
$99,18040.1%
$12,5915.1%
$135,28654.8%
ok
Oct 2025 ·11mo
132
$345,499
$70,290
$275,209
$114,28541.5%
$8,6003.1%
$152,32255.3%
ok
Nov 2025 ·10mo
134
$360,665
$74,155
$286,510
$116,96240.8%
$7,0302.5%
$162,52356.7%
ok
Dec 2025 ·9mo
115
$283,830
$66,203
$217,627
$80,38436.9%
$3,1001.4%
$134,14361.6%
ok
Jan 2026 ·8mo
129
$332,375
$64,015
$268,360
$89,12233.2%
$12,7164.7%
$166,52462.1%
ok
Feb 2026 ·7mo
125
$321,674
$62,355
$259,319
$60,89623.5%
$7,3872.8%
$191,03673.7%
ok
Mar 2026 ·6mo
174
$450,820
$103,675
$347,145
$66,86819.3%
$5,9001.7%
$274,38679.0%
ok
Apr 2026 ·5mo
145
$408,675
$84,795
$323,880
$46,52114.4%
$6,4752.0%
$270,89383.6%
ok
May 2026 ·4mo
132
$375,237
$81,217
$294,020
$45,19715.4%
$5,3711.8%
$243,45282.8%
ok
Jun 2026 ·3mo
118
$305,157
$72,494
$232,663
$28,11112.1%
$12,9005.5%
$191,65282.4%
ok
Jul 2026 ·2mo
118
$309,648
$61,334
$248,314
$23,3239.4%
$5,4502.2%
$219,54188.4%
ok
Aug 2026 ·1mo
135
$347,721
$76,049
$271,672
$13,5845.0%
$5,5502.0%
$252,53893.0%
ok
Sep 2026 ·0mo
54
$141,950
$29,945
$112,005
$00.0%
$3,4503.1%
$108,55596.9%
ok
TOTAL
1721
$4,517,449
$951,166
$3,566,283
$849,40223.8%
$110,9453.1%
$2,606,00873.1%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 1,717 of 1,721 agreements' finance schedules (4 not pulled yet).
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Aug 2025
$182,534
1.15%
5.00%
3.90%
3.03%
3.35%
3.08%
2.58%
2.44%
2.61%
4.22%
2.38%
1.69%
1.91%
37.34%
Sep 2025
$247,025
0.40%
5.43%
4.65%
4.27%
3.76%
3.83%
3.47%
3.54%
2.79%
2.87%
2.73%
1.64%
0.87%
40.26%
Oct 2025
$275,209
0.59%
4.58%
5.24%
4.71%
4.43%
4.35%
3.86%
3.79%
3.82%
3.46%
2.42%
0.45%
0.00%
41.71%
Nov 2025
$286,510
0.88%
5.56%
6.12%
5.23%
4.11%
5.70%
3.93%
3.17%
3.10%
2.31%
1.32%
0.00%
0.00%
41.44%
Dec 2025
$217,627
0.08%
5.41%
6.16%
5.15%
4.89%
4.53%
4.07%
3.31%
3.35%
1.23%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
38.17%
Jan 2026
$268,360
1.00%
6.02%
5.88%
4.61%
4.61%
4.36%
3.71%
2.73%
0.53%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
33.45%
Feb 2026
$259,319
1.19%
5.09%
4.14%
3.38%
3.01%
2.77%
2.66%
1.07%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
23.31%
Mar 2026
$347,145
0.27%
4.49%
3.81%
3.23%
2.83%
3.15%
1.21%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
18.99%
Apr 2026
$323,880
0.35%
3.23%
3.01%
4.11%
2.83%
0.40%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
13.94%
May 2026
$294,020
0.85%
5.19%
5.00%
3.51%
0.95%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.50%
Jun 2026
$232,663
0.04%
5.40%
5.30%
1.37%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
12.10%
Jul 2026
$248,314
0.28%
6.05%
1.62%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
7.95%
Aug 2026
$271,672
1.71%
2.77%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
4.48%
Sep 2026
$102,705
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$429,559
0.72%
5.25%
4.33%
3.75%
3.58%
3.52%
3.09%
3.07%
2.71%
3.44%
2.58%
1.66%
1.31%
39.02%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 2 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$745,886 (92% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $69,642 against an actual $65,448 —
+6.4%.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$96,02418.8%
Nov 2026
+2
$83,36516.4%
Dec 2026
+3
$73,37114.4%
Jan 2027
+4
$63,89512.5%
Feb 2027
+5
$53,60810.5%
Mar 2027
+6
$43,6678.6%
Apr 2027
+7
$34,2556.7%
May 2027
+8
$26,3235.2%
Jun 2027
+9
$17,8183.5%
Jul 2027
+10
$10,4032.0%
Aug 2027
+11
$5,2421.0%
Sep 2027
+12
$1,5910.3%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$509,56119.6% of the $2,606,008 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Jun 2026
2
$232,663
$24,97610.7%
$23,970 10.3%
104
+$1,005
May 2026
3
$294,020
$42,77414.5%
$41,305 14.0%
104
+$1,468
Apr 2026
4
$323,880
$43,84513.5%
$57,100 17.6%
77
$-13,255
Mar 2026
5
$347,145
$61,73117.8%
$73,407 21.1%
84
$-11,676
Feb 2026
6
$259,319
$57,67222.2%
$62,843 24.2%
92
$-5,171
Jan 2026
7
$268,360
$88,32832.9%
$73,271 27.3%
121
+$15,057
Dec 2025
8
$217,627
$80,39336.9%
$65,326 30.0%
123
+$15,067
Nov 2025
9
$286,510
$114,96740.1%
$95,870 33.5%
120
+$19,098
Oct 2025
10
$275,209
$113,55841.3%
$99,193 36.0%
114
+$14,365
Sep 2025
11
$247,025
$97,28639.4%
$93,136 37.7%
104
+$4,150
Aug 2025
12
$182,534
$67,54837.0%
$70,959 38.9%
95
$-3,412
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
Aug 2025
$182,534
$68,16037.3%
$3,5595.2%
$64,601
$64,967
$-367
Jan 2026
$268,360
$89,75533.4%
$2,7613.1%
$86,994
$89,122
$-2,128
Dec 2025
$217,627
$83,07838.2%
$2,6933.2%
$80,384
$80,384
ok
May 2026
$294,020
$45,57215.5%
$2,2795.0%
$43,293
$45,197
$-1,904
Nov 2025
$286,510
$118,73541.4%
$2,0961.8%
$116,640
$116,962
$-323
Apr 2026
$323,880
$45,14213.9%
$1,2812.8%
$43,861
$46,521
$-2,661
Jun 2026
$232,663
$28,15812.1%
$1,2504.4%
$26,908
$28,111
$-1,203
Mar 2026
$347,145
$65,93719.0%
$1,2151.8%
$64,723
$66,868
$-2,146
Oct 2025
$275,209
$114,78941.7%
$9830.9%
$113,805
$114,285
$-479
Sep 2025
$247,025
$99,44240.3%
$4830.5%
$98,959
$99,180
$-221
ALL MONTHS
$3,556,983
$851,12623.9%
$18,6012.2%
$832,525
Atlanta — 7,589 agreements, $14,730,015 of finance written
Finance written
$14,730,015
Collected
$6,426,002 43.6%
Written off
$3,081,713 20.9%
Still outstanding
$5,223,259 35.5%
Deposit taken
$3,484,599
Sale value
$18,214,615
Every month of sales — what we wrote, what came in, what we lost, what is left
Rows are cohorts: an agreement belongs to the month it was written, and every dollar collected
against it counts back to that month whenever it arrived. Check proves the row adds up —
collected + written off + outstanding must equal finance written. Faded rows are under 12 months old and have
not had time to pay out, so their collected % is not comparable with a settled month.
Month written
Agreements
Sale value
Deposit taken
Finance written
Collected
Written off
Still outstanding
Check
Jul 2021
108
$255,680
$42,120
$213,560
$97,96045.9%
$47,63822.3%
$67,97331.8%
ok
Aug 2021
161
$373,814
$69,987
$303,827
$157,37151.8%
$67,05322.1%
$79,40826.1%
ok
Sep 2021
187
$487,299
$83,236
$404,063
$199,09049.3%
$64,65416.0%
$140,35334.7%
ok
Oct 2021
201
$561,115
$101,479
$459,636
$227,84849.6%
$100,98122.0%
$130,82228.5%
ok
Nov 2021
184
$540,450
$96,030
$444,420
$215,34948.5%
$116,07226.1%
$113,01525.4%
ok
Dec 2021
184
$517,166
$77,806
$439,360
$235,21753.5%
$91,80620.9%
$112,38425.6%
ok
Jan 2022
163
$444,033
$75,350
$368,683
$196,19153.2%
$73,57920.0%
$98,96326.8%
ok
Feb 2022
167
$512,050
$80,317
$431,733
$207,67848.1%
$94,71821.9%
$129,34230.0%
ok
Mar 2022
174
$514,020
$89,752
$424,268
$140,51933.1%
$123,58829.1%
$160,16137.7%
ok
Apr 2022
204
$577,960
$111,751
$466,209
$161,08334.6%
$157,37433.8%
$147,74131.7%
ok
May 2022
308
$779,022
$169,132
$609,891
$281,49346.2%
$180,46029.6%
$147,98724.3%
ok
Jun 2022
256
$599,594
$121,587
$478,007
$208,57243.6%
$131,24727.5%
$138,24528.9%
ok
Jul 2022
240
$570,802
$137,644
$433,158
$193,00144.6%
$107,76424.9%
$132,42030.6%
ok
Aug 2022
239
$574,943
$120,251
$454,692
$222,60449.0%
$115,00725.3%
$117,14725.8%
ok
Sep 2022
217
$549,500
$98,405
$451,095
$214,47247.5%
$113,48825.2%
$123,18427.3%
ok
Oct 2022
236
$616,853
$114,901
$501,952
$218,41543.5%
$138,04227.5%
$145,52629.0%
ok
Nov 2022
217
$526,293
$107,595
$418,698
$183,64043.9%
$92,24322.0%
$142,83634.1%
ok
Dec 2022
153
$382,499
$71,390
$311,109
$141,32345.4%
$76,59524.6%
$93,21430.0%
ok
Jan 2023
183
$451,779
$100,889
$350,890
$148,48642.3%
$83,58823.8%
$118,83433.9%
ok
Feb 2023
184
$455,799
$86,623
$369,176
$173,16246.9%
$95,41525.8%
$100,63727.3%
ok
Mar 2023
219
$560,035
$115,480
$444,555
$203,62745.8%
$102,69923.1%
$138,25231.1%
ok
Apr 2023
227
$552,206
$95,935
$456,271
$182,32340.0%
$114,30525.1%
$159,66735.0%
ok
May 2023
171
$391,605
$75,435
$316,170
$144,99345.9%
$74,58823.6%
$96,64430.6%
ok
Jun 2023
206
$458,416
$87,546
$370,870
$150,59840.6%
$91,76124.7%
$128,53234.7%
ok
Jul 2023
127
$317,580
$63,373
$254,207
$97,06138.2%
$87,32734.4%
$69,83327.5%
ok
Aug 2023
140
$325,660
$52,607
$273,053
$114,04741.8%
$58,67021.5%
$100,39036.8%
ok
Sep 2023
131
$261,332
$45,520
$215,812
$96,50144.7%
$34,64316.1%
$84,68439.2%
ok
Oct 2023
181
$358,282
$70,997
$287,285
$130,02945.3%
$54,90619.1%
$102,33735.6%
ok
Nov 2023
199
$408,020
$67,529
$340,491
$134,23539.4%
$63,45918.6%
$142,81041.9%
ok
Dec 2023
208
$453,913
$78,147
$375,766
$183,71848.9%
$63,91517.0%
$128,16734.1%
ok
Jan 2024
227
$498,820
$92,623
$406,197
$157,86838.9%
$35,8488.8%
$212,53552.3%
ok
Feb 2024
222
$515,695
$109,783
$405,912
$152,48137.6%
$38,9929.6%
$214,50552.8%
ok
Mar 2024
216
$542,500
$104,875
$437,625
$128,51229.4%
$40,6979.3%
$268,40261.3%
ok
Apr 2024
207
$508,354
$95,949
$412,405
$145,72435.3%
$42,46210.3%
$224,27554.4%
ok
May 2024
203
$429,350
$86,439
$342,911
$153,52744.8%
$22,0726.4%
$167,31448.8%
ok
Jun 2024
179
$394,890
$91,784
$303,106
$113,67437.5%
$20,1586.7%
$169,27055.8%
ok
Jul 2024
208
$368,789
$90,933
$277,856
$104,22337.5%
$13,5934.9%
$160,04457.6%
ok
Aug 2024
172
$270,598
$55,836
$214,762
$89,52041.7%
$19,2409.0%
$105,99949.4%
ok
Sep 2024
96
$168,249
$27,717
$140,532
$70,32150.0%
$16,09511.5%
$54,12638.5%
ok
Oct 2024
58
$89,200
$13,647
$75,553
$34,25445.3%
$9,25012.2%
$32,04742.4%
ok
Nov 2024
26
$50,450
$6,200
$44,250
$15,29434.6%
$5,72512.9%
$23,23552.5%
ok
TOTAL
7589
$18,214,615
$3,484,599
$14,730,015
$6,426,00243.6%
$3,081,71320.9%
$5,223,25935.5%
Collection curve — how the cash came in, month by month after the sale
Each cell is the share of that month's finance written that arrived in month 1, 2, 3 … after it
was written. Month 1 is the month of the sale itself; the first installment usually falls due the month after,
which is why month 2 is normally the peak. This is cash in, gross — chargebacks and refunds are held out
and reconciled in their own table below, so no cell reads below zero. Failed charges never count.
Built from 7,589 of 7,589 agreements' finance schedules.
Month written
Finance written
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
After 12
Collected
Jul 2021
$213,560
1.38%
6.44%
6.46%
7.40%
3.90%
3.28%
3.24%
3.12%
2.83%
2.25%
1.71%
1.31%
3.67%
46.99%
Aug 2021
$303,827
4.98%
11.74%
4.54%
4.96%
4.21%
4.77%
4.03%
2.48%
1.95%
1.09%
1.44%
1.26%
5.43%
52.88%
Sep 2021
$404,063
5.88%
8.22%
4.06%
4.69%
4.25%
4.35%
3.92%
2.62%
2.04%
1.66%
1.62%
1.58%
5.70%
50.58%
Oct 2021
$459,636
6.40%
11.74%
6.24%
4.97%
4.17%
3.47%
2.61%
2.21%
1.27%
1.21%
0.90%
0.83%
5.29%
51.32%
Nov 2021
$444,420
5.40%
9.58%
5.82%
6.72%
5.86%
4.10%
2.79%
1.74%
0.79%
0.89%
0.86%
1.14%
3.84%
49.53%
Dec 2021
$439,360
7.69%
5.99%
5.86%
6.69%
5.45%
4.55%
4.25%
2.04%
1.77%
2.31%
1.67%
1.33%
4.44%
54.04%
Jan 2022
$368,683
5.01%
12.97%
8.59%
4.75%
4.83%
4.03%
2.59%
1.48%
1.48%
1.28%
2.34%
2.22%
3.92%
55.49%
Feb 2022
$431,733
5.87%
13.73%
6.70%
4.63%
2.70%
3.10%
2.36%
1.58%
1.84%
1.96%
0.90%
0.86%
3.42%
49.65%
Mar 2022
$424,268
4.53%
8.42%
4.57%
3.61%
2.60%
2.00%
1.76%
1.08%
1.56%
0.86%
0.70%
0.64%
3.10%
35.44%
Apr 2022
$466,209
4.65%
6.90%
4.95%
3.48%
3.15%
2.31%
2.15%
1.48%
0.85%
1.45%
0.86%
0.87%
3.14%
36.23%
May 2022
$609,891
4.27%
8.87%
7.46%
5.55%
5.00%
3.40%
2.50%
1.99%
2.08%
2.15%
1.53%
0.83%
2.61%
48.22%
Jun 2022
$478,007
5.19%
10.41%
5.33%
4.31%
3.66%
2.48%
2.63%
2.14%
3.06%
1.21%
0.94%
0.85%
3.30%
45.49%
Jul 2022
$433,158
3.10%
12.45%
6.33%
4.74%
4.08%
2.84%
2.28%
2.35%
1.85%
1.58%
1.22%
0.90%
3.49%
47.21%
Aug 2022
$454,692
7.45%
9.39%
6.21%
4.62%
3.51%
3.96%
2.23%
2.02%
1.86%
2.19%
1.77%
1.06%
3.74%
50.01%
Sep 2022
$451,095
3.07%
9.16%
6.60%
4.64%
4.15%
3.77%
3.21%
2.32%
1.97%
2.59%
2.24%
1.11%
3.26%
48.08%
Oct 2022
$501,952
6.19%
5.93%
5.31%
3.56%
4.48%
3.81%
2.91%
2.48%
2.01%
2.14%
1.49%
1.51%
2.88%
44.70%
Nov 2022
$418,698
7.38%
6.81%
7.01%
5.60%
3.27%
2.66%
1.97%
2.02%
1.58%
2.12%
1.14%
1.26%
2.38%
45.21%
Dec 2022
$311,109
2.42%
7.71%
8.23%
4.97%
3.94%
3.57%
3.62%
2.18%
2.70%
1.85%
1.84%
0.81%
2.81%
46.66%
Jan 2023
$350,890
2.16%
8.90%
7.59%
5.03%
4.31%
3.04%
2.65%
2.01%
1.77%
1.42%
1.67%
0.92%
2.11%
43.58%
Feb 2023
$369,176
4.84%
8.37%
6.48%
4.73%
3.12%
3.94%
3.04%
2.32%
2.42%
1.18%
1.12%
1.90%
4.57%
48.03%
Mar 2023
$444,555
10.35%
8.67%
4.58%
5.10%
2.16%
2.44%
2.40%
2.03%
1.77%
1.62%
1.73%
1.05%
2.61%
46.51%
Apr 2023
$456,271
3.82%
6.26%
5.59%
4.31%
3.00%
2.48%
2.49%
1.99%
2.09%
1.49%
1.49%
1.42%
3.93%
40.35%
May 2023
$316,170
3.82%
8.36%
6.35%
4.22%
3.41%
2.57%
2.75%
2.51%
2.71%
2.15%
1.56%
1.15%
4.61%
46.17%
Jun 2023
$370,870
7.38%
5.64%
5.05%
4.28%
3.34%
2.50%
1.81%
1.82%
1.44%
1.80%
1.27%
0.75%
4.60%
41.67%
Jul 2023
$254,207
4.96%
6.03%
4.36%
3.94%
4.43%
3.40%
3.36%
2.60%
2.01%
1.16%
0.56%
1.43%
1.06%
39.28%
Aug 2023
$273,053
1.71%
7.16%
5.61%
4.10%
3.61%
3.04%
3.64%
3.05%
1.58%
1.78%
1.40%
1.07%
5.10%
42.85%
Sep 2023
$215,812
4.93%
7.24%
4.33%
5.19%
3.55%
2.89%
3.93%
1.91%
2.71%
2.22%
1.16%
0.91%
4.62%
45.59%
Oct 2023
$287,285
6.94%
6.67%
5.72%
4.39%
5.12%
2.86%
2.63%
2.79%
1.87%
1.52%
1.28%
1.07%
3.41%
46.26%
Nov 2023
$340,491
2.20%
6.74%
5.42%
6.92%
3.06%
2.97%
2.31%
1.64%
1.42%
1.13%
0.84%
0.95%
4.46%
40.06%
Dec 2023
$375,766
2.36%
9.84%
5.45%
5.57%
3.43%
3.58%
2.84%
3.05%
3.11%
2.66%
2.02%
1.67%
3.79%
49.37%
Jan 2024
$406,197
0.34%
6.94%
5.86%
4.01%
3.11%
2.60%
2.50%
2.28%
1.83%
1.95%
1.73%
1.39%
4.80%
39.35%
Feb 2024
$405,912
2.12%
5.91%
3.99%
3.56%
3.28%
2.96%
2.78%
2.31%
2.03%
1.87%
2.02%
1.57%
4.38%
38.77%
Mar 2024
$437,625
0.50%
4.16%
4.01%
2.78%
2.27%
2.19%
2.40%
1.48%
1.67%
1.58%
1.50%
1.18%
5.23%
30.96%
Apr 2024
$412,405
0.81%
5.62%
4.48%
3.44%
2.82%
3.31%
2.47%
2.26%
2.03%
1.69%
1.60%
1.50%
4.10%
36.14%
May 2024
$342,911
0.25%
5.67%
5.61%
4.48%
4.28%
3.51%
3.35%
3.78%
2.98%
2.47%
2.61%
1.07%
5.24%
45.29%
Jun 2024
$303,106
1.15%
6.38%
5.73%
3.88%
3.60%
2.96%
3.12%
1.98%
1.88%
2.18%
2.07%
0.91%
3.84%
39.69%
Jul 2024
$277,856
0.62%
6.00%
4.55%
4.05%
3.83%
2.79%
3.17%
2.06%
1.91%
1.88%
1.85%
0.85%
5.36%
38.91%
Aug 2024
$214,762
1.57%
7.07%
5.61%
5.53%
4.34%
3.58%
3.44%
3.24%
1.98%
1.23%
1.27%
0.87%
3.08%
42.82%
Sep 2024
$140,532
4.03%
16.54%
5.79%
3.99%
3.46%
2.45%
2.49%
2.51%
2.04%
2.91%
2.02%
0.59%
1.93%
50.75%
Oct 2024
$75,553
10.28%
6.52%
5.95%
4.15%
4.42%
5.69%
1.68%
2.27%
2.64%
1.50%
0.96%
0.15%
0.46%
46.67%
Nov 2024
$44,250
3.71%
4.86%
4.32%
4.67%
3.15%
3.11%
2.16%
1.65%
1.46%
2.86%
1.89%
0.33%
1.07%
35.24%
AVERAGE(settled months only)
$14,730,015
4.26%
8.18%
5.73%
4.68%
3.76%
3.21%
2.77%
2.17%
1.94%
1.75%
1.47%
1.15%
3.80%
44.86%
What should be coming in — next 12 months
The settled-month curve above, applied to every cohort's remaining months and laid out by
calendar month. Baseline built from 41 settled cohorts, and each cohort is capped at what
it still owes so nothing can be forecast to pay more than its outstanding balance.
Read this as a FLOOR, not the total. It is the run-off of the book
already written — it contains nothing from agreements not yet sold. Over Sep 2025–Aug 2026,
$0 (0% of all cash collected) came from agreements written inside
that same window. Whatever gets sold from here lands on top of the figures below.
Backtested. Rewound to Sep 2025, projected only the cohorts that existed
then, and compared with what they actually paid over the following 12 months:
predicted $59,916 against an actual $56,983 —
+5.1%.
The baseline uses cohorts settled since, so this flatters itself a little; treat it as the right order of magnitude,
not a guarantee.
Month
Months ahead
Expected in
Oct 2026
+1
$1,53513.0%
Nov 2026
+2
$1,40711.9%
Dec 2026
+3
$1,25210.6%
Jan 2027
+4
$1,19210.1%
Feb 2027
+5
$1,0578.9%
Mar 2027
+6
$1,0088.5%
Apr 2027
+7
$9247.8%
May 2027
+8
$8046.8%
Jun 2027
+9
$7506.3%
Jul 2027
+10
$6635.6%
Aug 2027
+11
$6465.5%
Sep 2027
+12
$5895.0%
NEXT 12 MONTHS
$11,8250.2% of the $5,223,259 outstanding
Is the collection and outreach effort working?
A young cohort cannot be judged on its lifetime total — it has not had the months. So each month is
measured against the baseline at its own age. Index 100 = collecting exactly what cohorts of that age
normally had by now; above 100 = ahead of the historical curve, below = behind. This is the number that
moves when collection or outreach changes, and it is comparable across months in a way the raw % never is.
Month written
Age (mo)
Finance written
Collected so far
Baseline at this age
Index
Ahead / behind
Nov 2024
21
$44,250
$15,59435.2%
$19,594 44.3%
80
$-4,000
Oct 2024
22
$75,553
$35,25946.7%
$33,500 44.3%
105
+$1,759
Sep 2024
23
$140,532
$71,32350.8%
$62,361 44.4%
114
+$8,962
Aug 2024
24
$214,762
$91,95342.8%
$95,448 44.4%
96
$-3,495
Jul 2024
25
$277,856
$108,01338.9%
$123,568 44.5%
87
$-15,555
Jun 2024
26
$303,106
$120,28939.7%
$134,863 44.5%
89
$-14,573
May 2024
27
$342,911
$155,24045.3%
$152,621 44.5%
102
+$2,619
Apr 2024
28
$412,405
$149,04136.1%
$183,621 44.5%
81
$-34,580
Mar 2024
29
$437,625
$135,48331.0%
$194,977 44.6%
69
$-59,494
Feb 2024
30
$405,912
$157,39238.8%
$180,885 44.6%
87
$-23,493
Jan 2024
31
$406,197
$159,82139.3%
$181,075 44.6%
88
$-21,254
Dec 2023
32
$375,766
$185,51749.4%
$167,631 44.6%
111
+$17,886
Nov 2023
33
$340,491
$136,40640.1%
$152,073 44.7%
90
$-15,667
Oct 2023
34
$287,285
$132,89746.3%
$128,348 44.7%
104
+$4,549
Sep 2023
35
$215,812
$98,38945.6%
$96,431 44.7%
102
+$1,958
Aug 2023
36
$273,053
$117,00542.9%
$122,022 44.7%
96
$-5,016
Jul 2023
37
$254,207
$99,85739.3%
$113,603 44.7%
88
$-13,746
Jun 2023
38
$370,870
$154,54041.7%
$165,751 44.7%
93
$-11,211
May 2023
39
$316,170
$145,97646.2%
$141,322 44.7%
103
+$4,654
Apr 2023
40
$456,271
$184,10640.4%
$204,068 44.7%
90
$-19,963
Mar 2023
41
$444,555
$206,75446.5%
$198,922 44.7%
104
+$7,832
Feb 2023
42
$369,176
$177,32448.0%
$165,201 44.7%
107
+$12,123
Jan 2023
43
$350,890
$152,92943.6%
$157,115 44.8%
97
$-4,186
Dec 2022
44
$311,109
$145,16346.7%
$139,310 44.8%
104
+$5,854
Nov 2022
45
$418,698
$189,28145.2%
$187,557 44.8%
101
+$1,723
Oct 2022
46
$501,952
$224,38944.7%
$224,965 44.8%
100
$-576
Sep 2022
47
$451,095
$216,90848.1%
$202,206 44.8%
107
+$14,702
Aug 2022
48
$454,692
$227,40950.0%
$203,962 44.9%
111
+$23,447
Jul 2022
48
$433,158
$204,47547.2%
$194,302 44.9%
105
+$10,173
Jun 2022
48
$478,007
$217,45045.5%
$214,420 44.9%
101
+$3,029
Chargebacks and refunds — netted out here, not in the curve
Money that came in and then went back out. Kept off the cash-in curve deliberately. Check proves
gross − reversals equals the ledger's own net collected for that month, which is what ties this tab to the
monthly one. Top 24 months by amount reversed.
Month written
Finance written
Cash in (gross)
Charged back / refunded
Net
Ledger says
Check
May 2022
$609,891
$294,11848.2%
$12,6244.3%
$281,493
$281,493
ok
Jul 2022
$433,158
$204,47547.2%
$11,4755.6%
$193,001
$193,001
ok
Mar 2022
$424,268
$150,37335.4%
$9,8546.6%
$140,519
$140,519
ok
Jun 2022
$478,007
$217,45045.5%
$8,8774.1%
$208,572
$208,572
ok
Jan 2022
$368,683
$204,57455.5%
$8,3824.1%
$196,191
$196,191
ok
Oct 2021
$459,636
$235,87551.3%
$8,0523.4%
$227,823
$227,848
ok
Apr 2022
$466,209
$168,90236.2%
$7,8794.7%
$161,023
$161,083
ok
Mar 2024
$437,625
$135,48331.0%
$7,0515.2%
$128,432
$128,512
ok
Feb 2022
$431,733
$214,36649.7%
$6,6883.1%
$207,677
$207,678
ok
Jun 2024
$303,106
$120,28939.7%
$6,6155.5%
$113,674
$113,674
ok
Oct 2022
$501,952
$224,38944.7%
$6,0552.7%
$218,334
$218,415
ok
Nov 2022
$418,698
$189,28145.2%
$5,6413.0%
$183,640
$183,640
ok
Sep 2021
$404,063
$204,37950.6%
$5,3092.6%
$199,069
$199,090
ok
Feb 2024
$405,912
$157,39238.8%
$5,0113.2%
$152,381
$152,481
$-100
Aug 2022
$454,692
$227,40950.0%
$4,8052.1%
$222,604
$222,604
ok
Nov 2021
$444,420
$220,11249.5%
$4,7632.2%
$215,349
$215,349
ok
Jan 2023
$350,890
$152,92943.6%
$4,4442.9%
$148,486
$148,486
ok
Feb 2023
$369,176
$177,32448.0%
$4,1622.3%
$173,162
$173,162
ok
Jun 2023
$370,870
$154,54041.7%
$3,9422.6%
$150,598
$150,598
ok
Jul 2024
$277,856
$108,11338.9%
$3,8903.6%
$104,223
$104,223
ok
Dec 2022
$311,109
$145,16346.7%
$3,8402.6%
$141,323
$141,323
ok
Apr 2024
$412,405
$149,04136.1%
$3,3172.2%
$145,724
$145,724
ok
Aug 2021
$303,827
$160,66852.9%
$3,2982.1%
$157,371
$157,371
ok
Mar 2023
$444,555
$206,75446.5%
$3,1271.5%
$203,627
$203,627
ok
ALL MONTHS
$14,730,015
$6,607,47044.9%
$182,6902.8%
$6,424,780
What share of the SALE do we actually bank?
Every other tab divides by Finance Due, which ignores the money taken on the day. That is right
for judging collections and wrong for judging the business. Here the denominator is the whole sale and the clock
starts at day 1 with the deposit already banked — a $2,000 sale with $700 taken on the day is 35% collected before
a single instalment. Net of chargebacks. A column only appears once every cohort in that period is old enough for
it, so nothing is flattered by extra time.
Period
Contracts
Avg sale
On day 1 (deposit)
by month 3
by month 6
by month 12
by month 18
by month 24
Latest
2024 H1
5,708
$2,462
$52521.3%
31.9%
42.2%
55.8%
59.1%
59.6%
59.8%
2024 H2
5,338
$2,406
$48820.3%
31.2%
42.4%
56.6%
59.2%
—
59.9%
2025 H1
5,599
$2,630
$51119.4%
29.0%
38.7%
51.8%
—
—
54.6%
2025 H2
5,383
$2,570
$50519.6%
28.6%
38.2%
—
—
—
50.5%
2026 H1
5,625
$2,795
$54219.4%
27.7%
—
—
—
—
35.3%
On the 40% question — there is headroom, but it is closing.
At a matched 12 months the business banks 55.8% of the sale from 2024 H1, 56.6% from 2024 H2,
51.8% from 2025 H1 and 50.7% from 2025 H2. The settled 2024 cohorts finish around 59.8%.
So nothing is near 40% yet — but the 12-month figure has given up 5.9 points in two years, and at that rate
the 40% line arrives in roughly three to four years.
The bigger deposit is NOT offsetting the weaker finance collection — it is falling too.
Deposit as a share of the sale: 21.3% (2024 H1) → 20.3% → 19.4% → 19.8% → 19.4% (2026 H1).
In dollars the deposit has barely moved — $525 → $541, up 3% — while the average sale went
$2,462 → $2,795, up 13.5%. The tickets got bigger and the money taken on the day did not follow.
Holding the deposit at its 2024 H1 share of 21.3% would take about $55 more per contract, which on current
volumes is roughly $600k a year of extra cash on the day — and it is the only part of this that does not
depend on anybody paying later.
One thing this cannot see: sales paid in full on the day never create a finance agreement, so
they are absent from the Debtor Ledger and from this table. Against Square that is about $6.1m a year across the
group — roughly 2,400 sales. Every figure here therefore understates what the business banks per sale.
Cash collected each month, by city
This is the table on the DEBT Pattern MASTER tab of the NYC Financial sheet, rebuilt from the CRM.
It is cash banked in the month, from every cohort — not finance written. Same column set as the sheet, so
Dallas and Houston are combined as TX, Florida is FL and New York is NYC. Net of chargebacks and
refunds, which is what reproduces the sheet most closely. The current month is part-elapsed and marked as such.
It reconciles. July 2026, sheet vs this report:
ATL $697 / $697 · TX $235,571 / $235,921 · BOS $92,581 / $93,082 · NYC $147,952 / $149,385 · FL $163,823 / $161,283.
Five of seven inside 2%. Atlanta is the giveaway — a studio closed since 2024 still trickling $697, and both sides agree.
TN $102,065 / $93,687 (−8.2%) and CHI $73,124 / $102,263 (+39.8%) do not, and are not explained.
Month
NYC
FL
ATL
TX
BOS
TN
CHI
Total
Jan 2025
$281,983
$117,644
$80,272
$253,413
$109,441
$60,509
—
$903,263
Feb 2025
$269,472
$129,752
$62,612
$248,958
$97,798
$62,324
—
$870,917
Mar 2025
$311,301
$127,780
$65,470
$270,292
$104,994
$66,591
—
$946,428
Apr 2025
$275,187
$151,863
$46,757
$261,581
$110,772
$77,505
—
$923,665
May 2025
$278,596
$115,517
$34,511
$240,569
$106,624
$86,538
—
$862,356
Jun 2025
$248,974
$121,721
$34,036
$231,246
$115,025
$95,814
—
$846,816
Jul 2025
$253,940
$141,961
$24,004
$228,913
$108,632
$99,085
—
$856,536
Aug 2025
$226,949
$137,958
$18,565
$240,474
$120,846
$104,940
$1,750
$851,482
Sep 2025
$223,930
$129,199
$11,956
$224,743
$110,679
$105,300
$8,121
$813,927
Oct 2025
$226,563
$137,754
$7,349
$241,810
$103,273
$102,495
$21,642
$840,885
Nov 2025
$200,000
$125,933
$8,203
$220,313
$104,658
$98,661
$31,913
$789,680
Dec 2025
$211,199
$133,106
$5,511
$222,697
$106,978
$97,681
$46,822
$823,995
Jan 2026
$200,271
$130,739
$5,708
$224,138
$105,725
$89,277
$58,888
$814,745
Feb 2026
$196,094
$133,103
$4,509
$236,427
$107,311
$94,951
$72,894
$845,289
Mar 2026
$186,940
$140,887
$2,520
$245,767
$104,211
$105,836
$72,850
$859,011
Apr 2026
$176,235
$141,982
$3,831
$243,992
$93,329
$111,273
$90,444
$861,088
May 2026
$165,617
$148,505
$2,713
$242,684
$94,763
$99,048
$92,441
$845,770
Jun 2026
$172,129
$169,415
$2,619
$241,067
$81,979
$104,866
$92,575
$864,650
Jul 2026
$153,711
$163,926
$2,683
$240,000
$96,807
$93,344
$102,263
$852,735
Aug 2026
$139,429
$161,837
$161
$210,437
$93,422
$88,253
$102,230
$795,769
Sep 2026 · part month
$32,610
$39,374
$152
$54,561
$21,236
$20,834
$37,692
$206,458
TOTAL
$4,431,129
$2,799,955
$424,142
$4,824,082
$2,098,503
$1,865,126
$832,525
$17,275,463
Written vs collected, per calendar year
The summary box on the same sheet. Finance written is the finance signed that year;
cash collected that year is everything banked during it, whenever the sale was made. The two are not a
collection rate for that cohort — they are a written figure and a cash figure that happen to share a year.
Year
City
Finance written
Cash collected that year
2021
NYC
$11,779,547
$4,280,53836.3%
2021
FL
$3,521,073
$1,648,56046.8%
2021
ATL
$2,264,866
$444,81819.6%
2022
NYC
$11,618,542
$5,022,02943.2%
2022
FL
$2,931,586
$1,624,06555.4%
2022
ATL
$5,349,495
$2,168,03840.5%
2023
NYC
$6,705,060
$3,584,06753.5%
2023
FL
$2,145,513
$1,136,81053.0%
2023
ATL
$4,054,546
$1,899,23146.8%
2023
TX
$6,365,451
$1,785,97328.1%
2023
BOS
$1,202,034
$235,60119.6%
2024
NYC
$6,344,005
$2,606,77541.1%
2024
FL
$2,645,915
$1,159,16343.8%
2024
ATL
$3,061,109
$1,488,55248.6%
2024
TX
$6,167,855
$2,924,48547.4%
2024
BOS
$2,195,681
$1,258,56257.3%
2024
TN
$880,821
$97,41611.1%
2025
NYC
$5,950,024
$3,008,09450.6%
2025
FL
$3,294,536
$1,570,18847.7%
2025
ATL
$0
$399,247—
2025
TX
$7,216,620
$2,885,00840.0%
2025
BOS
$2,473,412
$1,299,72052.5%
2025
TN
$2,836,578
$1,057,44537.3%
2025
CHI
$1,208,905
$110,2489.1%
2026
NYC
$2,689,932
$1,423,03552.9%
2026
FL
$4,244,275
$1,229,76829.0%
2026
ATL
$0
$24,895—
2026
TX
$5,011,580
$1,939,07438.7%
2026
BOS
$1,776,325
$798,78345.0%
2026
TN
$1,896,411
$807,68242.6%
2026
CHI
$2,357,378
$722,27730.6%
Does this tie back?
The ledger closes on itself. Across all 60,784 agreements,
collected + written off + outstanding = $129,141,063.17 against finance written of $129,134,814.49 —
a difference of $6,248.68 (0.0048%), which is rounding.
Every month row on every city tab carries the same check in its last column.
Against the manual debt sheet ("DEBT Pattern MASTER")
Finance written per city per year, sheet vs this report. These are the four cities whose figures are
legible in the sheet screenshots — the sheet itself is not readable by this box yet
(share it with studio1-automation@studio1-automation.iam.gserviceaccount.com and the whole comparison
can be generated instead of typed).
Year
City
Sheet — finance written
This report
Difference
2024
New York
$6,331,328.60
$6,344,005.20
$12,676.600.20%
2024
Florida
$2,656,516.00
$2,645,915.20
$-10,600.80-0.40%
2024
TEXAS
$6,175,115.00
$6,167,855.00
$-7,260.00-0.12%
2024
Boston
$2,196,800.00
$2,195,680.50
$-1,119.50-0.05%
2025
New York
$5,944,140.19
$5,950,024.17
$5,883.980.10%
2025
Florida
$3,293,956.17
$3,294,536.17
$580.000.02%
2025
TEXAS
$6,851,841.10
$7,216,619.81
$364,778.715.32%
2025
Boston
$2,476,000.00
$2,473,412.00
$-2,588.00-0.10%
Seven of the eight land inside 0.4%, which is what settles the studio-to-city question: if
"Studio 1" were a New York studio (as report_sales_totals.js has it) Florida would be almost empty and
neither column could tie. Texas 2025 is the one outlier at +5.3% and is not yet explained.
Collected — it ties, once you compare the same thing
The sheet's "Collected" is a CASH PERIOD, not a cohort. It counts cash banked during that
calendar year from every customer, whenever they were sold. This report's headline Collected is cash banked against
that year's sales. Two different questions. Compare like for like and it lands:
City
2024 sheet
cash in 2024
diff
2025 sheet
cash in 2025
diff
NYC
$2,563,088
$2,606,679
+1.7%
$2,928,728
$3,007,914
+2.7%
Florida
$1,170,022
$1,159,163
−0.9%
$1,572,811
$1,570,454
−0.1%
TX
$2,913,280
$2,924,485
+0.4%
$3,130,565
$2,883,988
−7.9%
Boston
$1,262,618
$1,258,562
−0.3%
$1,393,841
$1,299,720
−6.8%
All four 2024 cities inside 2%; Florida 2025 to 0.1%. Against the cohort measure the same cities read +23% and
+19.6% for 2024 then −21.6% and −16.3% for 2025 — that impossible direction flip is what exposed the mismatch.
This page said "collected does not tie" until 10 Aug 2026. That was wrong — it was comparing a cohort against a
cash period. The full monthly version is on the Cash in tab.
Still unexplained:Texas 2025 — finance written +5.32% and cash −7.9%, the
only city where the written figure misses. And Boston 2025 cash −6.8%, where the sheet holds ~$94k more than the
CRM's finance schedules; payments keyed outside the schedule would fit, but that is a hypothesis, not a finding.
On the monthly grid, Nashville (−8.2%) and Chicago (+39.8%) also miss.